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Array Technologies Inc (ARRY) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $1.2B · ISIN US04271T1007

What is Array Technologies Inc really worth?

AT Array Technologies Inc logo Array Technologies Inc ARRY · US
Price$4.54
Fair Value$3.35
Upside−26.2%
Quality55/100

A solid business, but trading 36% above our fair value of $3.35.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +8.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -5.6% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $1.33 to $5.38
Evidence: Medium Range $1.33 – $5.38

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price −24.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($1.33 to $5.38). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$27.09 $3.98 Fair Value $3.35 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.98 – $27.09 · fair‑value band $1.33 – $5.38 · the $4.54 price screens above the $3.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

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Analysis

Array Technologies Inc (ARRY) currently trades at $4.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.35, implying the stock looks roughly 35.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $7.81 per share, and 5 of the 7 models we run sit above the $4.54 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.13, and 2 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Array Technologies Inc generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of −5.6%. Revenue declined 26.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −22.7%. Net debt stands at $522M. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.33 (bear case) to $5.38 (bull case); at $4.54, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −26%, ARRY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $4.05 $7.62 $17.32 71
Growth DCF $3.68 $8.29 $16.32 71
Rev-Margin DCF $2.80 $7.81 $15.37 65
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.05 $7.62 $17.32 71
5Y Revenue Exit $2.80 $7.03 $15.29 64
10Y Revenue Exit $2.98 $8.25 $13.82 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue $2.03 $4.05 $6.08 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8500 $1.13 $1.69 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.68 $8.29 $16.32 71
Rev-Margin DCF $2.80 $7.81 $15.37 65

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($7.81) versus Asset-Based ($1.13). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (71).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.98 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−0.8400
Net margin −4.1% FY2025
Return on equity −22.7% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −0.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 2.0% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.2B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −26.1% 3y avg −7.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +137%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $79.8M FY2025
Net debt $522M FY2025 · ≈ 6.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 1

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 1
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 1
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Array Technologies, Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of solar tracking technology products in the United States, Spain, Brazil, Australia, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Array Legacy Operations and STI Operations.

Full company description

Array Technologies, Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of solar tracking technology products in the United States, Spain, Brazil, Australia, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Array Legacy Operations and STI Operations. The company's products portfolio includes DuraTrack HZ V3, a single axis tracker; Array STI H250, a dual-row tracker system; Array OmniTrack; Array SkyLink, a photovoltaic-powered control tracker system; and SmarTrack, a software and control-based product. Array Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Albuquerque, New Mexico.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Array Technologies Inc reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $853M in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$52.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.3B
Latest YoY
+40.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.4%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +10.8%/yr
FY21 $853M
FY22 $1.6B
FY23 $1.6B
FY24 $916M
FY25 $1.3B
Net income
FY21 −$50.4M
FY22 $4.4M
FY23 $137M
FY24 −$240M
FY25 −$52.2M

ARRY screens 36% overvalued. Compare with First Solar, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Array Technologies Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ARRY

Peer Group

Solar · 109 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −26% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Above median
Revenue growth −26% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 2.53× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Solar median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.53× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.98× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 14.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.89× · Pricier than median

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
First Solar, Inc FSLR $210.10 $392.12 +87%
Nextpower Inc NXT $103.67 $69.61 −33%
Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER ₹2,624 ₹2,709 +3%
Tongwei Co 600438 ¥12.89 ¥12.13 −6%
Jinko Solar Co 688223 ¥4.16 ¥6.47 +56%
Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH $39.25 $24.15 −38%
CSI Solar Co 688472 ¥10.28 ¥6.76 −34%
Hengdian Group 002056 ¥21.53 ¥31.86 +48%
Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE ₹1,017 ₹648.94 −36%
Trina Solar Co 688599 ¥12.77 ¥7.97 −38%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Array Technologies Inc (ARRY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.35 versus a price of $4.54, about −26% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ARRY?
Our model-based fair value for Array Technologies Inc is $3.35 (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.54.
What is the quality score of ARRY?
Array Technologies Inc has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Array Technologies Inc (ARRY)?
Array Technologies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ARRY?
The net profit margin of Array Technologies Inc is about −5.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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