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Lotus Health Group Co (600186) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 17.2B CNY (≈ $2.6B) · ISIN CNE000000WY0

What is Lotus Health Group Co really worth?

LH Lotus Health Group Co 600186 · SHG
Price¥11.88
Fair Value¥3.47
Upside−70.8%
Quality62/100

A solid business, but trading 242% above our fair value of ¥3.47.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +15.8 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Thin margins · 9.6% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
!Moderate moat 63/100
!Weak on dividend: 3 out of 100
Evidence: High Range ¥2.53 – ¥4.53

Fair value as of: Aug 24, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Share price +24.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.53). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥15.60 ¥2.07 Fair Value ¥3.47 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.07 – ¥15.60 · fair‑value band ¥2.53 – ¥4.53 · the ¥11.88 price screens above the ¥3.47 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Lotus Health Group Co (600186) currently trades at ¥11.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.47, implying the stock looks roughly 242.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥3.62 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥11.88 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.7300, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Lotus Health Group Co generated revenue of 3.7B CNY at a net margin of 9.6%. Revenue grew 28.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.53 (bear case) to ¥4.53 (bull case); at ¥11.88, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 126% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −71%, 600186 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.1421 per share, which is 4.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence ¥2.05 ¥2.56 ¥3.28 82
Growth DCF ¥2.09 ¥2.57 ¥3.22 80
Owner Earnings ¥3.10 ¥4.05 ¥5.38 78
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence ¥2.05 ¥2.56 ¥3.28 82
Owner Earnings ¥3.10 ¥4.05 ¥5.38 78
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.47 ¥3.41 ¥4.56 73
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.99 ¥4.33 ¥5.81 76
5Y P/E Exit ¥2.77 ¥3.94 ¥5.09 71
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.24 ¥3.05 ¥4.04 68
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.62 ¥3.67 ¥4.94 69
10Y P/E Exit ¥2.49 ¥3.40 ¥4.42 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.17 ¥2.53 ¥3.21 66
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.3900 ¥0.5600 ¥0.7300 57
EPV ¥2.97 ¥3.33 ¥3.64 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.1600 ¥0.2600 ¥0.3500 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.1600 ¥0.2400 ¥0.3200 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.72 ¥3.62 ¥4.53 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.20 ¥2.93 ¥3.66 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.20 ¥2.93 ¥3.66 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.25 ¥5.40 ¥6.54 66
EV/EBITDA ¥3.94 ¥4.98 ¥6.02 67
EV/Revenue ¥2.84 ¥3.71 ¥4.58 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.5500 ¥0.7300 ¥1.09 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.09 ¥2.57 ¥3.22 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.47 ¥3.42 ¥4.41 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.15 ¥1.55 ¥5.22 64
ROIC Compounder ¥3.00 ¥3.41 ¥3.79 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.01 ¥2.87 ¥3.73 67

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥3.62) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.2400). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 56.6
P/S ratio 5.07 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2100 price ÷ EPS = P/E 56.6
Dividend yield 0.2% payout 8.8%
Net margin 9.0% FY2025
Return on equity 20.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 18.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 3.7B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +28.0% 3y avg +26.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +44.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 209M CNY FY2025
Net cash 1.1B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 88
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 23
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Lotus Holdings Co.,Ltd. engages in the production and sale of condiments and health food in China. The company offers soy sauce, oyster sauce, vinegar, cooking wine, braised sauce, and sesame oil; chicken essence, chicken powder, chicken juice, seasoning, dumpling materials, fried vegetables, and fresh mushroom, as well as octagonal, white pepper, black …

Full company description

Lotus Holdings Co.,Ltd. engages in the production and sale of condiments and health food in China. The company offers soy sauce, oyster sauce, vinegar, cooking wine, braised sauce, and sesame oil; chicken essence, chicken powder, chicken juice, seasoning, dumpling materials, fried vegetables, and fresh mushroom, as well as octagonal, white pepper, black pepper, ang cumin powder. It also provides amino acid condiments; drinking water products; and tomato sauce, matsutake with blanched sauce, hot pot base, hot pot seasoning, crayfish seasoning, fondue with butter, chafing dish base, fish seasoning, edible alkali, baking soda, bread crumbs, and sesame sauce. The company was formerly known as Lotus Health Group Company and changed its name to Lotus Holdings Co.,Ltd. in May 2024. Lotus Holdings Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1983 and is based in Xiangcheng, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Lotus Health Group Co reported revenue of 3.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +17.4%/yr. Reported net income was 309M CNY in FY2025, compounding +62.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+30.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (30Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+28.3% (28.1 + 0.2)
Revenue +17.4%/yr
FY21 1.8B CNY
FY22 1.7B CNY
FY23 2.1B CNY
FY24 2.6B CNY
FY25 3.5B CNY
Net income +62.5%/yr
FY21 44.4M CNY
FY22 46.2M CNY
FY23 130M CNY
FY24 203M CNY
FY25 309M CNY

600186 screens 242% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lotus Health Group Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600186

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 648 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 28% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.09× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 56.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 8.75× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 12.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 26.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.84× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 25
FUTURE100 · sector 21
PAST81 · sector 28
HEALTH96 · sector 96
DIVIDEND3 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 78.62 CHF 57.26 −27%
Danone S.A BN €64.28 €48.41 −25%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,478 ₹251.94 −83%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $25.13 $24.59 −2%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.05 ¥21.93 −37%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥25.51 ¥32.50 +27%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.28 ¥9.89 −61%
General Mills, Inc GIS $40.44 $28.32 −30%
Wilmar International Limited F34 3.64 SGD 3.89 SGD +7%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,511 ₹1,765 −68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lotus Health Group Co (600186) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.47 versus a price of ¥11.88, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600186?
Our model-based fair value for Lotus Health Group Co is ¥3.47 (as of Aug 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥11.88.
What is the quality score of 600186?
Lotus Health Group Co has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Lotus Health Group Co (600186)?
Lotus Health Group Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600186?
The net profit margin of Lotus Health Group Co is about 9.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Lotus Health Group Co pay a dividend?
Lotus Health Group Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.16% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 24, 2026).
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