Atlas Copco AB (ATCO-A) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 939B SEK
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +10.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 46% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 142.32). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 70.43 to kr 142.32) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 85.95 – kr 211.50 · fair‑value band kr 70.43 – kr 142.32 · the kr 209.70 price screens above the kr 112.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Atlas Copco AB (ATCO-A) currently trades at kr 209.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 112.59, implying the stock looks roughly 46.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Atlas Copco AB generated revenue of 166B SEK at a net margin of 15.7%. Revenue declined 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.4%. Net debt stands at 19.4B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 70.43 (bear case) to kr 142.32 (bull case); at kr 209.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -46%, ATCO-A screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 113.89) versus Asset-Based (kr 15.15). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Atlas Copco AB (publ) provides compressed air and gas, air treatment systems, vacuum, industrial power tools and assembly systems, machine vision, and power and flow solutions in North America, South America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Asia, and Oceania.
Full company description
Atlas Copco AB (publ) provides compressed air and gas, air treatment systems, vacuum, industrial power tools and assembly systems, machine vision, and power and flow solutions in North America, South America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Asia, and Oceania. It operates through Compressor Technique, Vacuum Technique, Industrial Technique, and Power Technique segments. The company offers piston compressors, oil-free tooth and scroll compressors, rotary screw compressors, oil-free blowers, oil-free centrifugal compressors, gas and process compressors, air and gas treatment equipment, expanders and pumps, and medical air solutions. It also provides oil-sealed rotary vane, dry, and liquid ring vacuum pumps; turbomolecular and cryogenic pumps; abatement and integrated systems; industrial assembly tools and solutions; self-pierce riveting solutions; adhesive dispensing and flow drill fastening equipment; material removal tools, and drills and other pneumatic products; machine vision solutions; construction and demolition tools; mobile compressors, generators, and energy storage systems; and industrial flow, portable power, portable flow, and portable air products, as well as specialty rental services. The company serves the semiconductor and flat panel, industrial manufacturing, civil engineering, demolition, exploration drilling, automotive, off-highway vehicle producers, electronics, aerospace, energy, food, pharmaceutical, textile, and other industries. Atlas Copco AB (publ) was founded in 1873 and is headquartered in Nacka, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Atlas Copco AB reported revenue of kr 168B in FY2025 versus kr 111B in FY2021, a compound +11.0%/yr. Reported net income was kr 26.4B in FY2025, compounding +9.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
ATCO-A screens 46% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Atlas Copco AB (ATLCY) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Order Intake and Strategic ...
- Atlas Copco (ATLKY) Upgraded to Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?
- High Arctic Overseas Announces engagement as Authorised Distributor for Atlas Copco Power Technique products in Papua New Guinea
- Atlas Copco SDC Deal Reshapes Industrial Portfolio And Valuation Debate
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €899.80 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €281.75 | €91.93 | -67% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.75 | -28% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 358.60 | kr 193.01 | -46% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥39.17 | ¥22.68 | -42% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥24.06 | ¥18.71 | -22% |
| ABB India Limited ABB | ₹7,700 | ₹1,322 | -83% |
| Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND | ₹5,315 | ₹1,355 | -75% |
| Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited BHEL | ₹420.00 | ₹96.51 | -77% |
| Siemens Limited SIEMENS | ₹4,019 | ₹746.83 | -81% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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