ASPEED Technology Inc (5274) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 515B TWD
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 1,596 TWD to 2,196 TWD (+37.5%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price +34.7% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 87% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 82/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4,650 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (1,656 TWD to 4,650 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,277 TWD – 48,091 TWD · fair‑value band 1,656 TWD – 4,650 TWD · the 17,490 TWD price screens above the 2,196 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
ASPEED Technology Inc (5274) currently trades at 17,490 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,196 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 87.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 82/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, ASPEED Technology Inc generated revenue of 10.2B TWD at a net margin of 43.8%. Revenue grew 52.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 84.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.6B TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1,656 TWD (bear case) to 4,650 TWD (bull case); at 17,490 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -87%, 5274 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (3,577 TWD) versus Asset-Based (121.98 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 82 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ASPEED Technology Inc. operates as a fabless integrated circuit (IC) design company in Taiwan, China, the United States, and internationally. The company is involved in the design and sales of multimedia IC, computer peripheral IC, and advanced image processing IC.
Full company description
ASPEED Technology Inc. operates as a fabless integrated circuit (IC) design company in Taiwan, China, the United States, and internationally. The company is involved in the design and sales of multimedia IC, computer peripheral IC, and advanced image processing IC. It also offers 2D VGA, BMC, and KVM over IP for server design and manufacturing firms; analog signal amplification and transmission, digital signal transmission, and digital network packet transmission computer peripheral ICs; and AST1230 SoC, a product that integrates real-time multi-image stitching and audio processing capabilities. In addition, the company engages in wholesale of information software; retail and service industry; international trade; intellectual property; product design; and other industrial and commercial services. ASPEED Technology Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ASPEED Technology Inc reported revenue of 9.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.6B TWD in FY2021, a compound +25.7%/yr. Reported net income was 3.9B TWD in FY2025, compounding +31.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +22.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.4 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
5274 screens 87% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- ASPEED Technology and Subsidiary Cupola360 Team Up for COMPUTEX 2026, Showcasing Next-Gen Highly Integrated Server Solutions and 360 Reality
- ASPEED Technology Wins GSA Best Financially Managed Semiconductor Company Award
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 322 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $217.50 | $98.98 | -54% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $429.15 | $291.42 | -32% |
| Broadcom Inc 1AVGO | €366.85 | €121.25 | -67% |
| Micron Technology, Inc 1MU | €802.10 | €185.67 | -77% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 1,504,000 KRW | 1,481,291 KRW | -2% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD | €428.20 | €56.33 | -87% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | C$54.79 | C$11.71 | -79% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 4,015 TWD | 1,559 TWD | -61% |
| SK Square Co 402340 | 1,024,000 KRW | 1,204,862 KRW | +18% |
| GigaDevice Semiconductor Inc 3986 | HK$515.00 | HK$274.86 | -47% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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