Coal India Limited (COALINDIA) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · IN · Market cap ₹2.6T (≈ $27.9B) · ISIN INE522F01014
What is Coal India Limited really worth?
A solid business, trading 10% below our fair value of ₹464.01.
Strengths
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
- The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹88.43 – ₹481.65 · fair‑value band ₹363.62 – ₹564.39 · the ₹415.35 price screens below the ₹464.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
Coal India Limited (COALINDIA) currently trades at ₹415.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹464.01, implying the stock looks roughly 10.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹769.44 per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹415.35 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹129.48, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Coal India Limited generated revenue of ₹1.7T at a net margin of 18.5%. Revenue grew 16.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹385B. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹363.62 (bear case) to ₹564.39 (bull case); at ₹415.35, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 12%, COALINDIA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹10.35 per share, which is 2.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹769.44) versus Asset-Based (₹129.48). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Coal India Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells coal and coal products in India. The company offers coking coal for steel making and metallurgical industries, as well as for hard coke manufacturing; semi coking coal for blend-able coal in steel making, merchant coke manufacturing, and other metallurgical industries; and non-coking …
Full company description
Coal India Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells coal and coal products in India. The company offers coking coal for steel making and metallurgical industries, as well as for hard coke manufacturing; semi coking coal for blend-able coal in steel making, merchant coke manufacturing, and other metallurgical industries; and non-coking coal for thermal grade coal for cement, fertilizer, glass, ceramic, paper, chemical, and brick manufacturing, as well as power generation and other heating purposes. It also provides washed and beneficiated coal for manufacturing of hard coke for steel making and power generation, as well as for cement, sponge iron, and other industrial plants; middling products for power generation, domestic fuel plants, brick manufacturing units, cement plants, and industrial plants, etc.; and rejects products for fluidized bed combustion boilers for power generation, road repairs, briquette making, and land filling, etc. In addition, the company offers CIL/LTC coke for use in furnaces and kilns of industrial units, as well as domestic fuel by halwais, and hotels, etc.; coal/coke fines for use in industrial furnaces and domestic purposes; and tar, heavy and light oil, and soft pitch for use in furnaces and boilers of industrial plants, power houses, oil, dye, and pharmaceutical industries, etc. Further, it engages in coal mining and gasification; consultancy support in coal and mineral exploration; and renewable and solar energy. The company was formerly known as Coal Mines Authority Limited and changed its name to Coal India Limited in January 1975. Coal India Limited was incorporated in 1973 and is headquartered in Kolkata, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Coal India Limited reported revenue of ₹1.7T in FY2026 versus ₹1.0T in FY2022, a compound +13.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹311B in FY2026, compounding +15.7%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +7.2 % · buybacks/dilution +0.2 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 99 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 15/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥48.05 | ¥34.97 | −27% |
| PT Bayan Resources Tbk., BYAN | 15,325 IDR | 3,542 IDR | −77% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹2,965 | ₹891.11 | −70% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥25.08 | ¥23.90 | −5% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥21.60 | ¥13.24 | −39% |
| 533278 533278 | ₹406.50 | ₹660.78 | +63% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥13.93 | ¥13.91 | +0% |
| PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk, DSSA | 1,145 IDR | 352.75 IDR | −69% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥26.48 | ¥20.72 | −22% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥16.27 | ¥7.20 | −56% |
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