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STOCK COMPARISON

Stadler Rail vs Union Pacific: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Stadler Rail (SRAIL) and Union Pacific (UNP) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Stadler Rail as the less overvalued of the two: Stadler Rail trades at CHF 29.54 versus a fair value of CHF 15.35 (-48%), while Union Pacific trades at $289 versus $141 (-51%).
Stadler Rail
SRAIL.SW · CHF · Industrials
-48%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceCHF 29.54
Fair ValueCHF 15.35
Quality43/100
Union Pacific
UNP · USD · Industrials
-51%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$289
Fair Value$141
Quality67/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Stadler RailUnion Pacific
Valuation
34.2×P/E (TTM)24.6×
0.78×P/S (TTM)7.25×
3.54×P/B9.70×
11.0×EV/EBITDA16.5×
PEG3.64×
−48.0%Fair value upside−51.1%
1.7%Dividend yield1.9%
CHF 0.50Dividend per share$5.48
Profitability
5%Operating margin40%
0.86×EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.00×
12%Return on equity41%
2%Return on assets9%
Growth
16%Revenue growth (YoY)3%
-0.6%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-0.5%
3.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)4.6%
−6.3%Value creation/yr+9.4%
Balance & size
3.4×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)7.5×
0.62×Debt / equity1.64×
$3BMarket cap$179B
expensiveGrowth qualityhealthy

Union Pacific leads: 5 to 10 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Stadler Railof which business quality 38 · market factors 84 Union Pacificof which business quality 63 · market factors 70
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
29
64
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
60
57
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
0
71
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
22
40
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
72
47
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
70
74
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
88
62
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
94
78
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
82
100

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyStadler RailPrice CHF 29.54Union PacificPrice $289
DCF Modelsn/a-58%below the price$122
Earnings-Based-54%below the priceCHF 13.54-66%below the price$97.30
Dividend Discount-90%below the priceCHF 2.95n/a
Multiples-30%below the priceCHF 20.64-38%below the price$180
Asset-Based-82%below the priceCHF 5.44-93%below the price$20.84
Growth DCFn/a-76%below the price$69.97
Economic Profit-61%below the priceCHF 11.44-58%below the price$121
Growth Earnings-48%below the priceCHF 15.35-29%below the price$204
Minimum-90%below the priceCHF 2.95-93%below the price$20.84
Maximum-30%below the priceCHF 20.64-29%below the price$204
Median-58%below the priceCHF 12.49-58%below the price$121
Geometric mean-67%below the priceCHF 9.61-67%below the price$96.44

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Stadler Rail: 14 of 15 models see the stock below the current price.

Union Pacific: 23 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Stadler Rail
Bear CHF 10.75Fair Value CHF 15.35Bull CHF 19.96
CHF 29.54 = current price (white tick)
Union Pacific
Bear $87.76Fair Value $141Bull $266
$289 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Stadler Rail · Industrials

Quality score43 · below median
Fair value upside-48% · below median

Union Pacific · Industrials

Quality score67 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-51% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Stadler Rail as the less overvalued of the two: Stadler Rail trades at CHF 29.54 versus a fair value of CHF 15.35 (-48%), while Union Pacific trades at $289 versus $141 (-51%).

Union Pacific has the higher quality score (67/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.