Dana Inc (DAN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $2.9B · ISIN US2358252052

What is Dana Inc really worth?

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($19.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
• A fairly wide model range ($8.33 to $19.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.35 – $38.79 · fair‑value band $8.33 – $19.94 · the $31.52 price screens above the $8.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Dana Inc (DAN) currently trades at $31.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.72, implying the stock looks roughly 261.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $13.43 per share, and 2 of the 22 models we run sit above the $31.52 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $4.80, and 20 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Dana Inc generated revenue of $7.6B at a net margin of 15.1%. Revenue grew 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −2.8%. Net debt stands at $3.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.33 (bear case) to $19.94 (bull case); at $31.52, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 109% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −72%, DAN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Widest divergence: Multiples ($13.43) versus Dividend Discount ($4.80). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Dana Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, provides power-conveyance and energy-management solutions for on-highway vehicles in North America, Europe, South America, and the Asia Pacific.

Full company description

Dana Incorporated, together with its subsidiaries, provides power-conveyance and energy-management solutions for on-highway vehicles in North America, Europe, South America, and the Asia Pacific. The Light Vehicle segment provides axles, driveshafts, internal combustion engine (ICE), hybrid and electric transmissions, e-axle and e-transmission systems, inverters, electric motors, controllers, sealing and thermal products, e-sealing, e-thermal cooling systems, battery and electronics cooling, hydrogen fuel cell cooling, and new power industrial cooling. The Commercial Vehicle segment offers axles, driveshafts, hybrid and electric transmissions, e-axle and e-transmission systems, inverters, electric motors, controllers. The company offers electrodynamic technologies comprising motors, inverters, software and control systems, battery-management systems, and fuel cell plates. The company also provides sealing solutions, such as gaskets, seals, cam covers, and oil pan modules; thermal-management technologies, including transmission and engine oil cooling, battery and electronics cooling, charge air cooling, and thermal-acoustical protective shielding; and digital solutions that include active and passive system controls, as well as descriptive and predictive analytics. It serves vehicle manufacturers in the global light vehicle, medium/heavy vehicle. The company was formerly known as Dana Holding Corporation and changed its name to Dana Incorporated in August 2016. Dana Incorporated was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in Maumee, Ohio.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Dana Inc reported revenue of $7.5B in FY2025 versus $8.9B in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was $85.0M in FY2025, compounding −19.0%/yr from FY2021.

DAN screens 261% overvalued. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 640 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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