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Camurus AB (CAMX) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · SE · Market cap 33.3B SEK (≈ $3.5B) · ISIN SE0007692850

What is Camurus AB really worth?

CA Camurus AB CAMX · ST
Pricekr 587.00
Fair Valuekr 269.35
Upside−54.1%
Quality72/100

A solid business, but trading 118% above our fair value of kr 269.35.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +46.5 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 30.5% net margin
generates free cash flow
Wide moat 80/100

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Evidence: High Range kr 202.01 – kr 325.08

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −0.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 325.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 733.50 kr 121.60 Fair Value kr 269.35 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 121.60 – kr 733.50 · fair‑value band kr 202.01 – kr 325.08 · the kr 587.00 price screens above the kr 269.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Camurus AB (CAMX) currently trades at kr 587.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 269.35, implying the stock looks roughly 117.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of kr 568.82 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the kr 587.00 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 47.23, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Camurus AB generated revenue of 2.2B SEK at a net margin of 30.5%. Revenue declined 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.6B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 202.01 (bear case) to kr 325.08 (bull case); at kr 587.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −54%, CAMX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 7.69 per share, which is 2.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 266.74 kr 384.15 kr 758.04 72
Growth DCF kr 254.57 kr 444.21 kr 754.95 71
EPV kr 170.87 kr 189.01 kr 204.88 70
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 266.74 kr 384.15 kr 758.04 72
Owner Earnings kr 224.55 kr 431.88 kr 867.13 67
5Y Revenue Exit kr 182.13 kr 257.61 kr 414.57 67
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 238.06 kr 370.71 kr 630.74 68
5Y P/E Exit kr 270.63 kr 530.72 kr 885.61 63
10Y Revenue Exit kr 205.26 kr 347.90 kr 429.65 63
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 249.66 kr 468.34 kr 845.88 61
10Y P/E Exit kr 273.42 kr 538.47 kr 975.21 57
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 83.25 kr 580.60 kr 814.79 61
Lynch FV kr 299.96 kr 428.52 kr 557.07 59
PEG = 1.0 kr 299.96 kr 428.52 kr 557.07 55
EPV kr 170.87 kr 189.01 kr 204.88 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 202.01 kr 269.35 kr 336.69 63
P/S Multiple kr 98.98 kr 131.97 kr 164.97 58
P/B Multiple kr 156.10 kr 208.14 kr 260.17 55
EV/EBIT kr 249.66 kr 312.20 kr 374.75 63
EV/EBITDA kr 220.91 kr 273.88 kr 326.85 64
EV/Revenue kr 141.20 kr 175.14 kr 209.07 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 35.25 kr 47.23 kr 70.50 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 254.57 kr 444.21 kr 754.95 71
Rev-Margin DCF kr 193.89 kr 285.97 kr 479.61 66
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 81.34 kr 108.11 kr 389.76 56
ROIC Compounder kr 182.90 kr 220.66 kr 264.70 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 398.18 kr 568.82 kr 739.47 65

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (kr 568.82) versus Asset-Based (kr 47.23). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 51.8
P/S ratio 16.8 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) kr 11.33 price ÷ EPS = P/E 51.8
Net margin 32.5% FY2025
Return on equity 17.3% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.8% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 31.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 2.2B SEK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −4.5% 3y avg +33.3%
EPS growth (YoY) −27.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 731M SEK FY2025
Net cash 3.6B SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 73
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 26
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Camurus AB (publ), a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines for severe and chronic diseases in Europe, Africa, the Middle East, North America, and Asia. The company offers Buvidal, a buprenorphine injection for the treatment of opioid dependence and chronic pain; and Brixadi to treat opioid use disorder.

Full company description

Camurus AB (publ), a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines for severe and chronic diseases in Europe, Africa, the Middle East, North America, and Asia. The company offers Buvidal, a buprenorphine injection for the treatment of opioid dependence and chronic pain; and Brixadi to treat opioid use disorder. It also provides CAM2038 for the treatment of chronic pain; CAM2029, which completed phase III clinical trials for the treatment of acromegaly, and is under phase III clinical trials to treat gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumors, as well as in phase II clinical trial to treat polycystic liver diseases; and CAM2043 for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension, as well as in phase II clinical trial to treat Raynaud's phenomenon. In addition, the company is developing CAM2032, which is in phase II clinical trials for the treatment of prostate cancer; CAM4072 that is in phase III clinical trials for the treatment of genetic obesity disorders; CAM2056 that is in phase I clinical trials for the treatment of metabolic diseases; CAM4071, which is in phase I clinical trials for the treatment of endocrine disorder; and CAM2047 that is in phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting. It has strategic partnerships with Braeburn Pharmaceuticals to develop CAM2038 for the treatment of opioid use disorder; Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Inc. to develop CAM4072 for the treatment of a range of rare genetic disorders of obesity; Gubra A/S to develop long-acting therapeutic option for the treatment of hypoparathyroidism; NewBridge Pharmaceuticals; and Eli Lilly for the development of long-acting incretin medicines based on FluidCrystal technology. Camurus AB (publ) was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Lund, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Camurus AB reported revenue of 2.3B SEK in FY2025 versus 601M SEK in FY2021, a compound +39.4%/yr. Reported net income was 736M SEK in FY2025.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.3B SEK
Latest YoY
+21.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+33.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+46.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.6%
Value creation/yr (3Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 3 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+42.3% (42.3 + 0.0)
Revenue +39.4%/yr
FY21 601M SEK
FY22 956M SEK
FY23 1.7B SEK
FY24 1.9B SEK
FY25 2.3B SEK
Net income
FY21 −90.4M SEK
FY22 55.6M SEK
FY23 431M SEK
FY24 428M SEK
FY25 736M SEK

CAMX screens 118% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Camurus AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CAMX

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 622 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −54% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Revenue growth −5% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 51.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 7.87× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 14.87× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 36.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST69 · sector 0
HEALTH0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 26

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $547.55 $278.78 −49%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $807.71 $594.40 −26%
argenx SE ARGX €877.60 €292.84 −67%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,518,000 KRW 1,055,793 KRW −30%
CSL Limited CSL A$174.50 A$141.68 −19%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $228.61 $51.70 −77%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $60.58 $24.22 −60%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 190,700 KRW 74,519 KRW −61%
BeOne Medicines AG ONC $362.51 $111.35 −69%
BioNTech SE BNTX $111.40 $45.66 −59%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Camurus AB (CAMX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 269.35 versus a price of kr 587.00, about −54% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CAMX?
Our model-based fair value for Camurus AB is kr 269.35 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 587.00.
What is the quality score of CAMX?
Camurus AB has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Camurus AB (CAMX)?
Camurus AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2B SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CAMX?
The net profit margin of Camurus AB is about 30.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 30.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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