Allwinner Technology Co (300458) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 30.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥5.28 to ¥7.39 (+40.0%) since Jul 9, 2026. Share price −14.6% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 78% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 77/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range (¥4.74 to ¥9.23) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.51 – ¥43.50 · fair‑value band ¥4.74 – ¥9.23 · the ¥34.17 price screens above the ¥7.39 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Allwinner Technology Co (300458) currently trades at ¥34.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.39, implying the stock looks roughly 78.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Allwinner Technology Co generated revenue of 3.1B CNY at a net margin of 11.9%. Revenue grew 47.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.74 (bear case) to ¥9.23 (bull case); at ¥34.17, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -78%, 300458 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥7.09) versus Asset-Based (¥2.10). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Allwinner Technology Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, and sale of intelligent application system-on-a-chip (SoC), analog components, and wireless connectivity integrated circuits in China and internationally.
Full company description
Allwinner Technology Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, and sale of intelligent application system-on-a-chip (SoC), analog components, and wireless connectivity integrated circuits in China and internationally. The company also provides a customer service platform that provides comprehensive product package download and online technical support services for chip agents, solution providers, channel partners, and enterprise customers. In addition, it engages in trading and software development activities. The company's products are used in tablets, business displays, smart industry, smart electric power, automotive electronics, robot vacuums/robots, OTT boxes, projectors/smart TVs, HMI/PND/display control, security cameras/smart doorbell cameras, and wireless Internet of Things applications, as well as in smart hardware, smart home appliances, network set-top boxes, power supply analog devices, and wireless communication modules. Allwinner Technology Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Zhuhai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Allwinner Technology Co reported revenue of ¥2.8B in FY2025 versus ¥2.1B in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥262M in FY2025, compounding −14.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
300458 screens 78% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 322 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $217.50 | $98.98 | -54% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $429.15 | $291.42 | -32% |
| Broadcom Inc 1AVGO | €366.85 | €121.25 | -67% |
| Micron Technology, Inc 1MU | €802.10 | €185.67 | -77% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 1,504,000 KRW | 1,481,291 KRW | -2% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD | €428.20 | €56.33 | -87% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | C$54.79 | C$11.71 | -79% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 4,015 TWD | 1,559 TWD | -61% |
| SK Square Co 402340 | 1,024,000 KRW | 1,204,862 KRW | +18% |
| GigaDevice Semiconductor Inc 3986 | HK$515.00 | HK$274.86 | -47% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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