Zhejiang Huace Film TV Co (300133) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · CN · Market cap 14.0B CNY (≈ $2.1B) · ISIN CNE100000VX3
What is Zhejiang Huace Film TV Co really worth?
A solid business, but trading 226% above our fair value of ¥2.35.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price +1.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.78). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.96 – ¥11.22 · fair‑value band ¥1.67 – ¥2.78 · the ¥7.67 price screens above the ¥2.35 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.
Analysis
Zhejiang Huace Film TV Co (300133) currently trades at ¥7.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.35, implying the stock looks roughly 226.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of ¥2.70 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥7.67 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.02, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Huace Film TV Co generated revenue of 2.6B CNY at a net margin of 6.8%. Revenue declined 32.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.67 (bear case) to ¥2.78 (bull case); at ¥7.67, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −69%, 300133 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.0535 per share, which is 2.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (¥2.70) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.02). Highest evidence: EPV (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Zhejiang Huace Film & TV Co., Ltd. engages in the production, distribution, and derivative of film and television dramas in China and internationally. The company offers special topics, columns, variety shows, cartoons, radio dramas, and TV dramas.
Full company description
Zhejiang Huace Film & TV Co., Ltd. engages in the production, distribution, and derivative of film and television dramas in China and internationally. The company offers special topics, columns, variety shows, cartoons, radio dramas, and TV dramas. It is also involved in the design, production, and agency of domestic advertisements; performance brokerage; and import and export businesses. In addition, the company provides economic information consulting, undertaking conference, and etiquette services. It offers its services through international and domestic media groups, such as Netflix, Disney, Amazon, iQiyi, and Mango TV. Zhejiang Huace Film & TV Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zhejiang Huace Film TV Co reported revenue of 2.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −7.2%/yr. Reported net income was 191M CNY in FY2025, compounding −16.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +2.2 % · buybacks/dilution −2.4 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
300133 screens 226% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →
Peer Group
Entertainment · 253 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc NFLX | $81.72 | $49.35 | −40% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $103.50 | $80.62 | −22% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $27.65 | $9.03 | −67% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $182.02 | $59.97 | −67% |
| Universal Music Group UMG | €14.73 | €14.78 | +0% |
| TKO Group TKO | $189.42 | $47.75 | −75% |
| Formula One Group FWONK | $102.02 | $35.21 | −65% |
| Fox Corporation FOXA | $68.42 | $206.81 | +202% |
| News Corporation NWS | A$46.55 | A$20.41 | −56% |
| Warner Music Group WMG | $24.79 | $12.10 | −51% |
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