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Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group Corp Ltd (601827) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 14.1B CNY (≈ $2.1B) · ISIN CNE100003ZV2

What is Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group Corp Ltd really worth?

CS Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group Corp Ltd 601827 · SHG
Price¥8.04
Fair Value¥14.68
Upside+82.6%
Quality67/100

A solid business, trading 45% below our fair value of ¥14.68.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 22.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Wide moat 68/100

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +2.4 %/yr)

For context

·3.31% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ¥9.34 – ¥19.33

Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 13 days ago

Share price −3.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥9.34). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥9.34 to ¥19.33) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥10.51 ¥6.18 Fair Value ¥14.68 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.18 – ¥10.51 · fair‑value band ¥9.34 – ¥19.33 · the ¥8.04 price screens below the ¥14.68 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group Corp Ltd (601827) currently trades at ¥8.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.68, implying the stock looks roughly 45.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥14.05 per share, and 15 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥8.04 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥4.82, and 10 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group Corp Ltd generated revenue of 5.5B CNY at a net margin of 22.7%. Revenue declined 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.4%. Net debt stands at 3.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.34 (bear case) to ¥19.33 (bull case); at ¥8.04, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 83%, 601827 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.3356 per share, which is 2.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥10.07 ¥15.98 ¥24.60 77
Growth DCF ¥10.38 ¥15.78 ¥23.27 76
EPV ¥6.51 ¥7.97 ¥9.24 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥10.07 ¥15.98 ¥24.60 77
Owner Earnings ¥8.07 ¥13.02 ¥20.25 73
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.71 ¥7.19 ¥10.15 70
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.49 ¥17.64 ¥25.72 72
5Y P/E Exit ¥8.73 ¥14.46 ¥20.23 68
10Y Revenue Exit ¥6.46 ¥9.10 ¥12.24 65
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.22 ¥16.22 ¥23.76 66
10Y P/E Exit ¥9.11 ¥14.05 ¥19.70 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.01 ¥13.03 ¥16.99 63
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.47 ¥3.53 ¥4.59 55
EPV ¥6.51 ¥7.97 ¥9.24 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥3.37 ¥6.75 ¥11.11 64
DDM Multi-Stage ¥3.37 ¥5.18 ¥7.12 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥11.60 ¥15.46 ¥19.33 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.99 ¥6.65 ¥8.31 58
P/B Multiple ¥9.39 ¥12.52 ¥15.65 55
EV/EBIT ¥10.77 ¥15.10 ¥19.43 66
EV/EBITDA ¥12.48 ¥17.39 ¥22.29 67
EV/Revenue ¥1.97 ¥3.76 ¥5.56 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.59 ¥4.82 ¥7.19 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥10.38 ¥15.78 ¥23.27 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.71 ¥7.39 ¥10.39 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.38 ¥7.11 ¥10.89 73
ROIC Compounder ¥6.51 ¥8.31 ¥10.71 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.05 ¥12.92 ¥16.80 65

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥14.05) versus Asset-Based (¥4.82). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 10.6
P/S ratio 2.34 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.7600 price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.6
Dividend yield 3.3% payout 35.0%
Net margin 22.1% FY2025
Return on equity 10.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 38.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 5.5B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −2.2% 3y avg −2.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +8.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 1.9B CNY FY2025
Net debt 3.7B CNY FY2025 · ≈ 2.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group Corp., Ltd. engages in the waste incineration power generation and energy supply in China. The company engages in the construction and operation of waste incineration power generation plants.

Full company description

Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group Corp., Ltd. engages in the waste incineration power generation and energy supply in China. The company engages in the construction and operation of waste incineration power generation plants. It also provides environmental sanitation and urban environmental services; engages in leachate treatment; and involves in waste collection and transfer activities, as well as researches and develops, manufactures, and sells core equipment for waste incineration power generation. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Chongqing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group Corp Ltd reported revenue of 5.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 5.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.2B CNY in FY2025, compounding −0.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.6B CNY
Latest YoY
−7.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+14.7% (11.4 + 3.3)
Revenue −1.4%/yr
FY21 5.9B CNY
FY22 6.0B CNY
FY23 6.0B CNY
FY24 6.0B CNY
FY25 5.6B CNY
Net income −0.1%/yr
FY21 1.2B CNY
FY22 1.1B CNY
FY23 1.2B CNY
FY24 1.2B CNY
FY25 1.2B CNY

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group Corp Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601827

Peer Group

Waste Management · 165 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +83% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 39% · Top 25%
Revenue growth −2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.58× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.17× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.55× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.1× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 2
FUTURE0 · sector 19
PAST42 · sector 26
HEALTH71 · sector 82
DIVIDEND66 · sector 45

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $217.76 $128.02 −41%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $220.92 $120.63 −45%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN C$230.52 C$78.67 −66%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €32.60 €23.26 −29%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $311.81 $154.01 −51%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL C$57.62 C$44.27 −23%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €11.30 €7.30 −35%
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.67 ¥5.27 −21%
Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 ¥14.86 ¥20.95 +41%
Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY A$2.60 A$1.18 −55%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group Corp Ltd (601827) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥14.68 versus a price of ¥8.04, about +83% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 601827?
Our model-based fair value for Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group Corp Ltd is ¥14.68 (as of Aug 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥8.04.
What is the quality score of 601827?
Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group Corp Ltd has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group Corp Ltd (601827)?
Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group Corp Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601827?
The net profit margin of Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group Corp Ltd is about 22.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group Corp Ltd pay a dividend?
Chongqing Sanfeng Environment Group Corp Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.31% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 23, 2026).
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