All Winner Technology Co Ltd (300458) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what All Winner Technology Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes
A strong business, but trading 308% above our fair value of ¥7.39.
As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of All Winner Technology Co Ltd is ¥7.39 per share against a price of ¥30.15, so the fair value sits 75% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +13.5 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 11.9% net margin
✓generates free cash flow
·0.55% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Moderate moat 58/100
!Weak on dividend: 11 out of 100
Evidence: HighRange ¥4.74 to ¥9.23
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥5.28 to ¥7.39 (+40.0%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price −13.2% over the past month.
This is the short version. In the app for All Winner Technology Co Ltd:
Watch All Winner Technology Co Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
A high-quality business (quality 77/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
A fairly wide model range (¥4.74 to ¥9.23) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.62 – ¥43.50 · fair‑value band ¥4.74 – ¥9.23 · the ¥30.15 price screens above the ¥7.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
All Winner Technology Co Ltd (300458) currently trades at ¥30.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.39, implying the stock looks roughly 308.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥7.09 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥30.15 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.10, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, All Winner Technology Co Ltd generated revenue of 3.1B CNY at a net margin of 11.9%. Revenue grew 47.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Scenario range: ¥4.74 (bear) to ¥9.23 (bull), the price of ¥30.15 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −63% fair-value upside, at −75%, 300458 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1482 per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio79.3
P/S ratio7.33P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)¥0.3800price ÷ EPS = P/E 79.3
Dividend yield0.6%payout 43.9%
Net margin9.2%FY2025
Return on equity11.7%TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT)6.6%avg 5y
Operating margin21.0%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)3.1B CNYTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+47.1%3y avg +23.3%
EPS growth (YoY)+127%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow133M CNYFY2025
Net cash1.6B CNYFY2024
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality77/100
Of which business quality 73
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Profitability57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth86
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance93
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Allwinner Technology Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, and sale of intelligent application system-on-a-chip (SoC), analog components, and wireless connectivity integrated circuits in China and internationally.
Full company description
Allwinner Technology Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, and sale of intelligent application system-on-a-chip (SoC), analog components, and wireless connectivity integrated circuits in China and internationally. The company also provides a customer service platform that provides comprehensive product package download and online technical support services for chip agents, solution providers, channel partners, and enterprise customers. In addition, it engages in trading and software development activities. The company's products are used in tablets, business displays, smart industry, smart electric power, automotive electronics, robot vacuums/robots, OTT boxes, projectors/smart TVs, HMI/PND/display control, security cameras/smart doorbell cameras, and wireless Internet of Things applications, as well as in smart hardware, smart home appliances, network set-top boxes, power supply analog devices, and wireless communication modules. Allwinner Technology Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Zhuhai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
All Winner Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was 262M CNY in FY2025, compounding −14.7%/yr from FY2021.
Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.8B CNY
Latest YoY
+24.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (14Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
≈ +5.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+5.0%
Dividend yield0.6%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 5.0% vs 10Y 5.6%, steady
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14.1% (2020) → 9.5% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop95% (2023) · in CNY
⚠ Final year 2025 sits 60% above trend (one-off), rate approximate
Revenue+8.3%/yr
FY212.1B CNY
FY221.5B CNY
FY231.7B CNY
FY242.3B CNY
FY252.8B CNY
Net income−14.7%/yr
FY21494M CNY
FY22211M CNY
FY2323.0M CNY
FY24167M CNY
FY25262M CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025)+0.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share+5.4 %
of which total revenue +7.0 % · buybacks/dilution −1.4 %
EBIT margin−3.5 %
Tax rate+0.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs)−1.7 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "All Winner Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300458
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 327 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation
Quality Score77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−77% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth47% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.6% · Below median
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)79.3× · Pricier than median
P/B9.68× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)9.63× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF33.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA67.3× · Priciest 25%
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must All Winner Technology Co Ltd deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
Implied FCF growth, 10 years+36.5 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+13.5 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+8.3 %
FCF yield on price0.54 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models9.2 %
The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 0
FUTURE100· sector 65
PAST47· sector 24
HEALTH0· sector 96
DIVIDEND11· sector 18
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
Is All Winner Technology Co Ltd (300458) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.39 versus a price of ¥30.15, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300458?
Our model-based fair value for All Winner Technology Co Ltd is ¥7.39 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥30.15.
What is the quality score of 300458?
All Winner Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for All Winner Technology Co Ltd (300458)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥7.39 (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.74, optimistic scenario ¥9.23. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the All Winner Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥7.39, about −75% upside versus a price of ¥30.15 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.74, optimistic scenario ¥9.23. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of All Winner Technology Co Ltd (300458)?
All Winner Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300458?
The net profit margin of All Winner Technology Co Ltd is about 11.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does All Winner Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
All Winner Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.55% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into All Winner Technology Co Ltd (300458)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, All Winner Technology Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +36.5 % per year for ten years (discount rate 9.2 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.5 % per year. As of Aug 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300458 use?
Our models discount All Winner Technology Co Ltd at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.55, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of All Winner Technology Co Ltd (300458)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For All Winner Technology Co Ltd it is ¥7.39 per share (as of Aug 13, 2026), against a price of ¥30.15. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is All Winner Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 13, 2026, 300458 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥30.15, fair value ¥7.39, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300458?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥30.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥7.39). For All Winner Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥22.76 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is All Winner Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values All Winner Technology Co Ltd at about 30.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Aug 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥30.15; our models calculate a fair value of ¥7.39 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300458?
Our models span a range for All Winner Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥4.74, base ¥7.39, optimistic ¥9.23 per share (as of Aug 13, 2026, price ¥30.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300458?
All Winner Technology Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 79.3 (as of Aug 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥7.39 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 9.7, P/S 9.6, EV/EBITDA 67.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of All Winner Technology Co Ltd (300458)?
Balance-sheet figures for All Winner Technology Co Ltd (as of Aug 13, 2026): return on equity 11.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300458 from its 52-week high?
All Winner Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥30.15, about 35% below its 52-week high of ¥46.31 and 12% above the low of ¥27.03 (as of Aug 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥7.39 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to All Winner Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, SK hynix Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is All Winner Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 13, 2026: price ¥30.15, calculated fair value ¥7.39 (−75%), Quality Score 77/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300458 calculated?
We run All Winner Technology Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥7.39, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. All Winner Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
Free · no account needed
Watch All Winner Technology Co Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts All Winner Technology Co Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
