Xinyi Solar Holdings (0968) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · HK · Market cap HK$19.2B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$2.72 to HK$3.35 (+23.2%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price +14.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 48% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$2.83). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.94 – HK$16.91 · fair‑value band HK$2.83 – HK$4.18 · the HK$2.26 price screens below the HK$3.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Xinyi Solar Holdings (0968) currently trades at HK$2.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.35, implying the stock looks roughly 48.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Xinyi Solar Holdings generated revenue of HK$20.9B at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue declined 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.9%. Net debt stands at HK$9.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$2.83 (bear case) to HK$4.18 (bull case); at HK$2.26, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -6% fair-value upside, at 48%, 0968 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$6.68) versus Economic Profit (HK$1.17). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells solar glass products in Mainland China, rest of Asia, North America, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Sales of Solar Glass and Renewable Energy Business.
Full company description
Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells solar glass products in Mainland China, rest of Asia, North America, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Sales of Solar Glass and Renewable Energy Business. It offers ultra-clear patterned solar glasses, back glasses, and anti-reflective coating solar glasses. The company also develops, operates, and manages solar farms; and generates solar power. In addition, it offers engineering, procurement, and construction services; solar power systems; and silicon products. Further, the company engages in mining activities and the sale of mining products. Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Wuhu, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xinyi Solar Holdings reported revenue of HK$23.2B in FY2025 versus HK$16.1B in FY2021, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$940M in FY2025, compounding −33.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +20.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −4.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch 0968: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Solar · 116 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Solar median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Solar, Inc FSLR | $240.91 | $392.12 | +63% |
| Nextpower Inc NXT | $103.67 | $69.61 | -33% |
| Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER | ₹2,668 | ₹2,709 | +2% |
| Tongwei Co 600438 | ¥12.89 | ¥12.13 | -6% |
| Jinko Solar Co 688223 | ¥4.52 | ¥6.47 | +43% |
| Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH | $40.77 | $24.15 | -41% |
| CSI Solar Co 688472 | ¥10.28 | ¥6.76 | -34% |
| Hengdian Group 002056 | ¥22.35 | ¥31.86 | +43% |
| Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE | ₹1,086 | ₹912.32 | -16% |
| Trina Solar Co 688599 | ¥13.64 | ¥7.97 | -42% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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