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Bellring Brands LLC (BRBR) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.1B · ISIN US07831C1036

What is Bellring Brands LLC really worth?

BB Bellring Brands LLC logo Bellring Brands LLC BRBR · US
Price$10.40
Fair Value$31.20
Upside+200.0%
Quality63/100

A solid business, trading 67% below our fair value of $31.20.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +18.6 %/yr)
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)

Risks

!Thin margins · 6.8% net margin
!Moderate moat 64/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 9 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range $18.14 – $41.07

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 27, 2026, revised from $33.22 to $31.20 (−6.1%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −18.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($18.14). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($18.14 to $41.07) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$79.39 $7.90 Fair Value $31.20 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.90 – $79.39 · fair‑value band $18.14 – $41.07 · the $10.40 price screens below the $31.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Bellring Brands LLC (BRBR) currently trades at $10.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $31.20, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $45.14 per share, and 21 of the 23 models we run sit above the $10.40 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $19.04, and 2 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Bellring Brands LLC generated revenue of $2.3B at a net margin of 6.8%. Revenue grew 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 61.5%. Net debt stands at $1.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $18.14 (bear case) to $41.07 (bull case); at $10.40, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 200%, BRBR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 11 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.20 per share, which is 3.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $16.52 $37.30 $66.51 75
FCF DCF $17.47 $35.17 $76.34 74
EPV $11.02 $13.69 $15.92 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $17.47 $35.17 $76.34 74
Owner Earnings $14.84 $35.89 $72.12 71
5Y Revenue Exit $14.21 $33.54 $60.99 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $19.81 $46.09 $81.08 71
5Y P/E Exit $18.43 $43.00 $73.01 67
10Y Revenue Exit $14.38 $32.83 $63.45 63
10Y EBITDA Exit $18.56 $41.66 $80.45 64
10Y P/E Exit $17.70 $39.49 $73.75 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $12.64 $76.36 $106.46 63
Lynch FV $21.80 $31.14 $40.49 61
PEG = 1.0 $21.80 $31.14 $40.49 57
EPV $11.02 $13.69 $15.92 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.64 $2.96 $4.08 68
DDM Multi-Stage $1.64 $2.71 $3.16 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $29.28 $39.05 $48.81 63
P/S Multiple $23.71 $31.61 $39.51 58
EV/EBIT $30.63 $43.69 $56.76 65
EV/EBITDA $22.97 $33.48 $43.99 67
EV/Revenue $12.36 $21.33 $30.29 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $16.52 $37.30 $66.51 75
Rev-Margin DCF $14.21 $32.80 $59.03 69
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $13.33 $19.04 $25.63 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $31.60 $45.14 $58.69 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($45.14) versus Dividend Discount ($2.71). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 8.1
P/S ratio 0.75 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $1.29 price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.1
Dividend yield 2.3% payout 18.8%
Net margin 9.3% FY2025
Return on equity 61.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 36.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 11.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $2.3B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.8% 3y avg +19.1%
EPS growth (YoY) −35.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $256M FY2025
Net debt $1.0B FY2025 · ≈ 4.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 86
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

BellRing Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various nutrition products in the United States. The company offers ready-to-drink (RTD) protein shakes, other RTD beverages, protein powders, nutrition bars, and other products primarily under the Premier Protein and Dymatize brands.

Full company description

BellRing Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various nutrition products in the United States. The company offers ready-to-drink (RTD) protein shakes, other RTD beverages, protein powders, nutrition bars, and other products primarily under the Premier Protein and Dymatize brands. It distributes its products through club stores, food, drug and mass retailers, e-commerce, online and specialty retailers, and convenience stores channels. BellRing Brands, Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bellring Brands LLC reported revenue of $2.3B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +16.7%/yr. Reported net income was $216M in FY2025, compounding +67.3%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.3B
Latest YoY
+16.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+18.7% (16.4 + 2.3)
Revenue +16.7%/yr
FY21 $1.2B
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 $1.7B
FY24 $2.0B
FY25 $2.3B
Net income +67.3%/yr
FY21 $27.6M
FY22 $82.3M
FY23 $166M
FY24 $247M
FY25 $216M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bellring Brands LLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BRBR

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 648 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +200% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 62% · Top 25%
Return on assets 19% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.45× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 4.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.6× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 25
FUTURE9 · sector 21
PAST100 · sector 28
HEALTH100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND47 · sector 53

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 78.62 CHF 57.26 −27%
Danone S.A BN €64.28 €48.41 −25%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,478 ₹251.94 −83%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $25.13 $24.59 −2%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.05 ¥21.93 −37%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥25.51 ¥32.50 +27%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.28 ¥9.89 −61%
General Mills, Inc GIS $40.44 $28.32 −30%
Wilmar International Limited F34 3.64 SGD 3.89 SGD +7%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,511 ₹1,765 −68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bellring Brands LLC (BRBR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $31.20 versus a price of $10.40, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BRBR?
Our model-based fair value for Bellring Brands LLC is $31.20 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $10.40.
What is the quality score of BRBR?
Bellring Brands LLC has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bellring Brands LLC (BRBR)?
Bellring Brands LLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BRBR?
The net profit margin of Bellring Brands LLC is about 6.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Bellring Brands LLC pay a dividend?
Bellring Brands LLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.33% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 27, 2026).
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