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FormFactor, Inc (FORM) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $9.2B

FI FormFactor, Inc logo FormFactor, Inc FORM · US
Price$131.67
Fair Value$13.83
Upside-89.5%
Quality55/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 8.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: High Range $9.78 – $22.81 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $11.23 to $13.83 (+23.2%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +13.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 90% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($22.81). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($9.78 to $22.81) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$159.93 $18.19 Fair Value $13.83 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $18.19 – $159.93 · fair‑value band $9.78 – $22.81 · the $131.67 price screens above the $13.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

FormFactor, Inc (FORM) currently trades at $131.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.83, implying the stock looks roughly 89.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, FormFactor, Inc generated revenue of $840M at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue grew 32.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $58.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $9.78 (bear case) to $22.81 (bull case); at $131.67, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -90%, FORM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $2.95 $4.07 $5.82 80
Residual Income $10.02 $10.02 $9.43 76
Rev-Margin DCF $6.59 $11.27 $17.08 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.95 $4.16 $6.09 38
5Y Revenue Exit $6.59 $11.46 $18.11 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $13.28 $24.84 $39.27 41
5Y P/E Exit $10.53 $19.35 $29.29 38
10Y Revenue Exit $5.02 $9.14 $15.45 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $9.54 $18.55 $32.23 37
10Y P/E Exit $7.78 $14.69 $24.32 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.74 $19.58 $26.68 54
Lynch FV $4.94 $7.05 $9.17 50
PEG = 1.0 $4.94 $7.05 $9.17 46
EPV $7.16 $8.10 $8.91 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $14.64 $19.53 $24.41 63
P/S Multiple $8.89 $11.85 $14.82 58
P/B Multiple $8.89 $11.85 $14.82 55
EV/EBIT $16.01 $20.95 $25.90 53
EV/EBITDA $20.43 $26.85 $33.27 54
EV/Revenue $8.68 $11.89 $15.11 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.64 $8.90 $13.28 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.95 $4.07 $5.82 80
Rev-Margin DCF $6.59 $11.27 $17.08 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.02 $10.02 $9.43 76
ROIC Compounder $7.16 $8.10 $8.91 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $10.13 $14.47 $18.81 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($14.69) versus Growth DCF ($4.07). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $840M
Revenue growth (YoY) +32.0%
Net margin 8.1%
Return on equity 6.8%
Free cash flow $11.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 151.3
More key figures
Operating margin 17.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.8700
EPS growth (YoY) +225%
Net cash $58.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 22
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 79
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 89
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

FormFactor, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells probe cards, analytical probes, probe stations, thermal systems, cryogenic systems, and related services in the United States, South Korea, Taiwan, China, Japan, Singapore, Europe, Malaysia, and internationally. The company operates in two segments: Probe Cards and Systems segments.

Full company description

FormFactor, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells probe cards, analytical probes, probe stations, thermal systems, cryogenic systems, and related services in the United States, South Korea, Taiwan, China, Japan, Singapore, Europe, Malaysia, and internationally. The company operates in two segments: Probe Cards and Systems segments. The company provides probe cards to test various semiconductor device types, including systems- on-chip products, such as graphics, central, digital processing units, and other custom application-specific processing units; mobile application processors, microprocessors, and microcontrollers; network devices, which include switches and network processing units; dynamic random-access memory; radio-frequency amplifiers and filters; antenna-in-package devices; analog and mixed-signal integrated circuits; image sensors; co-packaged optical integrated circuits; NAND flash memory; NOR flash memory; and quantum computer processor devices. It also offers analytical probes, which are used for device characterization, electrical simulation model development, failure analysis, and prototype design debugging; probe stations, a critical tool for the development of new generations of semiconductor and electro-optical processes and designs; and thermal subsystems, which include thermal chucks and other test systems used in probe stations and other applications for precise temperature management. In addition, the company provides cryogenic systems, which includes the manufacture of precision cryogenic instruments and semiconductor test and measurement systems; and services and support, including installation services. Further, it offers on-site probe card maintenance and service training, seminars, and telephone support services. It markets and sells its products through direct sales force, manufacturers' representatives, and distributors. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Livermore, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

FormFactor, Inc reported revenue of $785M in FY2025 versus $770M in FY2021, a compound +0.5%/yr. Reported net income was $54.4M in FY2025, compounding −10.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 43/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$785M
Latest YoY
+2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.5%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.1%
Revenue +0.5%/yr
FY21 $770M
FY22 $748M
FY23 $663M
FY24 $764M
FY25 $785M
Net income −10.3%/yr
FY21 $83.9M
FY22 $50.7M
FY23 $82.4M
FY24 $69.6M
FY25 $54.4M

FORM screens 90% overvalued. Compare with ASML Holding →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "FormFactor, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FORM

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 210 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −90% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 151.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 8.85× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 10.91× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 780.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 66.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.39× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 58
PAST 27 · sector 30
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 16

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ASML Holding ASML C$46.39 C$21.15 -54%
Applied Materials, Inc AMAT $548.15 $183.10 -67%
Lam Research Corporation LRCX $326.11 $91.80 -72%
KLA Corporation KLAC $200.47 $74.58 -63%
NAURA Technology Group 002371 ¥760.00 ¥205.30 -73%
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 ¥380.95 ¥55.05 -86%
Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 6,480 TWD 1,804 TWD -72%
MPI Corporation 6223 6,495 TWD 738.64 TWD -89%
HANMI Semiconductor Co 042700 217,500 KRW 47,976 KRW -78%
Wonik IPS Co 240810 120,000 KRW 36,380 KRW -70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is FormFactor, Inc (FORM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.83 versus a price of $131.67, about −90% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FORM?
Our model-based fair value for FormFactor, Inc is $13.83 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $131.67.
What is the quality score of FORM?
FormFactor, Inc has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of FormFactor, Inc (FORM)?
FormFactor, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $840M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FORM?
The net profit margin of FormFactor, Inc is about 8.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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