Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CA · Market cap C$11.8B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from C$15.06 to C$25.39 (+68.6%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −3.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 11% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (C$14.43 to C$31.75) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from C$14.43 (bear) to C$31.75 (bull), base C$25.39. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 46/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$10.13 – C$37.59 · fair‑value band C$14.43 – C$31.75 · the C$28.51 price screens above the C$25.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Element Fleet Management Corp (EFN) currently trades at C$28.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$25.39, implying the stock looks roughly 10.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Element Fleet Management Corp generated revenue of C$2.4B at a net margin of 12.3%. Revenue grew 16.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.9%. Net debt stands at C$9.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$14.43 (bear case) to C$31.75 (bull case); at C$28.51, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at -11%, EFN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$56.39) versus Asset-Based (C$4.59). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Element Fleet Management Corp. operates as a fleet management company primarily in Canada, the United States, Mexico, Australia, and New Zealand. The company offers end-to-end fleet solutions, including cars, trucks, and material handling support equipment ordering support.
Full company description
Element Fleet Management Corp. operates as a fleet management company primarily in Canada, the United States, Mexico, Australia, and New Zealand. The company offers end-to-end fleet solutions, including cars, trucks, and material handling support equipment ordering support. It also provides fleet management solutions, such as vehicle acquisition, maintenance, risk management, route optimization, electric vehicle integration, and remarketing services. In addition, it manages the rental process for extra equipment or other assets, ranging from forklifts to storage trailers, and coordinates delivery and pickup. Further, the company offers other services, including fleet vehicle remarketing, an advance purchase program, Element Energy Solutions, and fleet financing services, which comprise operating and capital leases, sale and leaseback funding, open-end terminal rental adjustment clause (TRAC) leases, and a client-owned acquisition program. Additionally, it provides title, licensing, and registration services; end-to-end telematics services; driver training programs and other safety services; and insurance coverage solutions, including subrogation, driver safety programs, and telematics, as well as accident management services, including vehicle repair for cars, light-duty vehicles, and medium-duty trucks. It is involved in tolls and violations processing, regulation compliance, fuel services, managed maintenance, and personal usage and expense tracking. The company provides Autofleet, a suite of software solutions for transportation services for fleets and mobility operators. Element Fleet Management Corp. is based in Toronto, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Element Fleet Management Corp reported revenue of C$2.3B in FY2025 versus C$1.1B in FY2021, a compound +18.4%/yr. Reported net income was C$284M in FY2025, compounding +0.4%/yr from FY2021.
EFN screens 11% overvalued. Compare with United Rentals, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Element Fleet Management Aims to Acquire FleetPartners in Australia/NZ in $578 Million Deal
- Element Fleet Management (TSX:EFN) Could Be 27% Undervalued As Earnings And Buybacks Land
- Element Fleet Management (TSX:EFN) Made A Bid For An Australia And New Zealand Fleet Operator
- Element Submits Proposal to Acquire FleetPartners Group
Peer Group
Rental & Leasing Services · 98 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Rental & Leasing Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Rental & Leasing Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Rentals, Inc URI | $1,129 | $449.86 | -60% |
| Sunbelt Rentals Holdings SUNB | $80.55 | $65.76 | -18% |
| AerCap Holdings AER | $150.25 | $301.51 | +101% |
| Ryder System, Inc R | $262.96 | $109.71 | -58% |
| Ayvens AYV | €11.68 | €25.90 | +122% |
| Localiza Rent a Car S.A RENT3 | R$34.71 | R$37.01 | +7% |
| BOC Aviation Limited 2588 | HK$74.40 | HK$18.61 | -75% |
| GATX Corporation GATX | $177.56 | $140.90 | -21% |
| Avis Budget Group CAR | $139.58 | $158.11 | +13% |
| WillScot Holdings WSC | $22.89 | $43.19 | +89% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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