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Anheuser-Busch InBev SA (1ABI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · IT · Market cap €138B

AB Anheuser-Busch InBev SA 1ABI · MI
Price€68.84
Fair Value€41.60
Upside-39.6%
Quality62/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: Medium Range €32.72 – €56.06 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −1.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 40% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€56.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€75.00 €43.81 Fair Value €41.60 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €43.81 – €75.00 · fair‑value band €32.72 – €56.06 · the €68.84 price screens above the €41.60 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Anheuser-Busch InBev SA (1ABI) currently trades at €68.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €41.60, implying the stock looks roughly 39.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Anheuser-Busch InBev SA generated revenue of €61.0B at a net margin of 11.9%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at €61.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €32.72 (bear case) to €56.06 (bull case); at €68.84, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -40%, 1ABI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €31.38 €55.68 €97.24 80
Residual Income €42.30 €45.21 €50.59 76
Rev-Margin DCF €5.62 €20.81 €39.98 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €28.41 €53.44 €99.81 38
Owner Earnings €14.81 €34.51 €70.99 31
5Y Revenue Exit €5.62 €19.32 €39.12 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €18.68 €41.92 €72.73 41
5Y P/E Exit €11.28 €29.11 €50.54 38
10Y Revenue Exit €13.31 €24.33 €35.65 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €22.00 €38.31 €55.38 37
10Y P/E Exit €17.51 €30.39 €42.36 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €27.17 €33.21 €37.36 54
EPV €33.46 €44.93 €54.97 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €41.95 €55.94 €69.92 63
P/S Multiple €31.20 €41.60 €52.00 58
P/B Multiple €50.94 €67.93 €84.91 55
EV/EBIT €33.24 €56.11 €78.97 53
EV/EBITDA €20.67 €39.34 €58.02 54
EV/Revenue €6.25 €18.73 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €25.51 €34.18 €51.01 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €31.38 €55.68 €97.24 80
Rev-Margin DCF €5.62 €20.81 €39.98 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €42.30 €45.21 €50.59 76
ROIC Compounder €33.46 €44.93 €56.34 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €30.18 €43.12 €56.06 68

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (€44.93) versus Growth DCF (€20.81). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €61.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.0%
Net margin 11.9%
Return on equity 9.1%
Free cash flow €11.2B FY2025
P/E ratio 22.4 as of Jul 3, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 26.7%
EPS (TTM) €3.17
EPS growth (YoY) +20.3%
Net debt €61.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV produces and sells beer in North America, Middle Americas, South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through North America, Middle Americas, South America, EMEA, Asia Pacific, and Global Export and Holding Companies segments.

Full company description

Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV produces and sells beer in North America, Middle Americas, South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through North America, Middle Americas, South America, EMEA, Asia Pacific, and Global Export and Holding Companies segments. The company also offers flavored malt beverages, soft drinks, spirit-based ready-to-drink cocktails and beverages, and energy drinks. In addition, it operates BEES, a business-to-business digital commerce platform; on-demand delivery platforms under the Zé Delivery and TaDa Delivery brands; and premium at-home draft system under the PerfectDraft brand. The company provides a portfolio of approximately 500 beer brands, which primarily include Budweiser, Corona Extra, Michelob Ultra, and Stella Artois; Aguila, Brahma, Carling Black Label, Cass Fresh, Jupiler, Quilmes, SKOL, and Victoria; Beck's, Hoegaarden, and Leffe; Antarctica, Bud Light, Castle, Castle Lite, Cristal, Harbin, Modelo Especial, Sedrin, and Skol brands, as well as non-beer brands comprising Brutal Fruit, Cutwater, and NÜTRL brands. The company was formerly known as InBev SA and changed its name to Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV in November 2008. Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV was founded in 1366 and is headquartered in Leuven, Belgium.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Anheuser-Busch InBev SA reported revenue of €59.3B in FY2025 versus €57.8B in FY2022, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was €6.8B in FY2025, compounding +4.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€59.3B
Latest YoY
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.9%
Revenue +0.9%/yr
FY22 €57.8B
FY23 €59.4B
FY24 €59.8B
FY25 €59.3B
Net income +4.6%/yr
FY22 €6.0B
FY23 €5.3B
FY24 €5.9B
FY25 €6.8B

1ABI screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Ambev S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anheuser-Busch InBev SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1ABI

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Ambev S.A ABEV 14,120 ARS 3,535 ARS -75%
Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. FEMSAUBD 222.91 MXN 201.74 MXN -9%
Heineken N.V HEIA €73.90 €65.06 -12%
Constellation Brands, Inc STZ $133.98 $173.19 +29%
Carlsberg A/S CARLA kr 1,090 kr 607.30 -44%
Heineken Holding HEIO €69.70 €99.95 +43%
Tsingtao Brewery Company 600600 ¥53.45 ¥63.65 +19%
Budweiser Brewing Company 1876 HK$6.35 HK$6.05 -5%
China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company 0291 HK$22.50 HK$25.37 +13%
Beijing Yanjing Brewery Co 000729 ¥12.85 ¥12.51 -3%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Anheuser-Busch InBev SA (1ABI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €41.60 versus a price of €68.84, about −40% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1ABI?
Our model-based fair value for Anheuser-Busch InBev SA is €41.60 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €68.84.
What is the quality score of 1ABI?
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Anheuser-Busch InBev SA (1ABI)?
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €61.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1ABI?
The net profit margin of Anheuser-Busch InBev SA is about 11.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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