Lundin Gold vs Newmont: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Lundin Gold (LUG) and Newmont (NEM) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
Newmont leads: 6 to 8 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
What the models say
How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.
▲above the price, more than 15% above ●close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price ▼below the price, more than 15% below
| Model family | Lundin GoldPrice C$102 | NewmontPrice A$178 |
|---|---|---|
| DCF Models | ●+6%close to the priceC$107 | ●+10%close to the priceA$197 |
| Earnings-Based | ●+15%close to the priceC$117 | ●-13%close to the priceA$155 |
| Dividend Discount | ▼-52%below the priceC$49.14 | n/a |
| Multiples | ▼-66%below the priceC$34.88 | ▼-41%below the priceA$106 |
| Asset-Based | ▼-96%below the priceC$3.77 | ▼-88%below the priceA$21.27 |
| Growth DCF | ▼-18%below the priceC$83.29 | ▼-16%below the priceA$150 |
| Economic Profit | ▼-61%below the priceC$39.11 | ▼-51%below the priceA$86.58 |
| Growth Earnings | ▲+41%above the priceC$144 | ●+6%close to the priceA$189 |
| Minimum | ▼-96%below the priceC$3.77 | ▼-88%below the priceA$21.27 |
| Maximum | ▲+41%above the priceC$144 | ●+10%close to the priceA$197 |
| Median | ▼-35%below the priceC$66.21 | ▼-16%below the priceA$150 |
| Geometric mean | ▼-51%below the priceC$49.80 | ▼-40%below the priceA$108 |
Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.
Lundin Gold: 16 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.
Newmont: 15 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Compare two other stocks
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Lundin Gold · Materials
Newmont · Materials
Bottom line
As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Newmont as the less overvalued of the two: Lundin Gold trades at C$102 versus a fair value of C$74.07 (-27%), while Newmont trades at A$178 versus A$162 (-9%).
Lundin Gold has the higher quality score (85/100).
See the full analysis →More comparisons
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.