National Fuel Gas vs Exxon Mobil: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how National Fuel Gas (NFG) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) compare, as of Aug 14, 2026.
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees National Fuel Gas as the less overvalued of the two: National Fuel Gas trades at $81.51 versus a fair value of $48.18 (-41%), while Exxon Mobil trades at $159 versus $88.98 (-44%).
National Fuel Gas
NFG · USD · Utilities
-41%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$81.51
Fair Value$48.18
Quality63/100
Exxon Mobil
XOM · USD · Energy
-44%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$159
Fair Value$88.98
Quality56/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
National Fuel GasExxon Mobil
Valuation
10.9×P/E (TTM)24.6×
3.07×P/S (TTM)1.86×
2.49×P/B2.34×
6.5×EV/EBITDA11.3×
1.55×PEG1.20×
2.6%Dividend yield2.8%
$2.14Dividend per share$4.04
Profitability
27%Net margin8%
42%Operating margin6%
21%Return on equity10%
8%Return on assets4%
Growth
18%Revenue growth (YoY)3%
1.4%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-6.7%
8.1%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)12.6%
Balance & size
0.77×Debt / equity0.13×
$8BMarket cap$606B
expensiveGrowth qualitymixed
National Fuel Gas leads: 8 to 6 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
National Fuel Gasof which business quality 58 · market factors 52Exxon Mobilof which business quality 57 · market factors 75
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
49
43
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
88
33
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
38
60
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
94
89
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
37
60
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
30
85
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
89
77
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
National Fuel Gas
DCF Models$32.16
Earnings-Based$57.38
Dividend Discount$23.30
Multiples$79.06
Asset-Based$21.82
Growth DCF$13.09
Economic Profit$46.57
Growth Earnings$75.34
20 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.
Exxon Mobil
DCF Models$83.38
Earnings-Based$76.97
Multiples$90.93
Asset-Based$41.93
Growth DCF$86.16
Economic Profit$62.60
Growth Earnings$77.86
22 of 22 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
National Fuel Gas
Bear $37.12Fair Value $48.18Bull $97.94
$81.51 = current price (white tick)
Exxon Mobil
Bear $59.15Fair Value $88.98Bull $117
$159 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
National Fuel Gas · Utilities
Quality score63 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-41% · below median
Exxon Mobil · Energy
Quality score56 · above median
Fair value upside-44% · below median
Bottom line
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees National Fuel Gas as the less overvalued of the two: National Fuel Gas trades at $81.51 versus a fair value of $48.18 (-41%), while Exxon Mobil trades at $159 versus $88.98 (-44%).
National Fuel Gas has the higher quality score (63/100).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
