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STOCK COMPARISON

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN vs Exxon Mobil: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN (PKN) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Exxon Mobil as the less overvalued of the two: Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN trades at PLN 158 versus a fair value of PLN 73.60 (-53%), while Exxon Mobil trades at $162 versus $88.98 (-45%).
Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN
PKN.WAR · PLN · Energy
-53%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PricePLN 158
Fair ValuePLN 73.60
Quality61/100
Exxon Mobil
XOM · USD · Energy
-45%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$162
Fair Value$88.98
Quality56/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLENExxon Mobil
Valuation
29.1×P/E (TTM)24.6×
0.17×P/S (TTM)1.86×
0.30×P/B2.34×
1.0×EV/EBITDA11.3×
1.16×PEG1.20×
−53.4%Fair value upside−45.1%
5.1%Dividend yield2.5%
PLN 8.00Dividend per share$4.04
Profitability
17%Operating margin6%
4%Return on equity10%
7%Return on assets4%
Growth
3%Revenue growth (YoY)3%
-1.2%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-6.7%
25.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)12.6%
+7.8%Value creation/yr+11.4%
Balance & size
17.5×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)56.3×
0.16×Debt / equity0.13×
$46BMarket cap$606B
mixedGrowth qualityweak

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN leads: 10 to 5 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLENof which business quality 60 · market factors 88 Exxon Mobilof which business quality 57 · market factors 76
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
33
43
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
48
33
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
51
51
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
79
77
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
77
60
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
80
88
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
86
62
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
100
85
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
82
77

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyPolski Koncern Naftowy ORLENPrice PLN 158Exxon MobilPrice $162
DCF Models+54%above the pricePLN 244-49%below the price$83.38
Earnings-Based-77%below the pricePLN 35.84-53%below the price$76.97
Dividend Discount-33%below the pricePLN 106n/a
Multiples-24%below the pricePLN 120-44%below the price$90.93
Asset-Based-44%below the pricePLN 87.93-74%below the price$41.93
Growth DCF+89%above the pricePLN 299-47%below the price$86.16
Economic Profit-6%close to the pricePLN 148-61%below the price$62.60
Growth Earnings-83%below the pricePLN 27.28-52%below the price$77.86
Minimum-83%below the pricePLN 27.28-74%below the price$41.93
Maximum+89%above the pricePLN 299-44%below the price$90.93
Median-29%below the pricePLN 113-52%below the price$77.86
Geometric mean-35%below the pricePLN 102-55%below the price$72.25

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN: 13 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

Exxon Mobil: 22 of 22 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN
Bear PLN 38.21Fair Value PLN 73.60Bull PLN 95.32
PLN 158 = current price (white tick)
Exxon Mobil
Bear $59.15Fair Value $88.98Bull $117
$162 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN · Energy

Quality score61 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-53% · below median

Exxon Mobil · Energy

Quality score56 · above median
Fair value upside-45% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Exxon Mobil as the less overvalued of the two: Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN trades at PLN 158 versus a fair value of PLN 73.60 (-53%), while Exxon Mobil trades at $162 versus $88.98 (-45%).

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN has the higher quality score (61/100).

See the full analysis →
Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN · Exxon Mobil

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.