China Everbright Environment Group Ltd (0257) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$28.0B (≈ $3.6B) · ISIN HK0257001336

What is China Everbright Environment Group Ltd really worth?

CE China Everbright Environment Group Ltd 0257 · HK

PriceHK$4.99

Fair ValueHK$8.96

Upside+79.7%

Quality62/100

A solid business, trading 44% below our fair value of HK$8.96.

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Strengths

✓Solidly profitable · 14.3% net margin

✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

✓Ranks above peers (12/14)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −8.5 %/yr)

!Moderate moat 58/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on past: 26 out of 100

For context

·4.81% dividend yield

Evidence: Low Range HK$7.13 – HK$14.22

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price −1.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$7.13). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
A fairly wide model range (HK$7.13 to HK$14.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$2.04 – HK$5.73 · fair‑value band HK$7.13 – HK$14.22 · the HK$4.99 price screens below the HK$8.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

China Everbright Environment Group Ltd (0257) currently trades at HK$4.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$8.96, implying the stock looks roughly 44.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$20.98 per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$4.99 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$3.86, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, China Everbright Environment Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$27.5B at a net margin of 14.3%. Revenue declined 9.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.5%. Net debt stands at HK$85.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$7.13 (bear case) to HK$14.22 (bull case); at HK$4.99, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 80%, 0257 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.0812 per share, which is 0.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence

Highest evidence

Residual Income best evidence HK$7.06 HK$7.56 HK$8.46 76

FCF DCF HK$19.88 HK$36.44 HK$87.81 73

EPV HK$3.79 HK$5.72 HK$7.42 73

All 26 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF HK$19.88 HK$36.44 HK$87.81 73

Owner Earnings HK$3.61 HK$18.19 HK$48.79 65

5Y Revenue Exit HK$4.10 HK$10.49 HK$22.89 66

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$12.00 HK$27.10 HK$55.36 70

5Y P/E Exit HK$7.36 HK$20.98 HK$38.38 66

10Y Revenue Exit HK$8.36 HK$19.92 HK$28.69 65

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$14.25 HK$35.74 HK$75.32 63

10Y P/E Exit HK$10.93 HK$26.44 HK$52.64 59

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$4.55 HK$31.70 HK$44.49 63

Lynch FV HK$10.41 HK$14.87 HK$19.33 61

PEG = 1.0 HK$10.41 HK$14.87 HK$19.33 57

EPV HK$3.79 HK$5.72 HK$7.42 73

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM HK$2.20 HK$4.58 HK$7.27 66

DDM Multi-Stage HK$2.20 HK$3.86 HK$4.81 66

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$10.53 HK$14.04 HK$17.55 63

P/S Multiple HK$6.72 HK$8.96 HK$11.20 58

P/B Multiple HK$8.52 HK$11.37 HK$14.21 55

EV/EBIT HK$9.68 HK$15.52 HK$21.36 64

EV/EBITDA HK$9.10 HK$14.74 HK$20.38 66

EV/Revenue — HK$0.2400 HK$2.66 50

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$4.25 HK$5.70 HK$8.50 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$18.32 HK$41.39 HK$87.38 72

Rev-Margin DCF HK$4.10 HK$12.77 HK$25.95 67

Economic Profit

Residual Income best evidence HK$7.06 HK$7.56 HK$8.46 76

ROIC Compounder HK$3.79 HK$5.72 HK$7.42 71

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$13.80 HK$19.71 HK$25.62 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$20.98) versus Dividend Discount (HK$3.86). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 7.1 as of Jul 1, 2026

P/S ratio 1.06 P/E × margin

EPS (TTM) HK$0.3600 price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.1

Dividend yield 4.8% payout 66.7%

Net margin 14.9% FY2025

Return on equity 6.5% TTM

More key figures

Profitability

Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3% avg 5y

Operating margin 28.9% TTM

Growth

Revenue (TTM) HK$27.5B TTM

Revenue growth (YoY) −9.8% 3y avg −9.7%

EPS growth (YoY) +86.1%

Balance sheet & cash flow

Free cash flow HK$10.3B FY2025

Net debt HK$85.9B FY2025 · ≈ 8.4 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 29

