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Astra Otoparts Tbk (AUTO) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 12.1T IDR (≈ $1.2B) · ISIN ID1000119704

What is Astra Otoparts Tbk really worth?

AO Astra Otoparts Tbk AUTO · JK
Price3,330 IDR
Fair Value2,636 IDR
Upside−20.9%
Quality62/100

A solid business, but trading 26% above our fair value of 2,636 IDR.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +10.9 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 11.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/14)

Risks

!Moderate moat 47/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 6 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range 2,076 IDR – 4,444 IDR

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 5,360 IDR to 2,636 IDR (−50.8%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +19.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (2,076 IDR to 4,444 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

3,430 IDR 697.92 IDR Fair Value 2,636 IDR Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 697.92 IDR – 3,430 IDR · fair‑value band 2,076 IDR – 4,444 IDR · the 3,330 IDR price screens above the 2,636 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Astra Otoparts Tbk (AUTO) currently trades at 3,330 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,636 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 26.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 7,318 IDR per share, and 21 of the 24 models we run sit above the 3,330 IDR price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 2,181 IDR, and 3 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Astra Otoparts Tbk generated revenue of 20.3T IDR at a net margin of 11.1%. Revenue grew 7.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.9T IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2,076 IDR (bear case) to 4,444 IDR (bull case); at 3,330 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −21%, AUTO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 316.67 IDR per share, which is 12.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence 6,222 IDR 9,749 IDR 15,603 IDR 79
Growth DCF 6,298 IDR 9,838 IDR 15,813 IDR 77
5Y EBITDA Exit 4,687 IDR 6,810 IDR 9,292 IDR 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence 6,222 IDR 9,749 IDR 15,603 IDR 79
Owner Earnings 6,784 IDR 10,683 IDR 17,158 IDR 75
5Y Revenue Exit 4,142 IDR 5,763 IDR 7,804 IDR 73
5Y EBITDA Exit 4,687 IDR 6,810 IDR 9,292 IDR 76
5Y P/E Exit 7,222 IDR 11,685 IDR 16,493 IDR 70
10Y Revenue Exit 4,731 IDR 6,436 IDR 8,713 IDR 67
10Y EBITDA Exit 5,166 IDR 7,191 IDR 9,906 IDR 69
10Y P/E Exit 6,837 IDR 10,707 IDR 15,677 IDR 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 3,111 IDR 10,986 IDR 14,784 IDR 64
Lynch FV 2,572 IDR 3,674 IDR 4,776 IDR 61
PEG = 1.0 2,572 IDR 3,674 IDR 4,776 IDR 57
EPV 2,836 IDR 3,176 IDR 3,478 IDR 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 7,549 IDR 10,065 IDR 12,581 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 3,717 IDR 4,956 IDR 6,195 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 5,833 IDR 7,777 IDR 9,722 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 4,327 IDR 5,466 IDR 6,605 IDR 66
EV/EBITDA 4,276 IDR 5,398 IDR 6,520 IDR 67
EV/Revenue 3,213 IDR 4,200 IDR 5,188 IDR 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1,627 IDR 2,181 IDR 3,255 IDR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 6,298 IDR 9,838 IDR 15,813 IDR 77
Rev-Margin DCF 4,142 IDR 5,801 IDR 7,794 IDR 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income 3,229 IDR 4,205 IDR 11,399 IDR 67
ROIC Compounder 2,836 IDR 3,176 IDR 3,812 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 5,122 IDR 7,318 IDR 9,513 IDR 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (7,318 IDR) versus Asset-Based (2,181 IDR). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 7.1
P/S ratio 0.79 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 468.08 IDR price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.1
Net margin 11.1% FY2025
Return on equity 14.2% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 5.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 20.3T IDR TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.4% 3y avg +2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +10.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 2.1T IDR FY2025
Net cash 3.9T IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 78
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

PT Astra Otoparts Tbk manufactures, sells, distributes, and exports spare parts for two-wheelers and four-wheelers in Indonesia, the Rest of Asia, the Middle East, the United States, Europe, and Africa. It operates through the Trading and Automotive Component Manufacturing segments.

Full company description

PT Astra Otoparts Tbk manufactures, sells, distributes, and exports spare parts for two-wheelers and four-wheelers in Indonesia, the Rest of Asia, the Middle East, the United States, Europe, and Africa. It operates through the Trading and Automotive Component Manufacturing segments. The company offers automotive spare parts, chains, and filters; rubber and metal components; jacks and tools; plastic components; automotive batteries; automotive pistons; wheel rims and frame chassis for vehicles; sales services; and vehicles transmission components, as well as cutting steel and heat treatment services, as well as manufactures, sells, and trades in automotive parts; and manufactures and sells electrical appliances. It distributes its products through dealers, sales offices, and retailers. The company was formerly known as PT Astra Dian Lestari and changed its name to PT Astra Otoparts Tbk in November 1997. PT Astra Otoparts Tbk was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Astra Otoparts Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Astra International Tbk.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Astra Otoparts Tbk reported revenue of 19.9T IDR in FY2025 versus 15.2T IDR in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was 2.2T IDR in FY2025, compounding +37.8%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 93/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
19.9T IDR
Latest YoY
+4.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in IDR) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+26.7% (26.7 + 0.0)
Revenue +7.1%/yr
FY21 15.2T IDR
FY22 18.6T IDR
FY23 18.6T IDR
FY24 19.1T IDR
FY25 19.9T IDR
Net income +37.8%/yr
FY21 611B IDR
FY22 1.3T IDR
FY23 1.8T IDR
FY24 2.0T IDR
FY25 2.2T IDR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +15.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.1 %

of which total revenue +5.1 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin −1.5 %
Tax rate +1.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +10.8 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

AUTO screens 26% overvalued. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Astra Otoparts Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AUTO

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 640 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −21% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.77× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.60× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE6 · sector 14
FUTURE37 · sector 21
PAST57 · sector 28
HEALTH100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND0 · sector 32

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY $88.50 $47.50 −46%
AutoZone, Inc AZO $2,932 $2,287 −22%
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 450,500 KRW 643,909 KRW +43%
Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥57.67 ¥84.47 +46%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹165.30 ₹80.63 −51%
Magna International Inc MGA $65.57 $68.17 +4%
Genuine Parts Company GPC $137.51 $58.07 −58%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,700 ₹11,534 −76%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥45.82 ¥28.28 −38%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,063 ₹393.20 −81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Astra Otoparts Tbk (AUTO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2,636 IDR versus a price of 3,330 IDR, about −21% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AUTO?
Our model-based fair value for Astra Otoparts Tbk is 2,636 IDR (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3,330 IDR.
What is the quality score of AUTO?
Astra Otoparts Tbk has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Astra Otoparts Tbk (AUTO)?
Astra Otoparts Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 20.3T IDR (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AUTO?
The net profit margin of Astra Otoparts Tbk is about 11.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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