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STOCK COMPARISON

ASSA ABLOY AB (publ) vs Geo Group: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how ASSA ABLOY AB (publ) (ASSA-B) and Geo Group (GEO) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Geo Group as the less overvalued of the two: ASSA ABLOY AB (publ) trades at SEK 352 versus a fair value of SEK 270 (-23%), while Geo Group trades at $30.88 versus $25.50 (-17%).
ASSA ABLOY AB (publ)
ASSA-B.ST · SEK · Consumer Discretionary
-23%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceSEK 352
Fair ValueSEK 270
Quality64/100
Geo Group
GEO · USD · Industrials
-17%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$30.88
Fair Value$25.50
Quality43/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

ASSA ABLOY AB (publ)Geo Group
Valuation
25.1×P/E (TTM)15.0×
2.56×P/S (TTM)1.44×
3.81×P/B2.62×
14.9×EV/EBITDA12.0×
1.57×PEG1.82×
−23.3%Fair value upside−17.4%
1.8%Dividend yield0.2%
SEK 6.40Dividend per share—
Profitability
17%Operating margin13%
1.08×EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.00×
16%Return on equity19%
7%Return on assets5%
Growth
3%Revenue growth (YoY)17%
8.1%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)3.5%
11.7%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)2.3%
+9.8%Value creation/yr+6.5%
Balance & size
7.0×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)1.6×
0.46×Debt / equity1.10×
$41BMarket cap$4B
healthyGrowth qualityexpensive
Valuation multiples (P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA) are shown but not scored here: the two companies sit in different sectors, and multiples only compare fairly between similar business models. PEG stays scored, as it relates the P/E to growth.

ASSA ABLOY AB (publ) leads: 11 to 1 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

ASSA ABLOY AB (publ)of which business quality 62 · market factors 56 Geo Groupof which business quality 39 · market factors 78
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
52
47
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
51
61
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
66
6
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
58
34
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
73
74
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
80
51
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
46
89
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
46
89
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
82
37

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyASSA ABLOY AB (publ)Price SEK 352Geo GroupPrice $30.88
DCF Models-7%close to the priceSEK 327-62%below the price$11.66
Earnings-Based-59%below the priceSEK 146-58%below the price$12.89
Dividend Discountn/a-98%below the price$0.61
Multiples-25%below the priceSEK 265-5%close to the price$29.22
Asset-Based-82%below the priceSEK 64.63-76%below the price$7.54
Growth DCF-22%below the priceSEK 276n/a
Economic Profit-52%below the priceSEK 169-70%below the price$9.29
Growth Earnings-32%below the priceSEK 240+15%above the price$35.64
Minimum-82%below the priceSEK 64.63-98%below the price$0.61
Maximum-7%close to the priceSEK 327+15%above the price$35.64
Median-32%below the priceSEK 240-62%below the price$11.66
Geometric mean-46%below the priceSEK 191-69%below the price$9.44

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

ASSA ABLOY AB (publ): 21 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Geo Group: 12 of 17 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

ASSA ABLOY AB (publ)
Bear SEK 180Fair Value SEK 270Bull SEK 354
SEK 352 = current price (white tick)
Geo Group
Bear $16.03Fair Value $25.50Bull $34.98
$30.88 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

ASSA ABLOY AB (publ) · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score64 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-23% · below median

Geo Group · Industrials

Quality score43 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-17% · above median

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Geo Group as the less overvalued of the two: ASSA ABLOY AB (publ) trades at SEK 352 versus a fair value of SEK 270 (-23%), while Geo Group trades at $30.88 versus $25.50 (-17%).

ASSA ABLOY AB (publ) has the higher quality score (64/100).

See the full analysis →
ASSA ABLOY AB (publ) · Geo Group

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.