Beijing GeoEnviron Engineering (603588) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 22.4B CNY (≈ $3.3B) · ISIN CNE100001V11
What is Beijing GeoEnviron Engineering really worth?
A solid business, but trading 57% above our fair value of ¥9.35.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +4.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.24 – ¥19.80 · fair‑value band ¥7.02 – ¥11.69 · the ¥14.71 price screens above the ¥9.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Beijing GeoEnviron Engineering (603588) currently trades at ¥14.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.35, implying the stock looks roughly 57.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥18.33 per share, and 9 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥14.71 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥4.24, and 17 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing GeoEnviron Engineering generated revenue of 16.4B CNY at a net margin of 7.4%. Revenue grew 50.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.9%. Net debt stands at 8.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.02 (bear case) to ¥11.69 (bull case); at ¥14.71, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 177% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −36%, 603588 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.4737 per share, which is 5.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥18.33) versus Asset-Based (¥4.24). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Beijing GeoEnviron Engineering & Technology, Inc. provides resource utilization and environmental governance system solutions for government and corporate in China. It operates through three segments, Resource recycling, Environmental Operation Services, and Environmental Engineering Services.
Full company description
Beijing GeoEnviron Engineering & Technology, Inc. provides resource utilization and environmental governance system solutions for government and corporate in China. It operates through three segments, Resource recycling, Environmental Operation Services, and Environmental Engineering Services. It offers services, including metal and non-metal recycling, waste incineration power generation and landfill, harmless disposal of solid waste and hazardous waste, wastewater treatment, organic waste treatment, flue gas treatment, landfill construction, and soil. The company was formerly known as Liner Engineering Department of Institute of High Energy Physics Academy of Sciences. Beijing GeoEnviron Engineering & Technology, Inc. was founded in 1992 and is based in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Beijing GeoEnviron Engineering reported revenue of 14.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 7.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +17.1%/yr. Reported net income was 838M CNY in FY2025, compounding +3.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +31.6 % · buybacks/dilution −5.4 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
603588 screens 57% overvalued. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →
Peer Group
Waste Management · 165 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $217.76 | $128.02 | −41% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $220.92 | $120.63 | −45% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | C$230.52 | C$78.67 | −66% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €32.60 | €23.26 | −29% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $311.81 | $154.01 | −51% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | C$57.62 | C$44.27 | −23% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €11.30 | €7.30 | −35% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.67 | ¥5.27 | −21% |
| Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 | ¥14.86 | ¥20.95 | +41% |
| Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY | A$2.60 | A$1.18 | −55% |
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