First Quantum Minerals vs Southern Copper: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how First Quantum Minerals (FM) and Southern Copper (SCCO) compare, as of Aug 14, 2026.
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Southern Copper as the less overvalued of the two: First Quantum Minerals trades at C$43.24 versus a fair value of C$10.06 (-77%), while Southern Copper trades at $188 versus $85.17 (-55%).
First Quantum Minerals
FM.TO · CAD · Materials
-77%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceC$43.24
Fair ValueC$10.06
Quality40/100
Southern Copper
SCCO · USD · Materials
-55%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$188
Fair Value$85.17
Quality72/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
First Quantum MineralsSouthern Copper
Valuation
—P/E (TTM)30.8×
4.01×P/S (TTM)10.07×
1.96×P/B13.28×
15.8×EV/EBITDA16.8×
0.96×PEG5.41×
—Dividend yield1.8%
—Dividend per share$3.30
Profitability
-4%Net margin34%
10%Operating margin58%
-2%Return on equity46%
2%Return on assets24%
Growth
18%Revenue growth (YoY)36%
-11.8%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)10.1%
0.7%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)10.9%
Balance & size
0.45×Debt / equity0.61×
$22BMarket cap$147B
mixedGrowth qualityhealthy
Southern Copper leads: 5 to 7 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
First Quantum Mineralsof which business quality 41 · market factors 61Southern Copperof which business quality 70 · market factors 59
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
12
81
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
50
76
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
65
55
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
10
36
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
76
58
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
94
88
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
49
35
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
First Quantum Minerals
DCF ModelsC$13.13
Earnings-BasedC$1.25
MultiplesC$11.10
Asset-BasedC$9.03
Growth DCFC$11.50
Economic ProfitC$1.25
13 of 13 models see the stock below the current price.
Southern Copper
DCF Models$90.60
Earnings-Based$54.55
Dividend Discount$52.41
Multiples$64.01
Asset-Based$8.86
Growth DCF$60.29
Economic Profit$57.08
Growth Earnings$79.36
26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
First Quantum Minerals
Bear C$5.98Fair Value C$10.06Bull C$14.14
C$43.24 = current price (white tick)
Southern Copper
Bear $49.56Fair Value $85.17Bull $110
$188 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
First Quantum Minerals · Materials
Quality score40 · below median
Fair value upside-77% · bottom 25%
Southern Copper · Materials
Quality score72 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-55% · below median
Bottom line
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Southern Copper as the less overvalued of the two: First Quantum Minerals trades at C$43.24 versus a fair value of C$10.06 (-77%), while Southern Copper trades at $188 versus $85.17 (-55%).
Southern Copper has the higher quality score (72/100).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
