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Cerebras Systems Inc. Class A Common Stock (CBRS) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $52.0B · ISIN US15675D1037

What is Cerebras Systems Inc. Class A Common Stock really worth?

CS Cerebras Systems Inc. Class A Common Stock logo Cerebras Systems Inc. Class A Common Stock CBRS · US
Price$190.44
Fair Value$26.30
Upside−86.2%
Quality41/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Below-average quality, and trading another 624% above our fair value of $26.30.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +174.6 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -75.3% net margin · fiscal year 2025 46.6%
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/8)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $19.72 – $32.87

Fair value as of: Aug 16, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −16.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($32.87). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (4 months)

$311.07 $168.52 Fair Value $26.30 May 2026 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

4‑month range $168.52 – $311.07 · fair‑value band $19.72 – $32.87 · the $190.44 price screens above the $26.30 fair value. As of Aug 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Cerebras Systems Inc. Class A Common Stock (CBRS) currently trades at $190.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $26.30, implying the stock looks roughly 624.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $107.08 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $190.44 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $24.99, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Cerebras Systems Inc. Class A Common Stock generated revenue of $510M at a net margin of 46.6%. It earns a return on equity of 38.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $440M. Fundamentals as of Aug 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $19.72 (bear case) to $32.87 (bull case); at $190.44, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −86%, CBRS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple $44.49 $59.33 $74.16 63
Growth-Adj P/E $74.96 $107.08 $139.21 63
Graham-Dodd $14.41 $100.48 $141.00 59
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $14.41 $100.48 $141.00 59
Lynch FV $51.91 $74.16 $96.40 57
PEG = 1.0 $51.91 $74.16 $96.40 53
Multiples
P/E Multiple $44.49 $59.33 $74.16 63
P/S Multiple $18.74 $24.99 $31.24 58
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $74.96 $107.08 $139.21 63

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($107.08) versus Multiples ($24.99). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 544.8 as of Jun 19, 2026
EPS (TTM) $0.4200 price ÷ EPS = P/E 544.8
Net margin 46.6% FY2025
Return on equity 38.4% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −34.6% avg 4y
Operating margin −30.7% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $510M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.7% 3y avg +175%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$393M FY2025
Net cash $440M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 36
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Cerebras Systems Inc. operates as an artificial intelligence infrastructure company. It designs and manufactures an AI compute platform that comprises of proprietary systems and software that is delivered in racks for deployment in data centers up to supercomputer scale.

Full company description

Cerebras Systems Inc. operates as an artificial intelligence infrastructure company. It designs and manufactures an AI compute platform that comprises of proprietary systems and software that is delivered in racks for deployment in data centers up to supercomputer scale. The company's pioneering wafer-scale engine, a chip encompassing a silicon wafer, designed to enable higher performance and speeds than GPUs for the computational demands of inference, Generative AI, and other AI applications. Its customers include hyperscalers, foundation model labs, AI-native and digital-native businesses, enterprises, and leaders of Sovereign AI initiatives. The company has operations in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. Cerebras Systems Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cerebras Systems Inc. Class A Common Stock reported revenue of $510M in FY2025 versus $24.6M in FY2022, a compound +174.6%/yr. Reported net income was $238M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$510M
Latest YoY
+75.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+174.6%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Revenue +174.6%/yr
FY22 $24.6M
FY23 $78.7M
FY24 $290M
FY25 $510M
Net income
FY22 −$178M
FY23 −$127M
FY24 −$482M
FY25 $238M

CBRS screens 624% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cerebras Systems Inc. Class A Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CBRS

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 325 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets −5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −75% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 74% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 544.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 76.43× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 65
PAST75 · sector 25
HEALTH0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $227.98 $98.98 −57%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $427.30 $296.10 −31%
Broadcom Inc AVGO $371.54 $118.27 −68%
SK hynix Inc 000660 1,647,000 KRW 1,481,291 KRW −10%
Micron Technology, Inc MU $932.86 $148.38 −84%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD $476.67 $55.02 −88%
Intel Corporation INTC $92.09 $35.41 −62%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $266.54 $78.54 −71%
QUALCOMM Incorporated QCOM $164.78 $147.20 −11%
MediaTek Inc 2454 3,845 TWD 1,559 TWD −59%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cerebras Systems Inc. Class A Common Stock (CBRS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $26.30 versus a price of $190.44, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CBRS?
Our model-based fair value for Cerebras Systems Inc. Class A Common Stock is $26.30 (as of Aug 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $190.44.
What is the quality score of CBRS?
Cerebras Systems Inc. Class A Common Stock has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cerebras Systems Inc. Class A Common Stock (CBRS)?
Cerebras Systems Inc. Class A Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $510M (latest available figure, as of Aug 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CBRS?
The net profit margin of Cerebras Systems Inc. Class A Common Stock is about 46.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 46.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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