533278 Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · IN · Market cap ₹2.5T (≈ $26.3B) · ISIN INE522F01014
What is 533278 really worth?
A solid business, trading 37% below our fair value of ₹660.78.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 25, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (70/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹453.02). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range (₹453.02 to ₹890.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹82.20 – ₹481.75 · fair‑value band ₹453.02 – ₹890.25 · the ₹414.30 price screens below the ₹660.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.
Analysis
533278 (533278) currently trades at ₹414.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹660.78, implying the stock looks roughly 37.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹708.09 per share, and 17 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹414.30 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹133.33, and 7 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Net debt stands at ₹52.0B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 7.0 (as of Jul 4, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹453.02 (bear case) to ₹890.25 (bull case); at ₹414.30, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 59%, 533278 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹34.27 per share, which is 5.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹708.09) versus Asset-Based (₹133.33). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
533278 reported revenue of ₹1.7T in FY2025 versus ₹1.1T in FY2021, a compound +11.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹311B in FY2025, compounding +15.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥48.05 | ¥34.97 | −27% |
| PT Bayan Resources Tbk., BYAN | 15,325 IDR | 3,542 IDR | −77% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹2,965 | ₹891.11 | −70% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥25.08 | ¥23.90 | −5% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥21.60 | ¥13.24 | −39% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹417.85 | ₹464.01 | +11% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥13.93 | ¥13.91 | +0% |
| PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk, DSSA | 1,145 IDR | 352.75 IDR | −69% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥26.48 | ¥20.72 | −22% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥16.27 | ¥7.20 | −56% |
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