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Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $2.4B · ISIN US1535272058

What is Central Garden & Pet Company A really worth?

CG Central Garden & Pet Company A logo Central Garden & Pet Company A CENTA · US
Price$36.06
Fair Value$53.59
Upside+48.6%
Quality62/100

A solid business, trading 33% below our fair value of $53.59.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/14)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +3.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.4% net margin
!Moderate moat 47/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Medium Range $39.47 – $66.98

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price −6.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($39.47). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$42.34 $26.27 Fair Value $53.59 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $26.27 – $42.34 · fair‑value band $39.47 – $66.98 · the $36.06 price screens below the $53.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA) currently trades at $36.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $53.59, implying the stock looks roughly 32.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $54.86 per share, and 18 of the 23 models we run sit above the $36.06 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $16.62, and 5 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Central Garden & Pet Company A generated revenue of $3.2B at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue grew 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.8%. Net debt stands at $558M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $39.47 (bear case) to $66.98 (bull case); at $36.06, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 49%, CENTA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 11 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.55 per share, which is 4.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $42.04 $62.58 $91.07 79
Growth DCF $43.12 $61.87 $86.64 77
Owner Earnings $28.39 $42.95 $63.14 75
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $42.04 $62.58 $91.07 79
Owner Earnings $28.39 $42.95 $63.14 75
5Y Revenue Exit $34.93 $54.32 $78.17 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $42.06 $67.15 $95.28 74
5Y P/E Exit $34.76 $54.02 $73.26 70
10Y Revenue Exit $36.17 $53.85 $75.77 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $41.60 $62.37 $88.08 67
10Y P/E Exit $37.12 $53.65 $72.24 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $17.35 $43.61 $56.63 62
PEG = 1.0 $8.02 $11.46 $14.89 55
EPV $25.39 $30.17 $34.29 72
Multiples
P/E Multiple $40.19 $53.59 $66.98 61
P/S Multiple $32.54 $43.38 $54.23 56
P/B Multiple $32.54 $43.38 $54.23 53
EV/EBIT $48.11 $65.76 $83.41 64
EV/EBITDA $48.62 $66.44 $84.27 66
EV/Revenue $32.95 $49.15 $65.35 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $12.41 $16.62 $24.81 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $43.12 $61.87 $86.64 77
Rev-Margin DCF $34.93 $54.86 $76.68 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $21.63 $24.04 $36.65 74
ROIC Compounder $25.50 $32.06 $39.66 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $31.02 $44.32 $57.61 66

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($54.86) versus Asset-Based ($16.62). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 14.2 as of Jul 18, 2026
P/S ratio 0.74 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $2.70 price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.2
Net margin 5.2% FY2025
Return on equity 10.8% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 12.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $3.2B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.7% 3y avg −2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +30.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $291M FY2025
Net debt $558M FY2025 · ≈ 1.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 57
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Central Garden & Pet Company produces and distributes various products for the lawn and garden, and pet supplies markets in the United States. It operates through two segments: Pet and Garden.

Full company description

Central Garden & Pet Company produces and distributes various products for the lawn and garden, and pet supplies markets in the United States. It operates through two segments: Pet and Garden. The Pet segment provides dog and cat supplies, such as dog treats and chews, toys, pet beds and containment, grooming items, waste management, and training pads; supplies for aquatics, small animals, reptiles, and pet birds, including toys, enclosures, habitats, bedding, and food and supplements; products for equine and livestock; animal and household health and insect control products; aquariums and terrariums, including fixtures and stands, water conditioners and supplements, water pumps and filters, and lighting systems and accessories; and live fish and small animals, as well as outdoor cushions. This segment sells its products under the Aqueon, Cadet, Comfort Zone, Farnam, Four Paws, K&H Pet Products, Kaytee, Nylabone, and Zilla brands. Its Garden segment offers lawn and garden supplies products that include grass seed; vegetable; flower and herb packet seed; wild bird feed, bird feeders, bird houses, and other birding accessories; fertilizers; decorative products; live plants; and weed and grass, as well as other herbicides, insecticide, and pesticide products. This segment sells its lawn and garden supplies products under the Amdro, Ferry-Morse, Pennington, and Sevin brands. The company sells its products to independent distributors, big-box retailers, national and regional retail chains, eCommerce and online retailers, grocery stores, nurseries, and mass merchants. Central Garden & Pet Company was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Walnut Creek, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Central Garden & Pet Company A reported revenue of $3.1B in FY2025 versus $3.3B in FY2021, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was $163M in FY2025, compounding +1.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.1B
Latest YoY
−2.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (33Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+3.0% (3.0 + 0.0)
Revenue −1.3%/yr
FY21 $3.3B
FY22 $3.3B
FY23 $3.3B
FY24 $3.2B
FY25 $3.1B
Net income +1.8%/yr
FY21 $152M
FY22 $152M
FY23 $126M
FY24 $108M
FY25 $163M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +16.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.0 %

of which total revenue +7.4 % · buybacks/dilution −2.2 %

EBIT margin +2.6 %
Tax rate +1.9 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +5.7 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Central Garden & Pet Company A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CENTA

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 648 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +49% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.75× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.51× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.76× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 8.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.87× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE98 · sector 25
FUTURE44 · sector 21
PAST43 · sector 28
HEALTH62 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 53

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 78.62 CHF 57.26 −27%
Danone S.A BN €64.28 €48.41 −25%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,478 ₹251.94 −83%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $25.13 $24.59 −2%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.05 ¥21.93 −37%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥25.51 ¥32.50 +27%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.28 ¥9.89 −61%
General Mills, Inc GIS $40.44 $28.32 −30%
Wilmar International Limited F34 3.64 SGD 3.89 SGD +7%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,511 ₹1,765 −68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $53.59 versus a price of $36.06, about +49% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CENTA?
Our model-based fair value for Central Garden & Pet Company A is $53.59 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $36.06.
What is the quality score of CENTA?
Central Garden & Pet Company A has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Central Garden & Pet Company A (CENTA)?
Central Garden & Pet Company A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CENTA?
The net profit margin of Central Garden & Pet Company A is about 5.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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