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WH Group Ltd (0288) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$103B (≈ $13.1B) · ISIN KYG960071028

What is WH Group Ltd really worth?

WG WH Group Ltd 0288 · HK
PriceHK$7.27
Fair ValueHK$20.11
Upside+176.8%
Quality66/100

A solid business, trading 64% below our fair value of HK$20.11.

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Strengths

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (12/15)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.6% net margin
!Moderate moat 51/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·15.10% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range HK$13.83 – HK$25.14

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from HK$2.56 to HK$20.11 (+685.5%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −12.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$13.83). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$13.83 to HK$25.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$10.37 HK$2.86 Fair Value HK$20.11 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$2.86 – HK$10.37 · fair‑value band HK$13.83 – HK$25.14 · the HK$7.27 price screens below the HK$20.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

WH Group Ltd (0288) currently trades at HK$7.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$20.11, implying the stock looks roughly 63.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$2.58 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$7.27 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$2.04, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, WH Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$28.0B at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue grew 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.7%. Net debt stands at HK$1.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$13.83 (bear case) to HK$25.14 (bull case); at HK$7.27, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 177%, 0288 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence HK$1.68 HK$2.52 HK$3.76 80
Growth DCF HK$1.72 HK$2.48 HK$3.54 78
Owner Earnings HK$1.49 HK$2.23 HK$3.32 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence HK$1.68 HK$2.52 HK$3.76 80
Owner Earnings HK$1.49 HK$2.23 HK$3.32 76
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.77 HK$2.78 HK$4.06 72
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.08 HK$3.36 HK$4.82 75
5Y P/E Exit HK$1.72 HK$2.69 HK$3.69 71
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.67 HK$2.58 HK$3.76 66
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.92 HK$2.97 HK$4.33 68
10Y P/E Exit HK$1.69 HK$2.51 HK$3.48 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.8300 HK$2.31 HK$3.04 65
Lynch FV HK$0.4600 HK$0.6600 HK$0.8600 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.4600 HK$0.6600 HK$0.8600 57
EPV HK$1.57 HK$1.82 HK$2.04 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$1.29 HK$2.69 HK$4.26 66
DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.29 HK$2.04 HK$2.82 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$1.92 HK$2.56 HK$3.21 63
P/S Multiple HK$1.56 HK$2.08 HK$2.60 58
P/B Multiple HK$1.56 HK$2.08 HK$2.60 55
EV/EBIT HK$2.66 HK$3.54 HK$4.42 66
EV/EBITDA HK$2.60 HK$3.46 HK$4.31 67
EV/Revenue HK$1.91 HK$2.72 HK$3.52 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4400 HK$0.5800 HK$0.8700 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.72 HK$2.48 HK$3.54 78
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.77 HK$2.79 HK$3.92 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.8500 HK$1.03 HK$1.84 73
ROIC Compounder HK$1.66 HK$2.06 HK$2.52 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.53 HK$2.19 HK$2.85 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$2.58) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.5800). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 8.4 as of Jul 14, 2026
P/S ratio 0.47 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0600 price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.4
Net margin 5.6% FY2025
Return on equity 15.7% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 8.4% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 10.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$28.0B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.3% 3y avg −0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) −6.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$1.9B FY2025
Net debt HK$1.6B FY2025 · ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

WH Group Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells packaged meats, pork, and hogs in China, North America, and Europe. It operates through Packaged Meats, Pork, and Others segments.

Full company description

WH Group Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells packaged meats, pork, and hogs in China, North America, and Europe. It operates through Packaged Meats, Pork, and Others segments. The company is involved in production, wholesale, and retail sale of low temperature and high temperature meat products; hog farming, slaughtering, and wholesale and retail sale of fresh and frozen pork; slaughtering, production, and sale of poultry; and sale of ancillary products and services, such as logistics and supply chain management services, flavoring ingredients and natural casings, condiments, biological pharmaceutical materials, and packaging materials. It also engages in the operation of finance and property development companies, and a chain of retail food stores; and livestock breeding. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

WH Group Ltd reported revenue of $28.0B in FY2025 versus $27.3B in FY2021, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was $1.6B in FY2025, compounding +10.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$28.0B
Latest YoY
+8.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (14Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+10.1% (10.1 + 0.0)
Revenue +0.7%/yr
FY21 $27.3B
FY22 $28.1B
FY23 $26.2B
FY24 $25.9B
FY25 $28.0B
Net income +10.1%/yr
FY21 $1.1B
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 $629M
FY24 $1.6B
FY25 $1.6B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +5.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.1 %

of which total revenue +2.4 % · buybacks/dilution +0.7 %

EBIT margin −2.9 %
Tax rate +1.0 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +4.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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WH Group Ltd · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "WH Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0288

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 648 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +177% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 15.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.18× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.17× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.47× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 3.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 20.50× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 25
FUTURE37 · sector 21
PAST63 · sector 28
HEALTH91 · sector 96
DIVIDEND100 · sector 53

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 78.62 CHF 57.26 −27%
Danone S.A BN €64.28 €48.41 −25%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,478 ₹251.94 −83%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $25.13 $24.59 −2%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.05 ¥21.93 −37%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥25.51 ¥32.50 +27%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.28 ¥9.89 −61%
General Mills, Inc GIS $40.44 $28.32 −30%
Wilmar International Limited F34 3.64 SGD 3.89 SGD +7%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,511 ₹1,765 −68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is WH Group Ltd (0288) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$20.11 versus a price of HK$7.27, about +177% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0288?
Our model-based fair value for WH Group Ltd is HK$20.11 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$7.27.
What is the quality score of 0288?
WH Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of WH Group Ltd (0288)?
WH Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$28.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0288?
The net profit margin of WH Group Ltd is about 5.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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