Coal India Limited (COALINDIA) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · IN · Market cap ₹2.6T
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −4.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 13% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from ₹363.62 (bear) to ₹564.39 (bull), base ₹464.01. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 63/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹83.28 – ₹481.65 · fair‑value band ₹363.62 – ₹564.39 · the ₹410.50 price screens below the ₹464.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Coal India Limited (COALINDIA) currently trades at ₹410.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹464.01, implying the stock looks roughly 13.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Coal India Limited generated revenue of ₹1.7T at a net margin of 18.5%. Revenue grew 16.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹385B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹363.62 (bear case) to ₹564.39 (bull case); at ₹410.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at 13%, COALINDIA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹769.44) versus Asset-Based (₹129.48). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Coal India Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells coal and coal products in India. The company offers coking coal for steel making and metallurgical industries, as well as for hard coke manufacturing; semi coking coal for blend-able coal in steel making, merchant coke manufacturing, and other metallurgical industries; and non-coking …
Full company description
Coal India Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells coal and coal products in India. The company offers coking coal for steel making and metallurgical industries, as well as for hard coke manufacturing; semi coking coal for blend-able coal in steel making, merchant coke manufacturing, and other metallurgical industries; and non-coking coal for thermal grade coal for cement, fertilizer, glass, ceramic, paper, chemical, and brick manufacturing, as well as power generation and other heating purposes. It also provides washed and beneficiated coal for manufacturing of hard coke for steel making and power generation, as well as for cement, sponge iron, and other industrial plants; middling products for power generation, domestic fuel plants, brick manufacturing units, cement plants, and industrial plants, etc.; and rejects products for fluidized bed combustion boilers for power generation, road repairs, briquette making, and land filling, etc. In addition, the company offers CIL/LTC coke for use in furnaces and kilns of industrial units, as well as domestic fuel by halwais, and hotels, etc.; coal/coke fines for use in industrial furnaces and domestic purposes; and tar, heavy and light oil, and soft pitch for use in furnaces and boilers of industrial plants, power houses, oil, dye, and pharmaceutical industries, etc. Further, it engages in coal mining and gasification; consultancy support in coal and mineral exploration; and renewable and solar energy. The company was formerly known as Coal Mines Authority Limited and changed its name to Coal India Limited in January 1975. Coal India Limited was incorporated in 1973 and is headquartered in Kolkata, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Coal India Limited reported revenue of ₹1.7T in FY2026 versus ₹1.0T in FY2022, a compound +13.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹311B in FY2026, compounding +15.7%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +7.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 99 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 15/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥44.07 | ¥34.97 | -21% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹2,965 | ₹891.11 | -70% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥25.08 | ¥23.90 | -5% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥22.09 | ¥13.24 | -40% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥13.93 | ¥13.91 | -0% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥26.48 | ¥20.72 | -22% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥16.27 | ¥7.20 | -56% |
| PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk, ADRO | 2,520 IDR | 3,037 IDR | +21% |
| PT Adaro Andalan Indonesia Tbk AADI | 9,350 IDR | 13,935 IDR | +49% |
| Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group 000983 | ¥6.76 | ¥3.60 | -47% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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