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 53

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 96

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 17

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 90

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 86

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 48

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 57

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 82

Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Full company description

China Everbright Environment Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides environmental solutions worldwide. The company's Environmental Energy Project Construction and Operation segment constructs and operates food and kitchen waste treatment, leachate and fecal treatment, sludge treatment and disposal, fly ash landfill, medical waste, and solid waste treatment projects, as well as waste-to-energy and methane-to-energy plants. It also provides integrated urban, waste sorting, technical consultancy and engineering design, renewable resources utilization, and sanitation operation services. Its Greentech Project Construction and Operation segment constructs and operates integrated biomass utilization, hazardous and solid waste treatment, and solar energy and wind power projects, as well as offers environmental remediation services. The company's Environmental Water Project Construction and Operation segment constructs, upgrades, and operates wastewater treatment plants; water supply and reusable water treatment plants; and sponge city construction, sludge treatment and disposal, leachate treatment, river-basin ecological restoration, and wastewater source heat pump projects. It also researches and develops water environment technologies and engineering projects. Its Others segment conducts environmental protection technology research and development projects; provides environmental related technological, and protection project equipment construction and installation services; designs environmental protection projects; and sells related equipment. It also collects and treats municipal wastes by mechanical and biological technology; and manufactures environmental protection equipment. The company was formerly known as China Everbright International Limited and changed its name to China Everbright Environment Group Limited in September 2020. China Everbright Environment Group Limited was incorporated in 1961 and is headquartered in Hong Kong, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Everbright Environment Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$27.5B in FY2025 versus HK$49.9B in FY2021, a compound −13.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$4.1B in FY2025, compounding −11.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100

Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Latest Revenue (FY 2025)

HK$27.5B

Latest YoY

−9.0%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

−9.7%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

−8.5%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+17.7%

Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.

−2.6% (−7.4 + 4.8)

Revenue −13.8%/yr

FY21 HK$49.9B

FY22 HK$37.3B

FY23 HK$32.1B

FY24 HK$30.3B

FY25 HK$27.5B

Net income −11.9%/yr

FY21 HK$6.8B

FY22 HK$4.6B

FY23 HK$4.4B

FY24 HK$3.4B

FY25 HK$4.1B

Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +13.6 % p.a.

Revenue per share +20.7 %

of which total revenue +13.5 % · buybacks/dilution +6.4 %

EBIT margin −2.6 %

Tax rate +0.5 %

Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.7 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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China Everbright Environment Group Ltd · Fair Value
HK$8.96 +44%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Everbright Environment Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0257

Peer Group

Waste Management · 165 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%

Fair Value upside +80% · Top 25%

Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median

Return on assets 3% · Above median

Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%

Operating margin (TTM) 29% · Top 25%

Revenue growth −10% · Bottom 25%

Dividend yield (TTM) 4.8% · Top 25%

Debt / equity 1.12× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

P/B 0.54× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

P/S (TTM) 1.02× · Cheaper than median

P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

EV/EBITDA 7.0× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE100 · sector 2

FUTURE0 · sector 19

PAST26 · sector 26

HEALTH44 · sector 82

DIVIDEND96 · sector 45

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM	$217.76	$128.02	−41%
Republic Services, Inc RSG	$220.92	$120.63	−45%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN	C$230.52	C$78.67	−66%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE	€32.60	€23.26	−29%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH	$311.81	$154.01	−51%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL	C$57.62	C$44.27	−23%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC	€11.30	€7.30	−35%
GEM Co 002340	¥6.67	¥5.27	−21%
Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568	¥14.86	¥20.95	+41%
Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY	A$2.60	A$1.18	−55%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Everbright Environment Group Ltd (0257) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$8.96 versus a price of HK$4.99, about +80% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of 0257?

Our model-based fair value for China Everbright Environment Group Ltd is HK$8.96 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$4.99.

What is the quality score of 0257?

China Everbright Environment Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the revenue of China Everbright Environment Group Ltd (0257)?

China Everbright Environment Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$27.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 0257?

The net profit margin of China Everbright Environment Group Ltd is about 14.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does China Everbright Environment Group Ltd pay a dividend?

China Everbright Environment Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.81% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).

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