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Futu Holdings (FUTU) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $13.5B

FH Futu Holdings logo Futu Holdings FUTU · US
Price$104.60
Fair Value$132.61
Upside+26.8%
Quality69/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 45.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.71% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/11)
Wide moat 81/100
Evidence: High Range $99.46 – $530.44 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $132.72 to $132.61 (−0.1%) since Aug 12, 2026. Share price +6.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 27% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($99.46 to $530.44). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$195.90 $23.45 Fair Value $132.61 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $23.45 – $195.90 · fair‑value band $99.46 – $530.44 · the $104.60 price screens below the $132.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Futu Holdings (FUTU) currently trades at $104.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $132.61, implying the stock looks roughly 26.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Futu Holdings generated revenue of $22.3B at a net margin of 45.0%. Revenue grew 28.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $106B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $99.46 (bear case) to $530.44 (bull case); at $104.60, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 27%, FUTU screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $5,420 $9,913 $17,275 80
Residual Income $590.59 $848.43 $7,426 76
Gordon GGM $139.72 $290.51 $460.86 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $2,134 $3,761 $7,177 31
5Y P/E Exit $2,776 $4,189 $5,951 38
10Y P/E Exit $3,660 $5,632 $8,496 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $544.48 $3,797 $5,329 54
Lynch FV $1,962 $2,802 $3,643 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $139.72 $290.51 $460.86 70
DDM Multi-Stage $139.72 $244.97 $304.90 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $780.69 $1,041 $1,301 63
P/B Multiple $297.10 $396.14 $495.17 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $141.48 $189.58 $282.96 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $5,420 $9,913 $17,275 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $590.59 $848.43 $7,426 76

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($9,913) versus Asset-Based ($189.58). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $22.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +28.8%
Net margin 45.0%
Return on equity 27.8%
Free cash flow $40.7B FY2025
P/E ratio 10.7 as of Jun 20, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 64.9%
EPS (TTM) $9.05
Dividend yield 2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -60.7%
Net cash $106B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 78 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 85
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Futu Holdings Limited engages in the provision of digitalized securities brokerage and wealth management product distribution service in Hong Kong and internationally. It offers online financial services, including securities and derivative trades brokerage, margin financing and fund distribution services through its Futubull and Moomoo digital platforms.

Full company description

Futu Holdings Limited engages in the provision of digitalized securities brokerage and wealth management product distribution service in Hong Kong and internationally. It offers online financial services, including securities and derivative trades brokerage, margin financing and fund distribution services through its Futubull and Moomoo digital platforms. The company also provides financial information and online community services; online wealth management services under the Money Plus brand name through its Futubull and moomoo platforms, which provides its client access to mutual funds, private funds, bonds, structured products, and other wealth management products; market data and information services; and NiuNiu Community, an open forum for users and clients to share insights, ask questions, and exchange ideas. Futu Holdings Limited was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Futu Holdings reported revenue of $22.8B in FY2025 versus $7.1B in FY2021, a compound +33.8%/yr. Reported net income was $11.3B in FY2025, compounding +41.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$22.8B
Latest YoY
+67.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+44.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+47.1%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+120.4%
Revenue +33.8%/yr
FY21 $7.1B
FY22 $7.6B
FY23 $10.0B
FY24 $13.6B
FY25 $22.8B
Net income +41.7%/yr
FY21 $2.8B
FY22 $2.9B
FY23 $4.3B
FY24 $5.4B
FY25 $11.3B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Futu Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FUTU

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 425 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 76 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +27% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 45% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 65% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 29% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.7× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 69 · sector 13
FUTURE 100 · sector 96
PAST 100 · sector 31
HEALTH 97 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 54 · sector 36

Insider activity: 25/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,050 KRW 18,009 KRW -53%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 118,600 KRW 52,717 KRW -56%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 200,500 KRW 189,335 KRW -6%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 28,550 KRW 22,396 KRW -22%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 93,100 KRW 75,573 KRW -19%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 299,000 KRW 214,812 KRW -28%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 25,300 VND 17,375 VND -31%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 294.30 ARS -6%
Daishin Securities Co 003540 26,950 KRW 48,790 KRW +81%
SK Securities Co 001515 4,285 KRW 1,395 KRW -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Futu Holdings (FUTU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $132.61 versus a price of $104.60, about +27% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FUTU?
Our model-based fair value for Futu Holdings is $132.61 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $104.60.
What is the quality score of FUTU?
Futu Holdings has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Futu Holdings (FUTU)?
Futu Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $22.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FUTU?
The net profit margin of Futu Holdings is about 45.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 45.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Futu Holdings pay a dividend?
Futu Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.71% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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