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STOCK COMPARISON

Evolution Mining vs Newmont: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Evolution Mining (EVN) and Newmont (NEM) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Newmont as the less overvalued of the two: Evolution Mining trades at A$15.11 versus a fair value of A$7.75 (-49%), while Newmont trades at A$178 versus A$162 (-9%).
Evolution Mining
EVN.AU · AUD · Materials
-49%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceA$15.11
Fair ValueA$7.75
Quality64/100
Newmont
NEM.AU · AUD · Materials
-9%
upside to fair value
fairly valued
PriceA$178
Fair ValueA$162
Quality71/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Evolution MiningNewmont
Valuation
16.0×P/E (TTM)11.6×
3.02×P/S (TTM)4.01×
3.11×P/B2.95×
5.3×EV/EBITDA6.0×
0.42×PEG2.63×
−48.7%Fair value upside−9.1%
2.2%Dividend yield0.6%
A$0.33Dividend per shareA$1.02
Profitability
43%Operating margin61%
1.06×EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.76×
26%Return on equity26%
13%Return on assets15%
Growth
38%Revenue growth (YoY)46%
28.2%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)25.3%
17.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)15.3%
+23.6%Value creation/yr+14.3%
Balance & size
10.2×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)46.9×
0.35×Debt / equity0.15×
$15BMarket cap$100B
expensiveGrowth qualityhealthy

Newmont leads: 7 to 9 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Evolution Miningof which business quality 63 · market factors 56 Newmontof which business quality 70 · market factors 73
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
55
63
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
98
98
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
72
81
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
72
85
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
19
22
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
12
63
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
66
69
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
89
92
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
48
50

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyEvolution MiningPrice A$15.11NewmontPrice A$178
DCF Models-24%below the priceA$11.55+10%close to the priceA$197
Earnings-Based+6%close to the priceA$15.96-13%close to the priceA$155
Dividend Discount-91%below the priceA$1.40n/a
Multiples-50%below the priceA$7.54-41%below the priceA$106
Asset-Based-89%below the priceA$1.64-88%below the priceA$21.27
Growth DCF-41%below the priceA$8.96-16%below the priceA$150
Economic Profit-51%below the priceA$7.46-51%below the priceA$86.58
Growth Earnings+30%above the priceA$19.64+6%close to the priceA$189
Minimum-91%below the priceA$1.40-88%below the priceA$21.27
Maximum+30%above the priceA$19.64+10%close to the priceA$197
Median-45%below the priceA$8.25-16%below the priceA$150
Geometric mean-56%below the priceA$6.72-40%below the priceA$108

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Evolution Mining: 21 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Newmont: 15 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Evolution Mining
Bear A$5.38Fair Value A$7.75Bull A$14.01
A$15.11 = current price (white tick)
Newmont
Bear A$122Fair Value A$162Bull A$340
A$178 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Evolution Mining · Materials

Quality score64 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-49% · below median

Newmont · Materials

Quality score71 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-9% · above median

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Newmont as the less overvalued of the two: Evolution Mining trades at A$15.11 versus a fair value of A$7.75 (-49%), while Newmont trades at A$178 versus A$162 (-9%).

Newmont has the higher quality score (71/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.