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Rockchip Electronics Co (603893) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 86.8B CNY

RE Rockchip Electronics Co 603893 · SHG
Price¥208.34
Fair Value¥55.59
Upside-73.3%
Quality80/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 24.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.74% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 85/100
Evidence: High Range ¥37.88 – ¥104.45 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥41.50 to ¥55.59 (+34.0%) since Aug 11, 2026. Share price −4.0% over the past month.

A strong business, but screening 73% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 80/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥104.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (¥37.88 to ¥104.45). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥246.30 ¥42.60 Fair Value ¥55.59 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥42.60 – ¥246.30 · fair‑value band ¥37.88 – ¥104.45 · the ¥208.34 price screens above the ¥55.59 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Rockchip Electronics Co (603893) currently trades at ¥208.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥55.59, implying the stock looks roughly 73.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 80/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Rockchip Electronics Co generated revenue of 4.7B CNY at a net margin of 24.6%. Revenue grew 36.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥37.88 (bear case) to ¥104.45 (bull case); at ¥208.34, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -73%, 603893 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥33.46 ¥61.25 ¥115.63 80
Residual Income ¥16.34 ¥21.57 ¥106.14 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥29.42 ¥55.61 ¥95.48 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥35.15 ¥55.39 ¥116.14 38
Owner Earnings ¥37.95 ¥82.47 ¥175.92 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥29.42 ¥51.06 ¥93.92 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥39.21 ¥71.89 ¥132.75 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥48.97 ¥104.58 ¥177.83 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥30.09 ¥59.28 ¥89.31 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥38.01 ¥78.46 ¥154.58 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥44.95 ¥97.56 ¥191.75 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥16.72 ¥116.60 ¥163.63 54
Lynch FV ¥36.82 ¥52.59 ¥68.37 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥36.82 ¥52.59 ¥68.37 46
EPV ¥24.51 ¥28.09 ¥31.22 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥8.21 ¥17.07 ¥27.08 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥8.21 ¥14.39 ¥17.92 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥51.64 ¥68.85 ¥86.06 63
P/S Multiple ¥31.35 ¥41.80 ¥52.25 58
P/B Multiple ¥31.35 ¥41.80 ¥52.25 55
EV/EBIT ¥48.12 ¥63.14 ¥78.16 53
EV/EBITDA ¥41.11 ¥53.79 ¥66.47 54
EV/Revenue ¥25.84 ¥35.60 ¥45.37 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.18 ¥6.94 ¥10.36 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥33.46 ¥61.25 ¥115.63 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥29.42 ¥55.61 ¥95.48 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥16.34 ¥21.57 ¥106.14 76
ROIC Compounder ¥29.67 ¥41.17 ¥56.94 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥56.24 ¥80.34 ¥104.45 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥80.34) versus Asset-Based (¥6.94). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +36.2%
Net margin 24.6%
Return on equity 27.4%
Free cash flow 836M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 76.3
More key figures
Operating margin 28.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥2.73
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +56.0%
Net cash 2.1B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 80/100

Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 79
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 95
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 39
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Rockchip Electronics Co., Ltd. operates as a fabless IC design company focusing on Intelligent IoT in China. The company offers artificial intelligent application processor chips, including general application processors, machine vision processors, audio processors, etc.; and power management, interface conversion, wireless connection, fast charging …

Full company description

Rockchip Electronics Co., Ltd. operates as a fabless IC design company focusing on Intelligent IoT in China. The company offers artificial intelligent application processor chips, including general application processors, machine vision processors, audio processors, etc.; and power management, interface conversion, wireless connection, fast charging protocol, and other digital-analog hybrid chips, as well as modules and other products. It also provides system-on-chip (SoC) for tablet, notebook, Chromebook, IPTV/OTT-Box, Internet of Things (IoT), smart audio products, intelligent video application in smartphone, drone, IPC, CVR, robotics, and other smart devices. In addition, it offers solutions for tablet and PC, streaming media, retail and industrial, smart home, intelligent application, smart vision, automotive, open-source, and fast charger applications. Further, the company engages in SoC design, analog circuit chip design, and algorithm research activities. Additionally, it provides PMICs, analog-digital mixed chips, optoelectronic products, and development boards solutions. Rockchip Electronics Co., Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Fuzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Rockchip Electronics Co reported revenue of ¥4.4B in FY2025 versus ¥2.7B in FY2021, a compound +12.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.0B in FY2025, compounding +14.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+40.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.8%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.7%
Revenue +12.8%/yr
FY21 ¥2.7B
FY22 ¥2.0B
FY23 ¥2.1B
FY24 ¥3.1B
FY25 ¥4.4B
Net income +14.7%/yr
FY21 ¥602M
FY22 ¥297M
FY23 ¥135M
FY24 ¥595M
FY25 ¥1.0B

603893 screens 73% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rockchip Electronics Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603893

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 322 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 80 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −73% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Return on assets 14% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 29% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 36% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 76.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 19.82× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 18.39× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 15.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 66.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 59
PAST 100 · sector 23
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 15 · sector 20

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $217.50 $98.98 -54%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $429.15 $291.42 -32%
Broadcom Inc 1AVGO €366.85 €121.25 -67%
Micron Technology, Inc 1MU €802.10 €185.67 -77%
SK hynix Inc 000660 1,504,000 KRW 1,481,291 KRW -2%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD €428.20 €56.33 -87%
Intel Corporation INTC C$54.79 C$11.71 -79%
MediaTek Inc 2454 4,015 TWD 1,559 TWD -61%
SK Square Co 402340 1,024,000 KRW 1,204,862 KRW +18%
GigaDevice Semiconductor Inc 3986 HK$515.00 HK$274.86 -47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Rockchip Electronics Co (603893) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥55.59 versus a price of ¥208.34, about −73% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603893?
Our model-based fair value for Rockchip Electronics Co is ¥55.59 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥208.34.
What is the quality score of 603893?
Rockchip Electronics Co has a Quality Score of 80/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Rockchip Electronics Co (603893)?
Rockchip Electronics Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 603893?
The net profit margin of Rockchip Electronics Co is about 24.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 24.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Rockchip Electronics Co pay a dividend?
Rockchip Electronics Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.93% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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