Ellington Financial vs Annaly Capital Management: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Ellington Financial (EFC) and Annaly Capital Management (NLY) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
Annaly Capital Management leads: 5 to 6 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
What the models say
How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.
▲above the price, more than 15% above ●close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price ▼below the price, more than 15% below
| Model family | Ellington FinancialPrice $13.35 | Annaly Capital ManagementPrice $22.83 |
|---|---|---|
| Dividend Discount | n/a | ▲+98%above the price$45.20 |
| Multiples | ▲+25%above the price$16.68 | ▲+84%above the price$42.08 |
| Asset-Based | ▼-27%below the price$9.80 | ▼-36%below the price$14.71 |
| Economic Profit | ●-10%close to the price$11.98 | ●+7%close to the price$24.39 |
| Minimum | ▼-27%below the price$9.80 | ▼-36%below the price$14.71 |
| Maximum | ▲+25%above the price$16.68 | ▲+98%above the price$45.20 |
| Median | ●-10%close to the price$11.98 | ▲+46%above the price$33.23 |
| Geometric mean | ●-6%close to the price$12.51 | ▲+26%above the price$28.74 |
Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.
Ellington Financial: 2 of 4 models see the stock below the current price.
Annaly Capital Management: 1 of 8 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Compare two other stocks
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Ellington Financial · Financials
Annaly Capital Management · Financials
Bottom line
As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Ellington Financial as the less overvalued of the two: Ellington Financial trades at $13.35 versus a fair value of $11.43 (-14%), while Annaly Capital Management trades at $22.83 versus $19.41 (-15%).
Ellington Financial has the higher quality score (41/100).
See the full analysis →More comparisons
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.