Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Limited (GMDCLTD) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · IN · Market cap ₹194B (≈ $2.1B) · ISIN INE131A01031
What is Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Limited really worth?
A solid business, but trading 216% above our fair value of ₹178.23.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −2.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹269.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹116.35 to ₹269.04) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹53.08 – ₹746.75 · fair‑value band ₹116.35 – ₹269.04 · the ₹562.95 price screens above the ₹178.23 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Limited (GMDCLTD) currently trades at ₹562.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹178.23, implying the stock looks roughly 215.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹391.49 per share, and 1 of the 17 models we run sit above the ₹562.95 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at ₹31.67, and 16 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Limited generated revenue of ₹26.5B at a net margin of 36.1%. Revenue declined 9.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹2.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹116.35 (bear case) to ₹269.04 (bull case); at ₹562.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −68%, GMDCLTD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹8.61 per share, which is 4.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹391.49) versus DCF Models (₹31.67). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Limited engages in mining and mineral processing business in India. The company operates through two segments, Mining and Power. It explores for lignite, bauxite, fluorspar, manganese, silica sand, limestone, bentonite, and ball clay.
Full company description
Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Limited engages in mining and mineral processing business in India. The company operates through two segments, Mining and Power. It explores for lignite, bauxite, fluorspar, manganese, silica sand, limestone, bentonite, and ball clay. The company's products used in the textiles, chemicals, ceramics, bricks and captive power. Its products are also used in the electricity and synthetic natural gas generation, agriculture, mining and refining, transportation, hydrofluoric acid, refrigerant gas, flux in metallurgical, tableware, quick and hydrated lime, limestone tile and slab, wall cladding, vanity top, and synthetic foundry moulding catalyst sectors. The company also generates power using thermal, wind, and solar resources. The company has a strategic collaboration with University of Cambridge for the development of an AI-powered rare earth supply chain observatory and a platform that tracks the rare earth elements value chain. Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Limited was incorporated in 1963 and is based in Ahmedabad, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Limited reported revenue of ₹25.2B in FY2026 versus ₹27.3B in FY2022, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹9.6B in FY2026, compounding +21.0%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +7.7 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
GMDCLTD screens 216% overvalued. Compare with China Shenhua Energy Company →
Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 99 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥48.05 | ¥34.97 | −27% |
| PT Bayan Resources Tbk., BYAN | 15,325 IDR | 3,542 IDR | −77% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹2,965 | ₹891.11 | −70% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥25.08 | ¥23.90 | −5% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥21.60 | ¥13.24 | −39% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹417.85 | ₹464.01 | +11% |
| 533278 533278 | ₹406.50 | ₹660.78 | +63% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥13.93 | ¥13.91 | +0% |
| PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk, DSSA | 1,145 IDR | 352.75 IDR | −69% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥26.48 | ¥20.72 | −22% |
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