Avis Budget Group Inc (CAR) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $5.5B · ISIN US0537741052
What is Avis Budget Group Inc really worth?
Avis Budget Group Inc
CAR · US
Below-average quality, trading 12% below our fair value of $158.11.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $157.38 to $158.11 (+0.5%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −1.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
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What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($86.36 to $229.86). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
- Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $55.49 – $713.97 · fair‑value band $86.36 – $229.86 · the $138.51 price screens below the $158.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Avis Budget Group Inc (CAR) currently trades at $138.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $158.11, implying the stock looks roughly 12.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 5 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Avis Budget Group Inc generated revenue of $11.8B at a net margin of −5.7%. Revenue grew 4.1% year over year. Net debt stands at $30.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $86.36 (bear case) to $229.86 (bull case); at $138.51, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 14%, CAR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Avis Budget Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides car and truck rentals, car sharing, and ancillary products and services to businesses and consumers in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Asia, and Australasia.
Full company description
Avis Budget Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides car and truck rentals, car sharing, and ancillary products and services to businesses and consumers in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Asia, and Australasia. The company operates the Avis brand, which offers vehicle rental and other mobility solutions to the commercial and leisure segments of the travel industry and the Zipcar brand, a car sharing network that offers vehicle rental and other mobility solutions comprising budget car rental and budget truck. It also operates various other car rental brands, such as Payless, Apex, Maggiore, Morini Rent, FranceCars, AmicoBlu, Turiscar, and ACL Hire and McNicoll vehicle Hire. The company was formerly known as Cendant Corporation and changed its name to Avis Budget Group, Inc. in September 2006. Avis Budget Group, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is based in Parsippany, New Jersey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Avis Budget Group Inc reported revenue of $11.7B in FY2025 versus $9.3B in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$889M in FY2025.
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Avis Budget Group (CAR) Stock Looks Like A Bargain On Sales But Weaker On Returns
- Why Is Avis Budget (CAR) Down 7% Since Last Earnings Report?
- Is Avis Budget Stock A Rare Bargain Or A Value Trap After Its 80% Drop?
- Here's Why Investors Should Hold Avis Budget in Their Portfolios Now
Peer Group
Rental & Leasing Services · 90 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Rental & Leasing Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Rental & Leasing Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Rentals, Inc URI | $1,038 | $449.86 | −57% |
| Sunbelt Rentals Holdings SUNB | $84.80 | $65.76 | −22% |
| AerCap Holdings AER | $147.49 | $301.51 | +104% |
| U-Haul Holding UHAL | $68.41 | $7.21 | −89% |
| Ryder System, Inc R | $243.48 | $109.71 | −55% |
| Ayvens AYV | €11.36 | €25.90 | +128% |
| Element Fleet Management Corp EFN | C$27.92 | C$20.86 | −25% |
| BOC Aviation Limited 2588 | HK$75.15 | HK$145.91 | +94% |
| GATX Corporation GATX | $173.54 | $140.90 | −19% |
| WillScot Holdings WSC | $23.76 | $43.19 | +82% |
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