Constellation Brands, Inc (STZ) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $24.3B
Constellation Brands, Inc
STZ · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $177.43 to $173.19 (−2.4%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price +3.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 27% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (73/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The model range is unusually wide ($80.35 to $246.40). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $125.98 – $258.61 · fair‑value band $80.35 – $246.40 · the $136.35 price screens below the $173.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Constellation Brands, Inc (STZ) currently trades at $136.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $173.19, implying the stock looks roughly 27.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Constellation Brands, Inc generated revenue of $9.1B at a net margin of 18.5%. Revenue declined 11.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.6%. Net debt stands at $11.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $80.35 (bear case) to $246.40 (bull case); at $136.35, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -5% fair-value upside, at 27%, STZ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($190.18) versus Asset-Based ($31.58). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Constellation Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces, imports, markets, and sells beer, wine, and spirits in the United States, Canada, Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy.
Full company description
Constellation Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces, imports, markets, and sells beer, wine, and spirits in the United States, Canada, Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy. It offers beer under the Corona Extra, Corona Familiar, Corona Sunbrew, Corona Light, Corona Non-Alcoholic, Corona Premier, Modelo Especial, Modelo Chelada, Modelo Negra, Modelo Spiked Aguas Frescas, Modelo Oro, Modelo Noche Especial, Victoria, Vicky Chamoy, and Pacifico brand names. The company also offers wine under the Sea Smoke, Schrader Cellars, Kim Crawford, Mount Veeder, Ruffino, My Favorite Neighbor, Robert Mondavi Winery, and The Prisoner Wine Company brand names; and spirits under the Casa Noble, High West, Mi CAMPO, and Nelson's Green Brier brand names. It provides its products to wholesale distributors, retailers, and state alcohol beverage control agencies. Constellation Brands, Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Constellation Brands, Inc reported revenue of $9.1B in FY2026 versus $8.8B in FY2022, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was $1.7B in FY2026.
of which total revenue +4.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.4 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch STZ: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Jim Cramer Asks Why Constellation Brands (STZ) Stock Remains Cut in Half Despite Strong Earnings
- Constellation Brands (STZ) Down 3.8% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?
Peer Group
Beverages - Brewers · 53 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Brewers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anheuser-Busch InBev SA 1ABI | €68.84 | €41.60 | -40% |
| Ambev S.A ABEV | 14,120 ARS | 3,535 ARS | -75% |
| Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. FEMSAUBD | 222.91 MXN | 201.74 MXN | -9% |
| Heineken N.V HEIA | €73.90 | €65.06 | -12% |
| Carlsberg A/S CARLA | kr 1,090 | kr 607.30 | -44% |
| Heineken Holding HEIO | €69.70 | €99.95 | +43% |
| Tsingtao Brewery Company 600600 | ¥53.45 | ¥63.65 | +19% |
| Budweiser Brewing Company 1876 | HK$6.35 | HK$6.05 | -5% |
| China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company 0291 | HK$22.50 | HK$25.37 | +13% |
| Beijing Yanjing Brewery Co 000729 | ¥12.85 | ¥12.51 | -3% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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