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eMemory Technology Inc (3529) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · TW · Market cap 190B TWD

ET eMemory Technology Inc 3529 · TWO
Price2,700 TWD
Fair Value621.47 TWD
Upside-77.0%
Quality81/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 50.8% net margin
generates free cash flow
0.79% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Wide moat 92/100
Evidence: High Range 392.51 TWD – 767.80 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 458.87 TWD to 621.47 TWD (+35.4%) since Jul 13, 2026. Share price +5.9% over the past month.

A strong business, but screening 77% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 81/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (767.80 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range (392.51 TWD to 767.80 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

4,675 TWD 717.79 TWD Fair Value 621.47 TWD Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 717.79 TWD – 4,675 TWD · fair‑value band 392.51 TWD – 767.80 TWD · the 2,700 TWD price screens above the 621.47 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

eMemory Technology Inc (3529) currently trades at 2,700 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 621.47 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 77.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 81/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, eMemory Technology Inc generated revenue of 4.0B TWD at a net margin of 50.8%. Revenue grew 20.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 48.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.7B TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 392.51 TWD (bear case) to 767.80 TWD (bull case); at 2,700 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -77%, 3529 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (34.46 TWD to 915.00 TWD). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 150.46 TWD 178.24 TWD 808.02 TWD 76
Growth DCF 383.26 TWD 660.46 TWD 1,146 TWD 72
Gordon GGM 201.94 TWD 419.87 TWD 666.08 TWD 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 388.86 TWD 700.42 TWD 1,268 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 368.33 TWD 661.17 TWD 1,195 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 278.05 TWD 441.72 TWD 664.45 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 436.42 TWD 779.53 TWD 1,223 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 499.93 TWD 915.00 TWD 1,407 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 305.38 TWD 476.71 TWD 742.98 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 418.34 TWD 729.16 TWD 1,226 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 461.05 TWD 830.40 TWD 1,385 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 174.07 TWD 904.06 TWD 1,250 TWD 54
Lynch FV 247.46 TWD 353.51 TWD 459.56 TWD 50
PEG = 1.0 247.46 TWD 353.51 TWD 459.56 TWD 46
EPV 297.74 TWD 339.48 TWD 376.00 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 201.94 TWD 419.87 TWD 666.08 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 201.94 TWD 354.04 TWD 440.66 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 537.56 TWD 716.75 TWD 895.94 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 212.59 TWD 283.45 TWD 354.31 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 231.48 TWD 308.64 TWD 385.80 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 590.13 TWD 771.07 TWD 952.02 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 486.30 TWD 632.64 TWD 778.97 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 227.67 TWD 304.97 TWD 382.27 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 25.72 TWD 34.46 TWD 51.44 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 383.26 TWD 660.46 TWD 1,146 TWD 72
Rev-Margin DCF 278.05 TWD 438.62 TWD 651.50 TWD 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 150.46 TWD 178.24 TWD 808.02 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 300.37 TWD 345.60 TWD 387.32 TWD 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 434.29 TWD 620.41 TWD 806.54 TWD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (700.42 TWD) versus Asset-Based (34.46 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.0B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.0%
Net margin 50.8%
Return on equity 48.8%
Free cash flow 1.9B TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 106.2
More key figures
Operating margin 60.6%
EPS (TTM) 25.42 TWD
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +29.2%
Net cash 2.7B TWD FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 81/100

Of which business quality 79 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 92
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 26
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 60
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

eMemory Technology Inc. engages in the research, development, manufacturing, and sales of embedded flash memory in Taiwan and internationally.

Full company description

eMemory Technology Inc. engages in the research, development, manufacturing, and sales of embedded flash memory in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers security products, such as NeoPUF, a hardware security technology; PUFrt, which delivers a secure hardware root of trust; PUFcc, a crypto coprocessor integrating key generation, storage, and encryption; PUFhsm, an embedded hardware security module; and PUFPQC for post-quantum security. It also provides PUF flash series, including SoC, protecting embedded, NAND, and NOR Flash; NeoBit, a programmable logic device; NeoFuse, an anti-fuse solution; NeoEE, a single-poly embedded memory device; NeoMTP, a single-poly embedded memory device; and EcoBit, an ultra-low-power embedded logic MTP solution. In addition, the company offers NeoFlash, a single-poly embedded NVM device; RRAM, an embedded EEPROM/Flash; and MRAM solutions. It serves 5G, AI, automotive, IoT, mobile computing, and security markets. eMemory Technology Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Jhubei City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

eMemory Technology Inc reported revenue of 3.8B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.4B TWD in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was 1.9B TWD in FY2025, compounding +14.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.8B TWD
Latest YoY
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.7%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.3%
Revenue +13.0%/yr
FY21 2.4B TWD
FY22 3.2B TWD
FY23 3.1B TWD
FY24 3.6B TWD
FY25 3.8B TWD
Net income +14.8%/yr
FY21 1.1B TWD
FY22 1.6B TWD
FY23 1.5B TWD
FY24 1.8B TWD
FY25 1.9B TWD
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2012-2023) +19.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +15.4 pp

of which total revenue +15.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.2 pp

EBIT margin +3.5 pp
Tax rate −0.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

3529 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "eMemory Technology Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3529

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 322 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 81 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 49% · Top 25%
Return on assets 28% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 51% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 61% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 20% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 106.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 49.57× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 47.24× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 76.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 59
PAST 100 · sector 23
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 16 · sector 20

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $217.50 $98.98 -54%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $429.15 $291.42 -32%
Broadcom Inc 1AVGO €366.85 €121.25 -67%
Micron Technology, Inc 1MU €802.10 €185.67 -77%
SK hynix Inc 000660 1,504,000 KRW 1,481,291 KRW -2%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD €428.20 €56.33 -87%
Intel Corporation INTC C$54.79 C$11.71 -79%
MediaTek Inc 2454 4,015 TWD 1,559 TWD -61%
SK Square Co 402340 1,024,000 KRW 1,204,862 KRW +18%
GigaDevice Semiconductor Inc 3986 HK$515.00 HK$274.86 -47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is eMemory Technology Inc (3529) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 621.47 TWD versus a price of 2,700 TWD, about −77% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3529?
Our model-based fair value for eMemory Technology Inc is 621.47 TWD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2,700 TWD.
What is the quality score of 3529?
eMemory Technology Inc has a Quality Score of 81/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of eMemory Technology Inc (3529)?
eMemory Technology Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.0B TWD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3529?
The net profit margin of eMemory Technology Inc is about 50.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 50.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does eMemory Technology Inc pay a dividend?
eMemory Technology Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.58% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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