CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 22, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited stock HK$72.88, price HK$64.60, upside +12.8%, quality 58 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$30.89 – HK$73.20 · fair‑value band HK$45.46 – HK$130.14 · the HK$64.60 price screens below the HK$72.88 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
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CK Hutchison Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, primarily operates in ports and related services, retail, infrastructure, and telecommunications businesses in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Europe, Canada, Asia, Australia, and internationally.
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The company operates through four segments: Ports and Related Services, Retail, Infrastructure, and Telecommunications.
It invests in, develops, and operates ports, which operate 295 berths in 53 ports spanning 24 countries; and provides logistics and transportation-related services, such as cruise ship terminals, distribution centers, rail services, and ship repair facilities.
It also operates retail brands with stores that offer personal care, health and beauty products, food and fine wines, consumer electronics, and electrical appliances, as well as operates supermarkets under Watsons, PARKnSHOP, and FORTRESS brands; and manufactures and distributes water and other beverages under the Watsons Water and Mr. Juicy brands.
In addition, the company invests in energy infrastructure, transportation infrastructure, water infrastructure, waste management, waste-to-energy, household infrastructure, and other infrastructure related businesses.
Further, the company provides mobile telecommunications and data services, as well as operates as an integrated energy company.
Additionally, it researches, develops, manufactures, commercializes, markets, and sells nutraceuticals, pharmaceuticals, and agriculture-related products; provides marine construction and ship repair yard, water supply and sewerage, electricity generation and distribution, and gas distribution.
CK Hutchison Holdings Limited was founded in 1828 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001) currently trades at HK$64.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$72.88, implying the stock looks roughly 11.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$165.72 per share, and 10 of the 13 models we run sit above the HK$64.60 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$21.45, and 3 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: HK$45.46 (bear) to HK$130.14 (bull), the price of HK$64.60 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
CK Hutchison Holdings Limited reported revenue of HK$280B in FY2025 versus HK$281B in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$11.8B in FY2025, compounding −22.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$247B (≈ $31.5B) Large · P/E ratio 6.6 · P/S ratio 0.28 · Dividend yield 3.6% · Net margin 4.2% · Return on equity 7.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4% · Operating margin 10.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 13%, 0001 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$45.46Fair Value HK$72.88BullHK$130.14
Price HK$64.60 · Upside +12.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.3% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+27.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+23.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−18.7% vs −9.7%, slowing
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−7.2%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −9.1% a year for the price and +0.5% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Very negative
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 355 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside+10.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)7.3% · Above median
Return on assets1.7% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)22.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)10.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−1.9% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)3.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.41× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
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Is CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$72.88 versus a price of HK$64.60, about +13% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0001?
Our model-based fair value for CK Hutchison Holdings Limited is HK$72.88 (as of Oct 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$64.60.
What is the quality score of 0001?
CK Hutchison Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$72.88 (as of Oct 22, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$45.46, optimistic scenario HK$130.14. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CK Hutchison Holdings Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$72.88, about +13% upside versus a price of HK$64.60 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$45.46, optimistic scenario HK$130.14. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001)?
CK Hutchison Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$277B (latest available figure, as of Oct 22, 2026).
Does CK Hutchison Holdings Limited pay a dividend?
CK Hutchison Holdings Limited currently shows a dividend yield of 3.63% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 22, 2026).
What growth is priced into CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CK Hutchison Holdings Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -7.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.0 % per year. As of Oct 22, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0001 use?
Our models discount CK Hutchison Holdings Limited at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.75, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CK Hutchison Holdings Limited that is -7.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CK Hutchison Holdings Limited grew +1.0 % a year. The price currently implies -7.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (-7.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 17.72 %: that much free cash flow CK Hutchison Holdings Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CK Hutchison Holdings Limited it is HK$72.88 per share (as of Oct 22, 2026), against a price of HK$64.60. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CK Hutchison Holdings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 22, 2026, 0001 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$64.60, fair value HK$72.88, a gap of about +13% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0001?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$64.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$72.88). For CK Hutchison Holdings Limited the two are HK$8.28 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CK Hutchison Holdings Limited worth?
The market values CK Hutchison Holdings Limited at about HK$247B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 22, 2026). Per share that is HK$64.60; our models calculate a fair value of HK$72.88 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0001?
Our models span a range for CK Hutchison Holdings Limited: cautious scenario HK$45.46, base HK$72.88, optimistic HK$130.14 per share (as of Oct 22, 2026, price HK$64.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0001?
CK Hutchison Holdings Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.6 (as of Oct 22, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$72.88 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.4, P/B 0.5, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 11.6.
What is the PEG ratio of 0001?
The PEG ratio of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited is 0.43 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 22, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001)?
Balance-sheet figures for CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (as of Oct 22, 2026): return on equity 7.3%, debt of 0.41 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0001 from its 52-week high?
CK Hutchison Holdings Limited trades at HK$64.60, about 12% below its 52-week high of HK$73.20 and 32% above the low of HK$49.02 (as of Oct 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$72.88 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CK Hutchison Holdings Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, Swire Pacific Limited, SGH Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CK Hutchison Holdings Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 22, 2026: price HK$64.60, calculated fair value HK$72.88 (+13%), Quality Score 58/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0001 calculated?
We run CK Hutchison Holdings Limited through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$72.88, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.6 % above its aggregate fair value. CK Hutchison Holdings Limited currently trades 11 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001)?
The closing price on Oct 22, 2026 was HK$64.60. Our model-based fair value is HK$72.88, about +13% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CK Hutchison Holdings Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide (HK$45.46 to HK$130.14). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001) come from?
Earnings per share at CK Hutchison Holdings Limited grew −7.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.3 %, EBIT margin +10.8 %, tax rate −1.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −19.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001)?
The market capitalisation of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited is HK$247B (≈ $31.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited is 0.28 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001)?
The dividend yield of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited is 3.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001)?
The net margin of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited is 4.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited is 6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001)?
The operating margin of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited is 10.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001)?
Revenue at CK Hutchison Holdings Limited is growing −1.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001)?
Earnings per share at CK Hutchison Holdings Limited are growing +30.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does CK Hutchison Holdings Limited (0001) carry?
The net debt of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited is HK$191B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 22, 2026