Aegon NV (AGN) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · NL · Market cap €11.7B · ISIN BMG0112X1056
What is Aegon NV really worth?
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of €7.66.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price −3.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.57 – €8.29 · fair‑value band €5.75 – €9.58 · the €7.98 price screens above the €7.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
Analysis
Aegon NV (AGN) currently trades at €7.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €7.66, implying the stock looks roughly 4.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €7.17 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the €7.98 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €3.43, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Aegon NV generated revenue of €12.2B at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue declined 13.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.4%. Net debt stands at €2.4B. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €5.75 (bear case) to €9.58 (bull case); at €7.98, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −4%, AGN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €0.1353 per share, which is 1.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€7.17) versus Asset-Based (€3.43). Highest evidence: Residual Income (73).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Aegon Ltd. Engages in the provision of insurance, pensions, retirement, and asset management services in the Americas, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Distribution, Protection Solutions, and Savings & Investments.
Full company description
Aegon Ltd. Engages in the provision of insurance, pensions, retirement, and asset management services in the Americas, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Distribution, Protection Solutions, and Savings & Investments. The company offers retirement plans, mutual funds, and stable value solutions; and annuities, individual life, life and health, and individual health. The company provides its products under the Transamerica and World Financial Group brands. Aegon Ltd. was founded in 1844 and is headquartered in Schiphol, the Netherlands.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Aegon NV reported revenue of €33.4B in FY2025 versus €46.1B in FY2021, a compound −7.8%/yr. Reported net income was €977M in FY2025, compounding −16.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −5.8 % · buybacks/dilution +4.2 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch AGN: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Does Citi’s Earnings Beat and Aegon Mandate Change The Bull Case For Citigroup (C)?
- Aegon (AEG) is One of the Best Future Stocks to Buy Under $10, Here’s Why
Peer Group
Insurance - Diversified · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Berkshire Hathaway Inc BRKB80 | 1.67 THB | 1.48 THB | −11% |
| Allianz SE ALV | €453.00 | €266.04 | −41% |
| Zurich Insurance Group ZURN | CHF 596.00 | CHF 335.07 | −44% |
| AXA SA CS | €43.61 | €39.90 | −9% |
| Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A G | €44.11 | €10.92 | −75% |
| Sun Life Financial Inc SLF | C$108.85 | C$57.05 | −48% |
| American International Group AIG | $76.14 | $80.91 | +6% |
| The Hartford Insurance Group HIG | $137.38 | $133.10 | −3% |
| Arch Capital Group ACGL | $98.76 | $124.45 | +26% |
| Swiss Life Holding SLHN | CHF 919.00 | CHF 425.23 | −54% |
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