Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Progressive (PGR) and Chubb (CB) compare, as of Aug 14, 2026.
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Progressive as the less overvalued of the two: Progressive trades at $209 versus a fair value of $160 (-23%), while Chubb trades at $345 versus $235 (-32%).
Progressive
PGR · USD · Financials
-23%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$209
Fair Value$160
Quality65/100
Chubb
CB · USD · Financials
-32%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$345
Fair Value$235
Quality67/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
ProgressiveChubb
Valuation
11.7×P/E (TTM)12.2×
1.50×P/S (TTM)2.15×
4.43×P/B1.77×
9.3×EV/EBITDA10.0×
35.19×PEG3.12×
0.2%Dividend yield1.1%
$0.40Dividend per share$3.88
Profitability
13%Net margin19%
16%Operating margin21%
38%Return on equity15%
8%Return on assets3%
Growth
9%Revenue growth (YoY)10%
20.9%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)11.6%
15.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)10.6%
Balance & size
0.23×Debt / equity0.21×
$134BMarket cap$131B
mixedGrowth qualityhealthy
Even match: 7 to 7 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
Progressiveof which business quality 64 · market factors 52Chubbof which business quality 64 · market factors 72
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
61
37
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
64
51
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
37
59
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
88
95
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
39
57
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
32
73
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
81
100
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
Progressive
Multiples$163
Asset-Based$34.90
Economic Profit$211
2 of 4 models see the stock below the current price.
Chubb
Dividend Discount$68.27
Multiples$306
Asset-Based$127
Economic Profit$240
5 of 6 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Progressive
Bear $120Fair Value $160Bull $200
$209 = current price (white tick)
Chubb
Bear $176Fair Value $235Bull $293
$345 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Progressive · Financials
Quality score65 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-23% · below median
Chubb · Financials
Quality score67 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-32% · below median
Bottom line
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Progressive as the less overvalued of the two: Progressive trades at $209 versus a fair value of $160 (-23%), while Chubb trades at $345 versus $235 (-32%).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
