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STOCK COMPARISON

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN vs Exxon Mobil: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN (PKN) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) compare, as of Aug 14, 2026.

As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Exxon Mobil as the less overvalued of the two: Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN trades at PLN 151 versus a fair value of PLN 73.60 (-51%), while Exxon Mobil trades at $159 versus $88.98 (-44%).
Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN
PKN.WAR · PLN · Energy
-51%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PricePLN 151
Fair ValuePLN 73.60
Quality61/100
Exxon Mobil
XOM · USD · Energy
-44%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$159
Fair Value$88.98
Quality56/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLENExxon Mobil
Valuation
27.8×P/E (TTM)24.6×
0.17×P/S (TTM)1.86×
0.30×P/B2.34×
1.0×EV/EBITDA11.3×
1.16×PEG1.20×
5.5%Dividend yield2.8%
PLN 8.00Dividend per share$4.04
Profitability
2%Net margin8%
17%Operating margin6%
4%Return on equity10%
7%Return on assets4%
Growth
3%Revenue growth (YoY)3%
-1.2%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-6.7%
25.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)12.6%
Balance & size
0.16×Debt / equity0.13×
$46BMarket cap$606B
mixedGrowth qualitymixed

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN leads: 10 to 4 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLENof which business quality 60 · market factors 89 Exxon Mobilof which business quality 57 · market factors 75
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
33
43
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
48
33
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
51
51
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
79
77
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
77
60
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
80
89
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
88
60
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
100
85
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
82
77

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN

DCF ModelsPLN 244
Earnings-BasedPLN 35.84
Dividend DiscountPLN 106
MultiplesPLN 120
Asset-BasedPLN 87.93
Growth DCFPLN 299
Economic ProfitPLN 148
Growth EarningsPLN 27.28

13 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

Exxon Mobil

DCF Models$83.38
Earnings-Based$76.97
Multiples$90.93
Asset-Based$41.93
Growth DCF$86.16
Economic Profit$62.60
Growth Earnings$77.86

22 of 22 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN
Bear PLN 38.21Fair Value PLN 73.60Bull PLN 95.32
PLN 151 = current price (white tick)
Exxon Mobil
Bear $59.15Fair Value $88.98Bull $117
$159 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN · Energy

Quality score61 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-51% · below median

Exxon Mobil · Energy

Quality score56 · above median
Fair value upside-44% · below median

Bottom line

As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Exxon Mobil as the less overvalued of the two: Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN trades at PLN 151 versus a fair value of PLN 73.60 (-51%), while Exxon Mobil trades at $159 versus $88.98 (-44%).

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN has the higher quality score (61/100).

See the full analysis →
Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN · Exxon Mobil

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.