Astra Otoparts Tbk (AUTO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 12.1T IDR (≈ $1.2B) · ISIN ID1000119704
What is Astra Otoparts Tbk really worth?
A solid business, but trading 26% above our fair value of 2,636 IDR.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 5,360 IDR to 2,636 IDR (−50.8%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +19.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (2,076 IDR to 4,444 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 697.92 IDR – 3,430 IDR · fair‑value band 2,076 IDR – 4,444 IDR · the 3,330 IDR price screens above the 2,636 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Astra Otoparts Tbk (AUTO) currently trades at 3,330 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,636 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 26.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 7,318 IDR per share, and 21 of the 24 models we run sit above the 3,330 IDR price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 2,181 IDR, and 3 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Astra Otoparts Tbk generated revenue of 20.3T IDR at a net margin of 11.1%. Revenue grew 7.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.9T IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2,076 IDR (bear case) to 4,444 IDR (bull case); at 3,330 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −21%, AUTO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 316.67 IDR per share, which is 12.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (7,318 IDR) versus Asset-Based (2,181 IDR). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PT Astra Otoparts Tbk manufactures, sells, distributes, and exports spare parts for two-wheelers and four-wheelers in Indonesia, the Rest of Asia, the Middle East, the United States, Europe, and Africa. It operates through the Trading and Automotive Component Manufacturing segments.
Full company description
PT Astra Otoparts Tbk manufactures, sells, distributes, and exports spare parts for two-wheelers and four-wheelers in Indonesia, the Rest of Asia, the Middle East, the United States, Europe, and Africa. It operates through the Trading and Automotive Component Manufacturing segments. The company offers automotive spare parts, chains, and filters; rubber and metal components; jacks and tools; plastic components; automotive batteries; automotive pistons; wheel rims and frame chassis for vehicles; sales services; and vehicles transmission components, as well as cutting steel and heat treatment services, as well as manufactures, sells, and trades in automotive parts; and manufactures and sells electrical appliances. It distributes its products through dealers, sales offices, and retailers. The company was formerly known as PT Astra Dian Lestari and changed its name to PT Astra Otoparts Tbk in November 1997. PT Astra Otoparts Tbk was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Astra Otoparts Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Astra International Tbk.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Astra Otoparts Tbk reported revenue of 19.9T IDR in FY2025 versus 15.2T IDR in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was 2.2T IDR in FY2025, compounding +37.8%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
of which total revenue +5.1 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
AUTO screens 26% overvalued. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 640 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY | $88.50 | $47.50 | −46% |
| AutoZone, Inc AZO | $2,932 | $2,287 | −22% |
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 450,500 KRW | 643,909 KRW | +43% |
| Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 | ¥57.67 | ¥84.47 | +46% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹165.30 | ₹80.63 | −51% |
| Magna International Inc MGA | $65.57 | $68.17 | +4% |
| Genuine Parts Company GPC | $137.51 | $58.07 | −58% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹48,700 | ₹11,534 | −76% |
| Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 | ¥45.82 | ¥28.28 | −38% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,063 | ₹393.20 | −81% |
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