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STOCK COMPARISON

Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT vs Alpha Metallurgical Resources: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT (ADMR) and Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT as the less overvalued of the two: Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT trades at IDR 1,655 versus a fair value of IDR 969 (-41%), while Alpha Metallurgical Resources trades at $217 versus $90.30 (-58%).
Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT
ADMR.JK · IDR · Energy
-41%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceIDR 1,655
Fair ValueIDR 969
Quality41/100
Alpha Metallurgical Resources
AMR · USD · Materials
-58%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$217
Fair Value$90.30
Quality48/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PTAlpha Metallurgical Resources
Valuation
11.7×P/E (TTM)
5.89×P/S (TTM)0.86×
3.93×P/B1.18×
15.4×EV/EBITDA9.2×
−41.4%Fair value upside−58.4%
Dividend yield0.0%
Profitability
41%Operating margin-3%
17%Return on equity-2%
8%Return on assets-1%
Growth
34%Revenue growth (YoY)-1%
1.9%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-19.6%
50.8%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)8.5%
+11.5%Value creation/yr
Balance & size
246.6×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)
0.44×Debt / equity0.01×
$6BMarket cap$2B
expensiveGrowth qualityweak
Valuation multiples (P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA) are shown but not scored here: the two companies sit in different sectors, and multiples only compare fairly between similar business models. PEG stays scored, as it relates the P/E to growth.

Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT leads: 6 to 1 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PTof which business quality 42 · market factors 62 Alpha Metallurgical Resourcesof which business quality 47 · market factors 61
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
53
16
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
0
0
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
19
18
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
80
88
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
0
88
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
50
49
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
62
56
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
78
85
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
82
92

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyAdaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PTPrice IDR 1,655Alpha Metallurgical ResourcesPrice $217
DCF Modelsn/a-80%below the price$43.73
Earnings-Based+42%above the priceIDR 2,353n/a
Dividend Discountn/a-100%below the price$0.29
Multiples-54%below the priceIDR 761-57%below the price$92.43
Asset-Based-75%below the priceIDR 415-63%below the price$81.44
Growth DCFn/a-80%below the price$42.99
Economic Profit-37%below the priceIDR 1,038n/a
Growth Earnings+59%above the priceIDR 2,630n/a
Minimum-75%below the priceIDR 415-100%below the price$0.29
Maximum+59%above the priceIDR 2,630-57%below the price$92.43
Median-37%below the priceIDR 1,038-80%below the price$43.73
Geometric mean-30%below the priceIDR 1,152-90%below the price$20.95

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT: 10 of 14 models see the stock below the current price.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources: 12 of 12 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT
Bear IDR 733Fair Value IDR 969Bull IDR 3,027
IDR 1,655 = current price (white tick)
Alpha Metallurgical Resources
Bear $81.08Fair Value $90.30Bull $106
$217 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT · Energy

Quality score41 · below median
Fair value upside-41% · below median

Alpha Metallurgical Resources · Materials

Quality score48 · below median
Fair value upside-58% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT as the less overvalued of the two: Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT trades at IDR 1,655 versus a fair value of IDR 969 (-41%), while Alpha Metallurgical Resources trades at $217 versus $90.30 (-58%).

Alpha Metallurgical Resources has the higher quality score (48/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.