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Anheuser Busch Inbev SA NV (ABI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · BE · Market cap €137B · ISIN BE0974293251

What is Anheuser Busch Inbev SA NV really worth?

AB Anheuser Busch Inbev SA NV ABI · BR
Price€69.04
Fair Value€60.24
Upside−12.8%
Quality62/100

A solid business, but trading 15% above our fair value of €60.24.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 11.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +4.8 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
!Moderate moat 60/100
!Weak on valuation: 16 out of 100
Evidence: High Range €36.14 – €78.91

Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Sep 1, 2026, revised from €60.02 to €60.24 (+0.4%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price −6.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (€36.14 to €78.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€75.20 €43.48 Fair Value €60.24 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €43.48 – €75.20 · fair‑value band €36.14 – €78.91 · the €69.04 price screens above the €60.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.

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Analysis

Anheuser Busch Inbev SA NV (ABI) currently trades at €69.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €60.24, implying the stock looks roughly 14.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €70.50 per share, and 9 of the 23 models we run sit above the €69.04 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €34.20, and 14 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Anheuser Busch Inbev SA NV generated revenue of €61.0B at a net margin of 11.9%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at €61.4B. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €36.14 (bear case) to €78.91 (bull case); at €69.04, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at −13%, ABI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €2.11 per share, which is 3.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €39.25 €75.57 €128.76 77
Growth DCF €41.09 €74.19 €120.25 76
Residual Income €42.33 €45.25 €50.63 76
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €39.25 €75.57 €128.76 77
Owner Earnings €21.56 €49.27 €89.85 72
5Y Revenue Exit €13.38 €34.00 €59.09 69
5Y EBITDA Exit €60.80 €120.02 €187.40 73
5Y P/E Exit €26.94 €58.60 €90.53 69
10Y Revenue Exit €21.19 €41.74 €66.96 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €52.12 €100.49 €162.15 66
10Y P/E Exit €30.80 €58.54 €90.29 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €27.19 €71.85 €93.87 65
PEG = 1.0 €13.83 €19.75 €25.68 57
EPV €35.91 €47.80 €58.19 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple €62.97 €83.96 €104.95 63
P/S Multiple €41.63 €55.50 €69.38 58
P/B Multiple €50.98 €67.97 €84.96 55
EV/EBIT €81.31 €120.21 €159.10 65
EV/EBITDA €87.40 €128.32 €169.24 66
EV/Revenue €1.05 €16.66 €32.27 46
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €25.52 €34.20 €51.05 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €41.09 €74.19 €120.25 76
Rev-Margin DCF €13.38 €35.01 €59.20 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income €42.33 €45.25 €50.63 76
ROIC Compounder €35.91 €47.80 €64.12 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €49.35 €70.50 €91.65 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€70.50) versus Asset-Based (€34.20). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 22.4 as of Jul 18, 2026
P/S ratio 2.59 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) €3.17 price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.4
Net margin 11.5% FY2025
Return on equity 9.1% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 26.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) €61.0B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.0% 3y avg +0.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +20.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow €11.7B FY2025
Net debt €61.4B FY2025 · ≈ 5.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV produces and sells beer in North America, Middle Americas, South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through North America, Middle Americas, South America, EMEA, Asia Pacific, and Global Export and Holding Companies segments.

Full company description

Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV produces and sells beer in North America, Middle Americas, South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through North America, Middle Americas, South America, EMEA, Asia Pacific, and Global Export and Holding Companies segments. The company also offers flavored malt beverages, soft drinks, spirit-based ready-to-drink cocktails and beverages, and energy drinks. In addition, it operates BEES, a business-to-business digital commerce platform; on-demand delivery platforms under the Zé Delivery and TaDa Delivery brands; and premium at-home draft system under the PerfectDraft brand. The company provides a portfolio of approximately 500 beer brands, which primarily include Budweiser, Corona Extra, Michelob Ultra, and Stella Artois; Aguila, Brahma, Carling Black Label, Cass Fresh, Jupiler, Quilmes, SKOL, and Victoria; Beck's, Hoegaarden, and Leffe; Antarctica, Bud Light, Castle, Castle Lite, Cristal, Harbin, Modelo Especial, Sedrin, and Skol brands, as well as non-beer brands comprising Brutal Fruit, Cutwater, and NÜTRL brands. The company was formerly known as InBev SA and changed its name to Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV in November 2008. Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV was founded in 1366 and is headquartered in Leuven, Belgium.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Anheuser Busch Inbev SA NV reported revenue of $59.3B in FY2025 versus $54.3B in FY2021, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was $6.8B in FY2025, compounding +10.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€59.3B
Latest YoY
−0.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+8.0% (8.0 + 0.0)
Revenue +2.2%/yr
FY21 $54.3B
FY22 $57.8B
FY23 $59.4B
FY24 $59.8B
FY25 $59.3B
Net income +10.0%/yr
FY21 $4.7B
FY22 $6.0B
FY23 $5.3B
FY24 $5.9B
FY25 $6.8B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −2.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.1 %

of which total revenue +3.1 % · buybacks/dilution −1.9 %

EBIT margin −2.2 %
Tax rate −0.8 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

ABI screens 15% overvalued. Compare with Heineken N.V →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anheuser Busch Inbev SA NV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABI

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Beverages - Brewers · 56 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside −13% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 12% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.83× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Brewers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.83× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.62× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 13.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.87× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE16 · sector 28
FUTURE60 · sector 0
PAST36 · sector 36
HEALTH59 · sector 97
DIVIDEND33 · sector 63

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Heineken N.V HEIA €72.70 €65.06 −11%
Ambev S.A ABEV $2.86 $4.05 +42%
Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. FMX $120.41 $54.74 −55%
Constellation Brands, Inc STZ $129.09 $173.19 +34%
Carlsberg A/S CARLA kr 1,115 kr 607.30 −46%
Heineken Holding HEIO €68.25 €60.55 −11%
Tsingtao Brewery Company 600600 ¥51.63 ¥63.65 +23%
Budweiser Brewing Company 1876 HK$6.35 HK$6.05 −5%
China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company 0291 HK$22.16 HK$25.38 +15%
Molson Coors Canada Inc TPXA C$63.00 C$105.41 +67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Anheuser Busch Inbev SA NV (ABI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €60.24 versus a price of €69.04, about −13% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ABI?
Our model-based fair value for Anheuser Busch Inbev SA NV is €60.24 (as of Sep 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €69.04.
What is the quality score of ABI?
Anheuser Busch Inbev SA NV has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Anheuser Busch Inbev SA NV (ABI)?
Anheuser Busch Inbev SA NV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €61.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 1, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ABI?
The net profit margin of Anheuser Busch Inbev SA NV is about 11.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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