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STOCK COMPARISON

Lottery Corporation vs Flutter Entertainment: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Lottery Corporation (TLC) and Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) compare, as of Aug 14, 2026.

As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Flutter Entertainment as the less overvalued of the two: Lottery Corporation trades at A$5.38 versus a fair value of A$2.99 (-44%), while Flutter Entertainment trades at $98.32 versus $88.33 (-10%).
Lottery Corporation
TLC.AU · AUD · Consumer Discretionary
-44%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceA$5.38
Fair ValueA$2.99
Quality65/100
Flutter Entertainment
FLUT · USD · Consumer Discretionary
-10%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$98.32
Fair Value$88.33
Quality50/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Lottery CorporationFlutter Entertainment
Valuation
34.8×P/E (TTM)—
2.31×P/S (TTM)1.13×
27.24×P/B2.12×
15.1×EV/EBITDA12.9×
—PEG0.19×
3.0%Dividend yield—
A$0.17Dividend per share—
Profitability
10%Net margin-2%
17%Operating margin2%
114%Return on equity-5%
9%Return on assets1%
Growth
2%Revenue growth (YoY)17%
4.4%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)20.1%
5.0%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)22.1%
Balance & size
7.02×Debt / equity1.35×
$9BMarket cap$19B
mixedGrowth qualitymixed

Flutter Entertainment leads: 4 to 7 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Lottery Corporationof which business quality 62 · market factors 59 Flutter Entertainmentof which business quality 49 · market factors 21
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
73
21
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
42
46
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
67
56
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
34
29
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
81
90
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
94
41
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
46
18
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
41
2
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
83
83

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Lottery Corporation

DCF ModelsA$2.66
Earnings-BasedA$1.15
MultiplesA$2.56
Asset-BasedA$0.10
Growth DCFA$2.15
Economic ProfitA$1.60
Growth EarningsA$3.04

24 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Flutter Entertainment

DCF Models$133
Dividend Discount$20.77
Multiples$52.30
Asset-Based$34.91
Growth DCF$89.82

8 of 13 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Lottery Corporation
Bear A$1.91Fair Value A$2.99Bull A$3.97
A$5.38 = current price (white tick)
Flutter Entertainment
Bear $52.54Fair Value $88.33Bull $124
$98.32 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Lottery Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score65 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-44% · below median

Flutter Entertainment · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score50 · below median
Fair value upside-10% · below median

Bottom line

As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Flutter Entertainment as the less overvalued of the two: Lottery Corporation trades at A$5.38 versus a fair value of A$2.99 (-44%), while Flutter Entertainment trades at $98.32 versus $88.33 (-10%).

Lottery Corporation has the higher quality score (65/100).

See the full analysis →
Lottery Corporation · Flutter Entertainment

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.