EN DE

Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd (1316) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$9.8B (≈ $1.3B) · ISIN KYG6501M1050

What is Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd really worth?

NA Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd 1316 · HK
PriceHK$4.94
Fair ValueHK$8.18
Upside+65.7%
Quality64/100

A solid business, trading 40% below our fair value of HK$8.18.

Watch Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free

Strengths

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (10/14)

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +8.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.2% net margin
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 21 out of 100

For context

·2.89% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range HK$6.13 – HK$10.23

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from HK$0.8900 to HK$8.18 (+818.7%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +10.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$6.13). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$11.11 HK$2.23 Fair Value HK$8.18 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$2.23 – HK$11.11 · fair‑value band HK$6.13 – HK$10.23 · the HK$4.94 price screens below the HK$8.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd (1316) currently trades at HK$4.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$8.18, implying the stock looks roughly 39.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$1.41 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$4.94 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$0.8900, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$4.6B at a net margin of 2.2%. Revenue grew 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$414M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$6.13 (bear case) to HK$10.23 (bull case); at HK$4.94, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 66%, 1316 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (HK$0.1200 to HK$2.32). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence HK$1.30 HK$1.84 HK$2.61 81
Growth DCF HK$1.32 HK$1.81 HK$2.46 79
Owner Earnings HK$1.23 HK$1.73 HK$2.45 77
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence HK$1.30 HK$1.84 HK$2.61 81
Owner Earnings HK$1.23 HK$1.73 HK$2.45 77
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.9400 HK$1.28 HK$1.70 73
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.49 HK$2.28 HK$3.19 75
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.9700 HK$1.32 HK$1.68 72
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.05 HK$1.38 HK$1.80 68
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.41 HK$2.06 HK$2.89 68
10Y P/E Exit HK$1.08 HK$1.41 HK$1.79 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.2800 HK$0.7800 HK$1.03 65
Lynch FV HK$0.1600 HK$0.2300 HK$0.2900 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.1600 HK$0.2300 HK$0.2900 57
EPV HK$0.5700 HK$0.6300 HK$0.6800 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.0800 HK$0.1500 HK$0.2300 67
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0800 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1600 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.6700 HK$0.8900 HK$1.12 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.5200 HK$0.6900 HK$0.8600 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.5200 HK$0.6900 HK$0.8600 55
EV/EBIT HK$1.05 HK$1.35 HK$1.64 66
EV/EBITDA HK$1.79 HK$2.32 HK$2.86 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.7700 HK$1.02 HK$1.27 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4200 HK$0.5600 HK$0.8400 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.32 HK$1.81 HK$2.46 79
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.9400 HK$1.30 HK$1.70 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.6300 HK$0.6300 HK$0.5800 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.5700 HK$0.6300 HK$0.6800 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.5300 HK$0.7600 HK$0.9900 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$1.41) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.1200). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

Notify me when 1316 reaches fair value

Put 1316 on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 12.3 as of Jul 2, 2026
P/S ratio 0.27 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0300 price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.3
Dividend yield 2.9%
Net margin 2.2% FY2025
Return on equity 5.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 3.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 4.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$4.6B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.6% 3y avg +6.1%
EPS growth (YoY) −16.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$267M FY2025
Net cash HK$414M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 12
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Nexteer Automotive Group Limited, a motion control technology company, develops, manufactures, and supplies steering and driveline systems to original equipment manufacturers in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally.

Full company description

Nexteer Automotive Group Limited, a motion control technology company, develops, manufactures, and supplies steering and driveline systems to original equipment manufacturers in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It offers electric power steering (EPS) products, which include steer-by-wire, rear-wheel steering, rack-assist electric power steering, single and dual pinion-assist EPS, modular EPS, column-assist electric power steering, automated steering actuators, and modular power packs. The company also provides steering column technologies, such as towable steering column, power tilt and telescope, power rake and telescope, transmission shifter, intermediate shafts, electronics, modules, sub-assemblies, and non-adjustable columns; and driveline products, comprising half shaft technologies and solutions. In addition, it offers hydraulic power steering products, which comprise magnetic torque overlay, smart flow, power steering pump and reservoir, rack and pinion, and recirculation ball steering gear products, as well as aftermarket solutions; and software products for steering, road surface detection, vehicle health management, brake-to-steer, and safety and cybersecurity. Further, the company provides megatrend alignment solutions, which include electrification, software and connectivity, shared mobility, and advanced driver assistance system and automated driving products. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Auburn Hills, Michigan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd reported revenue of $4.6B in FY2025 versus $3.4B in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was $102M in FY2025, compounding −3.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$4.6B
Latest YoY
+7.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (14Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
0.0% (−2.9 + 2.9)
Revenue +8.1%/yr
FY21 $3.4B
FY22 $3.8B
FY23 $4.2B
FY24 $4.3B
FY25 $4.6B
Net income −3.7%/yr
FY21 $118M
FY22 $58.0M
FY23 $36.7M
FY24 $61.7M
FY25 $102M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −12.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +2.8 %

of which total revenue +2.8 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin −13.7 %
Tax rate −2.0 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

Watch 1316: get an alert when its fair value changes →

Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
Share or link this analysis
𝕏 Post WhatsApp LinkedIn Reddit
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd · Fair Value
HK$8.18 +40%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1316

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 640 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +66% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.59× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 2.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 14
FUTURE38 · sector 21
PAST21 · sector 28
HEALTH99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND58 · sector 32

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY $88.50 $47.50 −46%
AutoZone, Inc AZO $2,932 $2,287 −22%
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 450,500 KRW 643,909 KRW +43%
Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥57.67 ¥84.47 +46%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹165.30 ₹80.63 −51%
Magna International Inc MGA $65.57 $68.17 +4%
Genuine Parts Company GPC $137.51 $58.07 −58%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,700 ₹11,534 −76%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥45.82 ¥28.28 −38%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,063 ₹393.20 −81%

Compare Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screener Filter by region, size and sector Compare tool Two stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator (Options) Splits an option premium into intrinsic and extrinsic (time) value. Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula & Calculator Apply Peter Lynch's fair value formula in seconds: fair P/E ≈ earnings growth (+ dividend) - free, with formula and example.

Frequently asked questions

Is Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd (1316) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$8.18 versus a price of HK$4.94, about +66% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1316?
Our model-based fair value for Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd is HK$8.18 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$4.94.
What is the quality score of 1316?
Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd (1316)?
Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$4.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1316?
The net profit margin of Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd is about 2.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.89% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 20, 2026).
Free · no account needed

Watch Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd in the live analysis

One click puts Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.