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ALTEOGEN Inc (196170) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · KR · Market cap 14.8T KRW (≈ $10.4B) · ISIN KR7196170005

What is ALTEOGEN Inc really worth?

AI ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 · KQ
Price288,500 KRW
Fair Value39,476 KRW
Upside−86.3%
Quality70/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

A solid business, but trading 631% above our fair value of 39,476 KRW.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +38.5 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 63.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/11)
Wide moat 81/100

Risks

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 3 out of 100

For context

·0.13% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range 24,681 KRW – 51,158 KRW

Fair value as of: Aug 17, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +4.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (51,158 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (24,681 KRW to 51,158 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

558,528 KRW 28,642 KRW Fair Value 39,476 KRW Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 28,642 KRW – 558,528 KRW · fair‑value band 24,681 KRW – 51,158 KRW · the 288,500 KRW price screens above the 39,476 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

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Analysis

ALTEOGEN Inc (196170) currently trades at 288,500 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 39,476 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 631.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 123,001 KRW per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the 288,500 KRW price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 5,574 KRW, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, ALTEOGEN Inc generated revenue of 204B KRW at a net margin of 63.9%. Revenue declined 14.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.2%. Fundamentals as of Aug 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 24,681 KRW (bear case) to 51,158 KRW (bull case); at 288,500 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −86%, 196170 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (5,574 KRW to 125,549 KRW). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV best evidence 19,145 KRW 22,318 KRW 25,138 KRW 74
FCF DCF 31,438 KRW 49,978 KRW 110,597 KRW 72
Growth DCF 29,697 KRW 60,632 KRW 112,584 KRW 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 31,438 KRW 49,978 KRW 110,597 KRW 72
Owner Earnings 36,533 KRW 84,036 KRW 188,219 KRW 67
5Y Revenue Exit 16,093 KRW 24,682 KRW 42,464 KRW 68
5Y EBITDA Exit 26,118 KRW 44,961 KRW 81,903 KRW 70
5Y P/E Exit 42,828 KRW 98,753 KRW 175,751 KRW 65
10Y Revenue Exit 20,273 KRW 37,776 KRW 47,201 KRW 65
10Y EBITDA Exit 28,159 KRW 59,874 KRW 114,695 KRW 62
10Y P/E Exit 40,631 KRW 96,705 KRW 190,768 KRW 57
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 18,003 KRW 125,549 KRW 176,189 KRW 61
Lynch FV 64,863 KRW 92,661 KRW 120,460 KRW 59
PEG = 1.0 64,863 KRW 92,661 KRW 120,460 KRW 55
EPV best evidence 19,145 KRW 22,318 KRW 25,138 KRW 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 43,683 KRW 58,244 KRW 72,805 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 10,589 KRW 14,119 KRW 17,649 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 28,079 KRW 37,439 KRW 46,799 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 26,637 KRW 35,127 KRW 43,618 KRW 66
EV/EBITDA 23,219 KRW 30,570 KRW 37,921 KRW 67
EV/Revenue 9,637 KRW 13,267 KRW 16,898 KRW 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4,160 KRW 5,574 KRW 8,320 KRW 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 29,697 KRW 60,632 KRW 112,584 KRW 72
Rev-Margin DCF 17,507 KRW 28,111 KRW 50,487 KRW 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income 20,605 KRW 28,952 KRW 275,635 KRW 56
ROIC Compounder 26,324 KRW 43,361 KRW 57,574 KRW 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 86,101 KRW 123,001 KRW 159,901 KRW 65

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (123,001 KRW) versus Asset-Based (5,574 KRW). Highest evidence: EPV (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 72.6 TTM
Dividend yield 0.1%
Net margin 65.6% FY2025
Return on equity 25.2% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 54.9% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 204B KRW TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −14.5% 3y avg +95.7%
EPS growth (YoY) −41.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 90.7B KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 71
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 95
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 8
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 33
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

ALTEOGEN Inc., a bio company, focuses on developing long-acting biobetters, proprietary antibody-drug conjugates, and antibody biosimilars.

Full company description

ALTEOGEN Inc., a bio company, focuses on developing long-acting biobetters, proprietary antibody-drug conjugates, and antibody biosimilars. The company develops ALT-P1, a long-acting human growth hormone that is in the Phase IIa clinical trial; and ALT-Q2, a long-acting active form of coagulation factor VII for the treatment of hemophilia based on its NexP technology. It is also involved in the development of ALT-P7, a targeted breast/gastric cancer drug that is in the Phase I clinical trial; ALT-Q5, an antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) for the treatment of ovarian cancer based on its NexMab ADC technology; and ALT-LS2, a SC (subcutaneous) formulation of trastuzuamb for the treatment of breast and gastric cancer. The company has a strategic alliance with Kissei Pharmaceutical for the development of ALT-L9, a biosimilar of Eylea (Aflibercept) which is currently under Phase 1 trial; Cristalia for the development of ALT-L2, a biosimilar of Herceptin (Trastuzumab), a monoclonal antibody for the treatment of breast cancer, which is in the Phase II clinical trial; and Biogen Inc. to develop subcutaneous (SC) formulations of biologics utilizing ALT-B4. ALTEOGEN Inc. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Daejeon, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ALTEOGEN Inc reported revenue of 216B KRW in FY2025 versus 41.1B KRW in FY2021, a compound +51.4%/yr. Reported net income was 142B KRW in FY2025, compounding +120.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
216B KRW
Latest YoY
+109.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+95.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+38.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+36.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in KRW) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+79.7% (79.6 + 0.1)
Revenue +51.4%/yr
FY21 41.1B KRW
FY22 28.8B KRW
FY23 96.5B KRW
FY24 103B KRW
FY25 216B KRW
Net income +120.4%/yr
FY21 6.0B KRW
FY22 −8.1B KRW
FY23 −3.4B KRW
FY24 62.3B KRW
FY25 142B KRW

196170 screens 631% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ALTEOGEN Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/196170

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 622 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 64% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 55% · Top 25%
Revenue growth −15% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST100 · sector 0
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND3 · sector 26

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $547.55 $278.78 −49%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $807.71 $594.40 −26%
argenx SE ARGX €877.60 €292.84 −67%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,518,000 KRW 1,055,793 KRW −30%
CSL Limited CSL A$174.50 A$141.68 −19%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $228.61 $51.70 −77%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $60.58 $24.22 −60%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 190,700 KRW 74,519 KRW −61%
BeOne Medicines AG ONC $362.51 $111.35 −69%
BioNTech SE BNTX $111.40 $45.66 −59%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ALTEOGEN Inc (196170) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 39,476 KRW versus a price of 288,500 KRW, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 196170?
Our model-based fair value for ALTEOGEN Inc is 39,476 KRW (as of Aug 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 288,500 KRW.
What is the quality score of 196170?
ALTEOGEN Inc has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ALTEOGEN Inc (196170)?
ALTEOGEN Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 204B KRW (latest available figure, as of Aug 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 196170?
The net profit margin of ALTEOGEN Inc is about 63.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 63.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ALTEOGEN Inc pay a dividend?
ALTEOGEN Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.13% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 17, 2026).
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