Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd (600188) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CN · Market cap 203B CNY (≈ $30.3B) · ISIN CNE000000WV6
What is Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 63% above our fair value of ¥13.24.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Share price +11.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥19.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥7.12 to ¥19.41). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.77 – ¥27.27 · fair‑value band ¥7.12 – ¥19.41 · the ¥21.56 price screens above the ¥13.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd (600188) currently trades at ¥21.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.24, implying the stock looks roughly 62.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥13.24 per share, and 1 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥21.56 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥4.79, and 25 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd generated revenue of 146B CNY at a net margin of 6.6%. Revenue grew 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. Net debt stands at 29.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.12 (bear case) to ¥19.41 (bull case); at ¥21.56, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −39%, 600188 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.3058 per share, which is 2.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥13.24) versus Growth DCF (¥0.1400). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited engages in the mining and sale of coal in the People's Republic of China, Australia, and internationally. It operates through Coal Mining; Smart Logistics; Coal Chemical, Electricity and Heat Supply; and Equipment Manufacturing segments.
Full company description
Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited engages in the mining and sale of coal in the People's Republic of China, Australia, and internationally. It operates through Coal Mining; Smart Logistics; Coal Chemical, Electricity and Heat Supply; and Equipment Manufacturing segments. The company offers thermal, PCI, and coking coal; methanol, acetic acid, ethyl acetate, caprolactam, urea, ethylene glycol, naphtha, liquid paraffin, and crude liquid wax; coal mining and excavating equipment, cables, wires, cable accessories, and raw materials products; and chemicals, as well as involved in wholesale of petroleum and mineral products; and manufacturing of synthetic materials. It also engages in potash mineral exploration; electricity and heat supply; coal mining technology development, transfer, and consultation; finance leasing; leasing, trading, and commercial factoring; engineering; investment and asset management; educational software development; event planning; construction and production solar and wind power; providing railway, river, and lakes transportation; commercial; and logistics and transportation services. In addition, the company is involved in coal resource exploration development; port infrastructure construction; production and sales of mining equipment, electromechanical equipment, and rubber products; installation of mining equipment; coal and electrolytic copper trading; recycling of renewable resources; management of mineral resources, coal mining, and washing; operation of power generation; bonded area trade and warehousing; manufacturing of chemical products; and manufacturing of other metal processing machinery. The company was formerly known as Yanzhou Coal Mining Company Limited and changed its name to Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited in December 2021. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Zoucheng, the People's Republic of China. Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Shan Dong Energy Group Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Yankuang Energy Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 144B CNY in FY2025 versus 152B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.4%/yr. Reported net income was 9.0B CNY in FY2025, compounding −13.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.9 % · buybacks/dilution −1.5 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
600188 screens 63% overvalued. Compare with China Shenhua Energy Company →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Should Value Investors Buy Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited Sponsored ADR (YZCAY) Stock?
- Is Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited Sponsored ADR (YZCAY) Stock Undervalued Right Now?
- Is It Too Late To Consider Yankuang Energy Group (SEHK:1171) After Its 98.7% One-Year Surge?
Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 99 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥48.05 | ¥34.97 | −27% |
| PT Bayan Resources Tbk., BYAN | 15,325 IDR | 3,542 IDR | −77% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹2,965 | ₹891.11 | −70% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥25.08 | ¥23.90 | −5% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹417.85 | ₹464.01 | +11% |
| 533278 533278 | ₹406.50 | ₹660.78 | +63% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥13.93 | ¥13.91 | +0% |
| PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk, DSSA | 1,145 IDR | 352.75 IDR | −69% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥26.48 | ¥20.72 | −22% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥16.27 | ¥7.20 | −56% |
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