Nanya Technology Corporation (2408) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 1.2T TWD
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 41.58 TWD to 80.51 TWD (+93.6%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price +6.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 84% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (96.30 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 25.40 TWD – 514.00 TWD · fair‑value band 60.74 TWD – 96.30 TWD · the 512.00 TWD price screens above the 80.51 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Nanya Technology Corporation (2408) currently trades at 512.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 80.51 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 84.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nanya Technology Corporation generated revenue of 108B TWD at a net margin of 31.9%. It earns a return on equity of 19.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 34.5B TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 60.74 TWD (bear case) to 96.30 TWD (bull case); at 512.00 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -84%, 2408 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (67.94 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (20.39 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nanya Technology Corporation research, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor products in Taiwan, Japan, Malaysia, China, the United States, Thailand, Germany, Singapore, Poland and internationally.
Full company description
Nanya Technology Corporation research, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor products in Taiwan, Japan, Malaysia, China, the United States, Thailand, Germany, Singapore, Poland and internationally. It offers standard dynamic random-access memory (DRAM), low power DRAM, MCP and eMCP, and KGD products, as well as modules; and other memory products and Elixir brands. The company engages in the import and export of its machinery, equipment, and raw materials. Its products have applications in home and entertainment, office and enterprise, mobile and portable, industrial, and automotive. Nanya Technology Corporation was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nanya Technology Corporation reported revenue of 66.6B TWD in FY2025 versus 85.6B TWD in FY2021, a compound −6.1%/yr. Reported net income was 6.6B TWD in FY2025, compounding −26.7%/yr from FY2021.
2408 screens 84% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Nanya Technology Corp (TPE:2408) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Revenue Surges Amidst Supply ...
- Taiwanese chipmaker Nanya plans $6 billion in spending in 2027, riding AI boom
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 322 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $217.50 | $98.98 | -54% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $429.15 | $291.42 | -32% |
| Broadcom Inc 1AVGO | €366.85 | €121.25 | -67% |
| Micron Technology, Inc 1MU | €802.10 | €185.67 | -77% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 1,504,000 KRW | 1,481,291 KRW | -2% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD | €428.20 | €56.33 | -87% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | C$54.79 | C$11.71 | -79% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 4,015 TWD | 1,559 TWD | -61% |
| SK Square Co 402340 | 1,024,000 KRW | 1,204,862 KRW | +18% |
| GigaDevice Semiconductor Inc 3986 | HK$515.00 | HK$274.86 | -47% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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