Shanxi LuAn Environmental Energy Development Co Ltd (601699) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CN · Market cap 48.6B CNY (≈ $7.3B) · ISIN CNE000001NT7
What is Shanxi LuAn Environmental Energy Development Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, but trading 57% above our fair value of ¥10.48.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥7.20 to ¥10.48 (+45.6%) since Aug 10, 2026. Share price +11.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥12.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥6.91 to ¥12.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.85 – ¥28.19 · fair‑value band ¥6.91 – ¥12.74 · the ¥16.50 price screens above the ¥10.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Shanxi LuAn Environmental Energy Development Co Ltd (601699) currently trades at ¥16.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.48, implying the stock looks roughly 57.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥20.25 per share, and 10 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥16.50 price. Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at ¥4.49, and 15 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanxi LuAn Environmental Energy Development Co Ltd generated revenue of 28.1B CNY at a net margin of 4.2%. Revenue grew 4.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 11.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥6.91 (bear case) to ¥12.74 (bull case); at ¥16.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −36%, 601699 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.1374 per share, which is 1.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥20.25) versus Growth Earnings (¥4.49). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sales of coal and coke products in China. The company focuses on raw coal mining, coal washing and beneficiation, and coal and coke smelting. It also develops and utilizes clean coal technology; develops coalbed methane; and manufactures coal liver stone brick.
Full company description
Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sales of coal and coke products in China. The company focuses on raw coal mining, coal washing and beneficiation, and coal and coke smelting. It also develops and utilizes clean coal technology; develops coalbed methane; and manufactures coal liver stone brick. The company owns production mines in Wangzhuang Coal Mine, Zhangcun Coal Mine, Changcun Coal Mine, and Wuyang Coal Mine. It also engages in gas and mineral exploration; geological drilling; accommodation, catering, conference, and travel services; sales and leasing of machinery and equipment; and road transportation of cargo. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Changzhi, China. Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Shanxi Lu'an Mining Industry Group Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanxi LuAn Environmental Energy Development Co Ltd reported revenue of 27.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 45.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound −11.5%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B CNY in FY2025, compounding −36.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +12.4 % · buybacks/dilution +0.5 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
601699 screens 57% overvalued. Compare with China Shenhua Energy Company →
Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 99 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥48.05 | ¥34.97 | −27% |
| PT Bayan Resources Tbk., BYAN | 15,325 IDR | 3,542 IDR | −77% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹2,965 | ₹891.11 | −70% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥25.08 | ¥23.90 | −5% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥21.60 | ¥13.24 | −39% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹417.85 | ₹464.01 | +11% |
| 533278 533278 | ₹406.50 | ₹660.78 | +63% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥13.93 | ¥13.91 | +0% |
| PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk, DSSA | 1,145 IDR | 352.75 IDR | −69% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥26.48 | ¥20.72 | −22% |
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