Aptiv PLC (APTV) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $12.3B · ISIN JE00BTDN8H13
What is Aptiv PLC really worth?
Aptiv PLC
APTV · US
A solid business, but trading 36% above our fair value of $34.30.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 31, 2026, revised from $17.15 to $34.30 (+100.0%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price −2.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($42.88). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $44.76 – $178.12 · fair‑value band $25.74 – $42.88 · the $46.53 price screens above the $34.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
Analysis
Aptiv PLC (APTV) currently trades at $46.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.30, implying the stock looks roughly 35.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $54.52 per share, and 9 of the 24 models we run sit above the $46.53 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $4.53, and 15 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Aptiv PLC generated revenue of $20.7B at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. Net debt stands at $6.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $25.74 (bear case) to $42.88 (bull case); at $46.53, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −26%, APTV screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.12 per share, which is 3.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($54.52) versus Dividend Discount ($0.3400). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Aptiv PLC, an industrial technology company, provides hardware and software solutions to support automotive and other industries in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and South America. It operates through three segments: Advanced Safety and User Experience, Engineered Components, and Electrical Distribution Systems.
Full company description
Aptiv PLC, an industrial technology company, provides hardware and software solutions to support automotive and other industries in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and South America. It operates through three segments: Advanced Safety and User Experience, Engineered Components, and Electrical Distribution Systems. The company offers active safety, user experience and smart vehicle compute, and software products for vehicle safety and security, including intelligent sensors, compute platforms, and software tools and services. It also provides connection systems, interconnects, and cable management and protection solutions for the distribution of power, signal, and data. Aptiv PLC was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Schaffhausen, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Aptiv PLC reported revenue of $20.4B in FY2025 versus $15.6B in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was $165M in FY2025, compounding −27.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +2.3 % · buybacks/dilution +1.4 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
APTV screens 36% overvalued. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Aptiv Accelerating Production-Ready Physical AI with Support for NVIDIA Jetson Orin Nano 2
- Wall Street Analysts Think APTIV PLC (APTV) Is a Good Investment: Is It?
- BlackBerry vs. Aptiv: Which Auto Tech Stock Is the Better Buy?
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 640 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY | $88.50 | $47.50 | −46% |
| AutoZone, Inc AZO | $2,932 | $2,287 | −22% |
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 450,500 KRW | 643,909 KRW | +43% |
| Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 | ¥57.67 | ¥84.47 | +46% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹165.30 | ₹80.63 | −51% |
| Magna International Inc MGA | $65.57 | $68.17 | +4% |
| Genuine Parts Company GPC | $137.51 | $58.07 | −58% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹48,700 | ₹11,534 | −76% |
| Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 | ¥45.82 | ¥28.28 | −38% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,063 | ₹393.20 | −81% |
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