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Analog Devices Inc (ADI) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $183B · ISIN US0326541051

What is Analog Devices Inc really worth?

AD Analog Devices Inc logo Analog Devices Inc ADI · US
Price$356.50
Fair Value$130.34
Upside−63.4%
Quality81/100

A strong business, but trading 174% above our fair value of $130.34.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 26.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 77/100

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +14.5 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
!Weak on dividend: 23 out of 100

For context

·1.17% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $82.60 – $162.92

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −6.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 81/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($162.92). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range ($82.60 to $162.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$445.48 $128.42 Fair Value $130.34 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $128.42 – $445.48 · fair‑value band $82.60 – $162.92 · the $356.50 price screens above the $130.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Analog Devices Inc (ADI) currently trades at $356.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $130.34, implying the stock looks roughly 173.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 81/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $146.68 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $356.50 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $44.45, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Analog Devices Inc generated revenue of $12.7B at a net margin of 26.0%. Revenue grew 37.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at $6.2B. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $82.60 (bear case) to $162.92 (bull case); at $356.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −63%, ADI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 10 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.08 per share, which is 1.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $95.51 $169.89 $292.16 75
EPV $37.05 $45.16 $52.25 74
Growth DCF $95.88 $167.09 $282.78 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $95.51 $169.89 $292.16 75
Owner Earnings $81.84 $146.73 $253.40 71
5Y Revenue Exit $59.59 $99.91 $151.92 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $106.83 $193.30 $298.44 71
5Y P/E Exit $83.25 $146.68 $216.21 67
10Y Revenue Exit $69.34 $110.65 $168.37 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $101.91 $177.48 $286.17 64
10Y P/E Exit $86.55 $144.12 $220.05 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $31.65 $125.62 $170.66 62
Lynch FV $31.12 $44.45 $57.79 59
PEG = 1.0 $31.12 $44.45 $57.79 55
EPV $37.05 $45.16 $52.25 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $36.28 $75.43 $119.65 64
DDM Multi-Stage $36.28 $63.60 $79.16 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple $97.75 $130.34 $162.92 63
P/S Multiple $59.35 $79.13 $98.92 58
P/B Multiple $59.35 $79.13 $98.92 55
EV/EBIT $96.78 $132.90 $169.02 66
EV/EBITDA $125.09 $170.64 $216.20 67
EV/Revenue $43.20 $66.68 $90.16 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $34.71 $46.51 $69.42 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $95.88 $167.09 $282.78 74
Rev-Margin DCF $59.59 $100.21 $150.46 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income $56.42 $59.46 $62.69 74
ROIC Compounder $37.05 $45.16 $52.25 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $65.87 $94.10 $122.33 65

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($146.68) versus Earnings-Based ($44.45). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 53.0
P/S ratio 10.9 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $6.73 price ÷ EPS = P/E 53.0
Dividend yield 1.2% payout 62.1%
Net margin 20.6% FY2025
Return on equity 9.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6% avg 5y
Operating margin 38.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $12.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +37.2% 3y avg −2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +111%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $4.3B FY2025
Net debt $6.2B FY2025 · ≈ 1.4 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 81/100

Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 72
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Analog Devices, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, testing, and marketing of integrated circuits (ICs), software, and subsystems products in the United States, rest of North and South America, Europe, Japan, China, and rest of Asia.

Full company description

Analog Devices, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, testing, and marketing of integrated circuits (ICs), software, and subsystems products in the United States, rest of North and South America, Europe, Japan, China, and rest of Asia. It provides data converter products, which translate real-world analog signals into digital data, as well as translates digital data into analog signals; power management and reference products for power conversion, driver monitoring, sequencing, and energy management applications in the automotive, communications, industrial, and consumer markets; and power ICs that include performance, integration, and software design simulation tools for accurate power supply designs. The company also offers amplifiers to condition analog signals; and radio frequency and microwave ICs to support cellular infrastructure; and micro-electro-mechanical systems technology solutions, including accelerometers used to sense acceleration, gyroscopes for sense rotation, inertial measurement units to sense multiple degrees of freedom, and broadband switches for radio and instrument systems, as well as isolators. In addition, it provides digital signal processing and system products for numeric calculations. The company serves clients in the industrial, automotive, consumer, instrumentation, aerospace, defense and healthcare, and communications markets through a direct sales force, third-party distributors, and independent sales representatives, as well as online. The company was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Analog Devices Inc reported revenue of $11.0B in FY2025 versus $7.3B in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was $2.3B in FY2025, compounding +13.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$11.0B
Latest YoY
+16.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+7.8% (6.6 + 1.2)
Revenue +10.8%/yr
FY21 $7.3B
FY22 $12.0B
FY23 $12.3B
FY24 $9.4B
FY25 $11.0B
Net income +13.0%/yr
FY21 $1.4B
FY22 $2.7B
FY23 $3.3B
FY24 $1.6B
FY25 $2.3B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +8.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.7 %

of which total revenue +14.4 % · buybacks/dilution −5.0 %

EBIT margin +0.0 %
Tax rate +0.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

ADI screens 174% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Analog Devices Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ADI

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 325 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 81 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −63% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 37% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.24× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 53.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 5.41× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 14.35× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 42.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 30.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.70× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 65
PAST39 · sector 25
HEALTH88 · sector 96
DIVIDEND23 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $227.98 $98.98 −57%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $427.30 $296.10 −31%
Broadcom Inc AVGO $371.54 $118.27 −68%
SK hynix Inc 000660 1,647,000 KRW 1,481,291 KRW −10%
Micron Technology, Inc MU $932.86 $148.38 −84%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD $476.67 $55.02 −88%
Intel Corporation INTC $92.09 $35.41 −62%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $266.54 $78.54 −71%
QUALCOMM Incorporated QCOM $164.78 $147.20 −11%
MediaTek Inc 2454 3,845 TWD 1,559 TWD −59%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Analog Devices Inc (ADI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $130.34 versus a price of $356.50, about −63% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ADI?
Our model-based fair value for Analog Devices Inc is $130.34 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $356.50.
What is the quality score of ADI?
Analog Devices Inc has a Quality Score of 81/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Analog Devices Inc (ADI)?
Analog Devices Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $12.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ADI?
The net profit margin of Analog Devices Inc is about 26.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 26.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Analog Devices Inc pay a dividend?
Analog Devices Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.17% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 3, 2026).
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