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STOCK COMPARISON

Flutter Entertainment vs Lottomatica Group S.p.A.: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) and Lottomatica Group S.p.A. (LTMC) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Flutter Entertainment as the less overvalued of the two: Flutter Entertainment trades at $102 versus a fair value of $88.33 (-14%), while Lottomatica Group S.p.A. trades at €24.27 versus €16.45 (-32%).
Flutter Entertainment
FLUT · USD · Consumer Discretionary
-14%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$102
Fair Value$88.33
Quality50/100
Lottomatica Group S.p.A.
LTMC.MI · EUR · Consumer Discretionary
-32%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price€24.27
Fair Value€16.45
Quality64/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Flutter EntertainmentLottomatica Group S.p.A.
Valuation
—P/E (TTM)26.8×
1.13×P/S (TTM)2.89×
2.12×P/B20.34×
12.9×EV/EBITDA12.6×
0.19×PEG—
−13.7%Fair value upside−32.2%
1.2%Dividend yield1.8%
—Dividend per share€0.44
Profitability
2%Operating margin21%
1.48×EBIT margin trend (5Y)—
-5%Return on equity55%
1%Return on assets8%
Growth
17%Revenue growth (YoY)4%
20.1%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)17.2%
22.1%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)42.7%
—Value creation/yr+39.4%
Balance & size
0.9×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)17,260.5×
1.35×Debt / equity6.09×
$19BMarket cap$7B
mixedGrowth qualityhealthy

Lottomatica Group S.p.A. leads: 5 to 7 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Flutter Entertainmentof which business quality 49 · market factors 24 Lottomatica Group S.p.A.of which business quality 62 · market factors 55
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
21
55
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
46
70
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
56
80
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
29
33
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
90
38
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
39
79
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
25
41
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
3
53
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
83
98

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyFlutter EntertainmentPrice $102Lottomatica Group S.p.A.Price €24.27
DCF Models+30%above the price$133+20%above the price€29.14
Earnings-Basedn/a-22%below the price€18.90
Dividend Discount-80%below the price$20.77-77%below the price€5.47
Multiples-49%below the price$52.30-42%below the price€14.01
Asset-Based-66%below the price$34.91-96%below the price€0.93
Growth DCF-12%close to the price$89.82+16%above the price€28.27
Economic Profitn/a-43%below the price€13.86
Growth Earningsn/a+2%close to the price€24.64
Minimum-80%below the price$20.77-96%below the price€0.93
Maximum+30%above the price$133+20%above the price€29.14
Median-49%below the price$52.30-32%below the price€16.46
Geometric mean-47%below the price$53.87-51%below the price€11.81

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Flutter Entertainment: 8 of 13 models see the stock below the current price.

Lottomatica Group S.p.A.: 15 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Flutter Entertainment
Bear $52.54Fair Value $88.33Bull $124
$102 = current price (white tick)
Lottomatica Group S.p.A.
Bear €12.34Fair Value €16.45Bull €32.04
€24.27 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Flutter Entertainment · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score50 · below median
Fair value upside-14% · below median

Lottomatica Group S.p.A. · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score64 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-32% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Flutter Entertainment as the less overvalued of the two: Flutter Entertainment trades at $102 versus a fair value of $88.33 (-14%), while Lottomatica Group S.p.A. trades at €24.27 versus €16.45 (-32%).

Lottomatica Group S.p.A. has the higher quality score (64/100).

See the full analysis →
Flutter Entertainment · Lottomatica Group S.p.A.

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.